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BYU

BYU 17 at East Carolina 33

ECU
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+7.5ECU 65.2%Jake Verity 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 16 · Q3 6:17
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:17 · Jake Verity 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense+8.6Pregame prior−4.6Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:09: Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +4.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Rhett Almond 22 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +10.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:17: Jake Verity 32 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +7.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:07: Jake Verity 33 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +7.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:47: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 26 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +11.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00BYU 4th & 6 at ECU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:09ECU 4th & 1 at BYU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−4.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:09BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:35ECU 4th & 5 at BYU 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.9%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:35BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:44ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00BYU 4th & 3 at ECU 4, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%−1.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−10.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:01ECU 4th & 5 at BYU 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−7.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:01BYU 4th & 12 at BYU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−3.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:17ECU 4th & 6 at BYU 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−9.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:05BYU 4th & 6 at ECU 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−11.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:07ECU 4th & 15 at BYU 16, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−4.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−13.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 30, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:14BYU 4th & 4 at ECU 4, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−5.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:09ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 11, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:50ECU 4th & 12 at BYU 49, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:42BYU 4th & 17 at ECU 48, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:52BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:09ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:47ECU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:25ECU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:48BYU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
37.1%
Ula Tolutau run for 7 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
37.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 2 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
37.1%
Ula Tolutau run for 2 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
37.1%
Riley Burt run for 8 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
37.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 1 yd to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
37.1%
Ula Tolutau run for 2 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
37.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Riley BurtSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
37.1%
Riley Burt run for no gain to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+4
37.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to KJ Hall for 4 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
37.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 38 yds, downed at the ECaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
39.0%
Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the ECaro 14Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+14
39.0%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Quay Johnson for 14 yds Quay Johnson fumbled, forced by Zayne Anderson, recovered by BYU Adam PulsipherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:3662% → 64%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
38.4%
Ula Tolutau run for 3 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+7
38.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 7 yds to the ECaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
38.4%
KJ Hall run for 7 yds to the ECaro 11Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-1
38.4%
KJ Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 12Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
36.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 12 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 3:4337% → 42%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
37.1%
Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+7
37.2%
Thomas Sirk run for 7 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+41
37.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Trevon Brown for 41 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
38.3%
Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
38.3%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Micah HannemannSimilar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+9
37.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 9 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
38.3%
Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
38.3%
Thomas Sirk run for no gain to the BYU 5Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
37.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 4 yds to the BYU 1Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
41.0%
BYU Penalty, false start (Matt Bushman) to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
41.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 10 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
40.7%
Ula Tolutau run for 10 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
40.2%
KJ Hall run for 4 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
40.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Jonah TrinnamanSimilar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
40.3%
Tanner Mangum run for no gain to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
41.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 54 yds, downed at the ECaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6FG
16 plays · 73 yds · 4:5942% → 47%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
42.2%
Devin Anderson run for 11 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
42.3%
Devin Anderson run for 6 yds to the ECaro 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+5
42.6%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 5 yds to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
42.7%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Quay Johnson for 9 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+8
43.6%
Devin Anderson run for 8 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
43.7%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Devin AndersonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
43.3%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 4 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+14
43.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 14 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
45.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Trevon Brown for 7 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+4
46.5%
Devin Anderson run for 4 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
46.5%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Stephen Baggett, broken up by Fred WarnerSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
46.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 5 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
45.7%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
47.4%
Jake Verity 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
47.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
47.4%
Ula Tolutau run for 6 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
47.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
47.7%
KJ Hall run for 1 yd to the BYU 36Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+4
48.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 4 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
48.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 59 yds, downed at the ECaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
49.3%
Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the ECaro 4Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+1
49.2%
Darius Pinnix run for 1 yd to the ECaro 5Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+11
48.5%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 11 yds to the ECaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
49.6%
Davon Grayson run for 12 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
49.6%
Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
49.5%
Darius Pinnix run for 4 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
49.2%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
48.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:1449% → 58%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
51.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Bracken El-Bakri for 17 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
49.7%
Ula Tolutau run for 9 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+9
48.2%
Ula Tolutau run for 9 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
48.2%
KJ Hall run for 17 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
46.7%
KJ Hall run for 1 yd to the ECaro 21 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding (Alex Turner) to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
46.7%
Ula Tolutau run for 4 yds to the ECaro 7Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+5
46.7%
