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TLSA

Tulsa 14 at UConn 20

CONN
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:38 · Thomas Bennett punt for 47 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior−6.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:13: Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +15.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:00: Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 80 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +16.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:16: Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK) — TLSA win probability +14.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:16: Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 43 — CONN win probability +8.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:51: Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson, broken up by Junior Joseph — TLSA win probability +8.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TLSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00TLSA 4th & 10 at CONN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    58.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:00CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:38TLSA 4th & 2 at CONN 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:26CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:15TLSA 4th & 5 at TLSA 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:11CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:18TLSA 4th & 5 at TLSA 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:21CONN 4th & 30 at TLSA 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:45TLSA 4th & 3 at CONN 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:13TLSA 4th & 2 at TLSA 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:00TLSA 4th & 13 at TLSA 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−3.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:00CONN 4th & 15 at midfield, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:43TLSA 4th & 18 at CONN 34, down 17
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:33CONN 4th & 11 at TLSA 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−2.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:47CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:57CONN 4th & 3 at TLSA 39, up 6
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:51TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−8.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TLSA made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q3 10:13CONN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:00CONN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:09TLSA Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:16TLSA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
43.3%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 31 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
43.3%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
43.3%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
43.3%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
43.3%
Thomas Bennett punt for 34 yds, downed at the UConn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
43.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+5
43.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 5 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+3
43.6%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
43.6%
Keyion Dixon run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 16Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 15
OWN 16
-5
43.6%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Garrett Flanary for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 11Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 20
OWN 11
+12
43.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 12 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 14:00
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+63
43.5%
Brett Graham punt for 50 yds, downed at the UCONN 27 TULSA Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the Tulsa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
44.5%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
44.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+30
44.7%
Luke Skipper run for 30 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
44.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 7 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
43.9%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 2 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-1
44.0%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
44.3%
Thomas Bennett punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
45.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 7 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
45.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 4 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
45.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-2
45.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
45.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
44.7%
Brett Graham punt for 49 yds, downed at the Tulsa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
45.7%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-2
45.7%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+4
46.2%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Shamari Brooks for 4 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
46.4%
Thomas Bennett punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:2747% → 49%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
46.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 8 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+2
47.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+56
47.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 51 yds to the UCONN 10 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, face mask (5 yards) (McKinley Whitfield) to the Tulsa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
48.1%
Nate Hopkins run for no gain to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
48.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
47.6%
Nate Hopkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 2Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 0
OPP 2
-15
47.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+35
48.7%
Michael Tarbutt 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7INT
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:4451% → 53%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.6%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
48.3%
Rylee Simon run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
48.3%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 4 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
48.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 16 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
47.2%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+17
47.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 17 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
46.7%
Luke Skipper pass intercepted, touchback. Jordan Swann return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
48.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 7 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
49.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
48.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
49.0%
Nate Hopkins run for 7 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
50.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
50.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-6
50.1%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Jeremy Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+7
48.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Jason Thompson for 7 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
48.3%
Brett Graham punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
50.7%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-7
50.8%
Luke Skipper sacked by Cole Ormsby for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 8Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 15
OWN 8
+17
51.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 17 yds to the Tulsa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
50.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
50.8%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
51.9%
Thomas Bennett punt for 54 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 1 yd to the UConn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+25
52.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 25 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
53.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 2
50
-1
54.5%
Nate Hopkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 49Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+6
53.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
54.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+18
54.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 18 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
55.1%
SHIRREFFS, Bry. pass complete to MAYALA, Hergy for 12 yards to the TLS15, out-of-bounds (ROBINSON II, R.), PENALTY UCONN personal foul (RUTHERFORD, Tr.) 15 yards to the TLS42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 25
OPP 42
0
53.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyler Davis, broken up by Trevis GipsonSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 25
OPP 42
-5
53.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 30
OPP 47
0
53.3%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 30
OPP 47
0
52.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 30
OPP 47
0
51.0%
Brett Graham punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:1347% → 47%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
53.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+6
52.3%
Luke Skipper run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
52.7%