Austin Kafentzis run for 5 yds to the ECaro 2Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 1
OPP 2
-2
48.0%
Ula Tolutau run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 4Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
42.3%
Rhett Almond 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 1:5948% → 55%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.1%
Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
48.3%
SIRK, Thomas crossing pass incomplete to GRAYSON, Davon (WILCOX, C.), PENALTY BYU pass interference 14 yards to the ECU42, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+28
50.3%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 28 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
52.1%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Quay Johnson for 6 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
-1
52.1%
Devin Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
51.0%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Dayan GhanwolokuSimilar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
54.6%
Jake Verity 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
52.1%
Ula Tolutau run for 3 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-8
51.7%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Colby Gore for a loss of 8 yards to the BYU 18Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 15
OWN 18
-5
53.8%
BYU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BYU 13Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 20
OWN 13
+8
53.8%
KJ Hall run for 8 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
54.8%
Jonny Linehan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:1655% → 65%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
55.0%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 14 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
57.6%
Devin Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 48Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+10
56.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 10 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+13
57.6%
Thomas Sirk run for 13 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
59.1%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Dayan GhanwolokuSimilar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+10
59.0%
Hussein Howe run for 10 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
59.1%
Hussein Howe run for 6 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
59.1%
Hussein Howe run for no gain to the BYU 13Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-2
57.7%
Hussein Howe run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 15Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
65.2%
Jake Verity 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:1239% → 39%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
61.3%
Ula Tolutau run for 1 yd to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-5
61.5%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+3
62.3%
Ula Tolutau run for 3 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+46
63.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 46 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
55.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
55.9%
KJ Hall run for 4 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
57.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
61.4%
Rhett Almond 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 1:5869% → 77%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+51
69.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davon Grayson for 36 yds to the EASTCRLINA 40 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, personal foul (Trevion Greene) to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
72.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davon Grayson for 9 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+5
72.9%
Derrell Scott run for 5 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
72.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Dayan GhanwolokuSimilar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
72.9%
Derrell Scott run for no gain to the BYU 11Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 10
OPP 11
-5
71.4%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Messiah Rice) to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 15
OPP 16
0
70.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Quay Johnson, broken up by Michael SheltonSimilar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+33
77.0%
Jake Verity 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0723% → 20%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.4%
Ula Tolutau run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
76.6%
Ula Tolutau run for 1 yd to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
77.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Jonah Trinnaman, broken up by Chris LoveSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
80.0%
Jonny Linehan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 1:0580% → 93%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
79.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davon Grayson for 28 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
81.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 13 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
92.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 26 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17DOWNS
14 plays · 80 yds · 4:3310% → 6%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
90.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Beau Tanner for 13 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
89.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to KJ Hall for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
89.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 12 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
88.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Beau TannerSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+26
88.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 26 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
87.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva Hifo, broken up by Davondre RobinsonSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
87.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 6 yds to the ECaro 16Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+11
88.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 11 yds to the ECaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
87.1%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Bobby Fulp for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 9Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
87.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 5 yds to the ECaro 4Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Jonah Trinnaman, broken up by Shaun JamesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
95.1%
Devin Anderson run for 4 yds to the ECaro 8Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+3
95.1%
Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 11Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 3
OWN 11
0
95.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 3
OWN 11
+9
94.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 26 , Michael Shelton returns for 9 yds to the BYU 20 BYU Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
95.2%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted Cannon Gibbs return for 25 yds to the BYU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:5197% → 99%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
96.6%
Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
99.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 2:371% → 3%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
99.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 17 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 9 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+5
99.1%
KJ Hall run for 5 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
99.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 11 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+21
99.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 21 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 0
OPP 10
-5
98.8%
MANGUM, T. middle pass complete to HIFO, A. for 7 yards to the ECU3 (BIVENS, Bruce;SUTTON, Devon), PENALTY BYU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the ECU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
99.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 3 yds to the ECaro 12Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
99.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q4 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
96.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 12 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
97.8%
Devin Anderson run for 2 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
97.9%
Devin Anderson run for 1 yd to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-5
98.0%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Corbin Kaufusi for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
98.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+26
99.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 26 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 8 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+11
98.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Beau Tanner for 11 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete, broken up by Cannon GibbsSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt Bushman, broken up by Bobby FulpSimilar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-8
99.0%
Tanner Mangum sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 48 Tanner Mangum fumbled, recovered by BYU Tejan Koroma , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
99.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt Bushman, broken up by Austin TeagueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 11
OWN 47
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:47
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 26 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)
+11.6
FG · Q2 0:00
Rhett Almond 22 yd FG GOOD
-10.6
FG · Q3 6:17
Jake Verity 32 yd FG GOOD
+7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com