Luke Skipper run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-1
51.4%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+15
52.7%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Nigel Carter for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
50
+16
50.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 16 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
49.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+1
49.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+5
50.5%
Luke Skipper run for 5 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
53.1%
Redford Jones 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
55.8%
Nate Hopkins run for 4 yds to the UConn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 4:4755% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
54.7%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+10
54.8%
SHIRREFFS, Bry. pass incomplete to MAYALA, Hergy, PENALTY TLS holding (THOMAS, K.) 10 yards to the UCONN34, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
55.1%
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+6
55.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Nate Hopkins for 6 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+4
55.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 4 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
57.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
57.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+33
56.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 33 yds to the Tulsa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
58.6%
Nate Hopkins run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
58.6%
Nate Hopkins run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 9Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+7
57.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
58.6%
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.5%
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
71.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 31 TULSA Penalty, Offensive holding (Chris Minter) to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+13
71.7%
Shamari Brooks run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
70.8%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
71.9%
Thomas Bennett punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
88.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 80 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
84.6%
Luke Skipper sacked by Cole Ormsby for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
85.8%
Luke Skipper sacked by Folorunso Fatukasi for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+2
86.0%
Thomas Bennett punt for 55 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 2 yds to the UConn 24 CONNECTICUT Penalty, IB (Jamar Summers) to the UConn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
89.3%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+17
89.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 17 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
89.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
90.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
89.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 15 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
90.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 7 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
90.2%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-1
90.0%
Nate Hopkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 45 Nate Hopkins fumbled, forced by Chris Minter, recovered by UConn Nate HopkinsSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 10
OPP 45
-5
88.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, delay of game (Brett Graham) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 15
50
0
88.6%
Brett Graham punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:359% → 6%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
91.5%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 15 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+32
91.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 17 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Folorunso Fatukasi) to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
90.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+9
90.0%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 9 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
90.9%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Keenen Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 27
0
91.3%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 27
-7
91.9%
Luke Skipper sacked by Folorunso Fatukasi for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 18
OPP 34
-2
93.8%
Luke Skipper sacked by Luke Carrezola for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:0595% → 99%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.2%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
95.4%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+17
95.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 17 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
95.5%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+11
95.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 11 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+34
95.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 34 yds to the Tulsa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.6%
Nate Hopkins run for no gain to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for no gain to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 0
OPP 1
-5
95.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Cam DeGeorge) to the Tulsa 6Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 0
OPP 6
-5
95.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Ryan Van Demark) to the Tulsa 11Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
98.8%
Michael Tarbutt 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:241% → 7%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.7%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Josh Stewart for 9 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+20
98.7%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Josh Stewart for 20 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.7%
Luke Skipper run for 3 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+35
98.7%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Nigel Carter for 35 yds to the UConn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 8 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2295% → 96%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
95.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 18Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+6
95.2%
Nate Hopkins run for 6 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+2
95.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
95.9%
Brett Graham punt for 51 yds , Keidrien Wadley returns for no gain to the Tulsa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 3:204% → 19%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
96.0%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 26 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
95.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
95.1%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+8
95.4%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 8 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
95.3%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 19 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
94.6%
Luke Skipper sacked by Jamar Summers for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 21 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
94.6%
PRESIDENT, C. rush for 3 yards to the UCONN8 (CARREZOLA, Luke;MURPHY, Kevin), PENALTY UCONN offside (ORMSBY, Cole) 5 yards to the UCONN6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 5
OPP 6
-9
94.6%
PRESIDENT, C. rush for 4 yards to the UCONN2 (JOSEPH, Junior), PENALTY TLS holding (MINTER, C.) 9 yards to the UCONN15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 14
OPP 15
+12
94.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 12 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 2
OPP 3
0
94.6%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the UConn 3Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
95.1%
Chad President run for 2 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:1995% → 96%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
94.9%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
94.7%
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+3
96.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
95.8%
Brett Graham punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Keidrien Wadley at the Tulsa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 79 yds · 0:0010% → 20%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
90.5%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+9
90.7%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 9 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 1
OWN 21
0
90.7%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete, broken up by Cameron StapletonSimilar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+5
91.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
90.2%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
90.5%
SKIPPER, L. pass incomplete to JOHNSON, K., PENALTY UCONN pass interference (SUMMERS, Jamar) 15 yards to the TLS41, 1ST DOWN TLS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+50
88.6%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 50 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
80.2%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson, broken up by Junior JosephSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.8
TD · Q3 8:00
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 80 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)
+16.3
TD · Q3 10:13
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)
+15.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com