Try the model
ECU

East Carolina 21 at UCF 63

UCF
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:50 · Mac Loudermilk punt for 38 yds, downed at the ECaro 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior+32.9Home team on offense+28.1Score differential+22.3Blowout margin+8.9Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:12: Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:49: McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:25: Thomas Sirk pass intercepted for a TD Tre Neal return for 50 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:41: Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +1.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:40: Taj McGowan run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ECU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:44ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:32UCF 4th & 7 at UCF 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:05ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:10ECU 4th & 9 at UCF 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:59UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:06ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:50UCF 4th & 8 at ECU 39, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:05ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 4, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:48ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 3, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:46ECU 4th & 4 at UCF 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:19ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 2, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:51UCF 4th & 6 at ECU 36, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:44UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:17UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:32ECU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:12UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:49UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:25UCF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:41ECU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:40UCF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:58UCF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:41ECU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:19UCF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1698% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 9 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
98.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Akins for 4 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
98.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 14 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
98.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Akins for 48 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Thomas Sirk run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
SIRK, Thomas pass incomplete to GRAYSON, Davon, PENALTY UCF pass interference (JASINSKI, Pat) 6 yards to the ECU31, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.1%
Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
98.1%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 3 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
98.1%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
98.1%
Austin Barnes punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:0298% → 98%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
97.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 19Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+12
97.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 12 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
97.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
97.9%
McKenzie Milton run for 2 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+3
97.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 3 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.0%
Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+9
98.0%
Taj McGowan run for 9 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.0%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 0
+15
97.9%
MILTON, M. pass complete to ANDERSON, O. for 6 yards to the ECU40 (HOLTON, Marcus), PENALTY UCF false start 5 yards to the UCF49, NO PLAY, PENALTY ECU unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the ECU36, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
98.0%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 10 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
98.0%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 4 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+18
98.0%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 18 yds to the ECaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jamiyus Pittman for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:452% → 3%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+57
97.7%
Darius Pinnix run for 57 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
97.6%
SIRK, Thomas pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Jimmy, PENALTY UCF pass interference (HUGHES, Mike) 11 yards to the UCF7, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
97.6%
Hussein Howe run for 2 yds to the UCF 5Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.0%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
97.2%
Taj McGowan run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 21Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
97.2%
McKenzie Milton run for 7 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+50
97.1%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 50 yds , Quay Johnson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
97.0%
Devin Anderson run for 2 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
97.0%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Devin AndersonSimilar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
97.1%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+22
97.1%
Austin Barnes punt for 58 yds , Mike Hughes returns for 22 yds to the UCF 45 UCF Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the UCF 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:4697% → 98%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
96.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 9 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
97.0%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
97.0%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 22 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
97.0%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 20 yds to the ECaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
96.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 9 yds to the ECaro 3Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
97.6%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:023% → 3%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.3%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+14
97.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 14 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
97.3%
Deondre Farrier run for 13 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
97.2%
Thomas Sirk run for 5 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+1
97.2%
Hussein Howe run for 1 yd to the UCF 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
97.2%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-5
97.1%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Hussein Howe) to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
97.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 37 yds, downed at the UCF 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
97.4%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 4 yds to the UCF 9Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+4
97.4%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 4 yds to the UCF 13Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 2
OWN 13
-4
97.4%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Devon Sutton for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 9Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 6
OWN 9
0
97.3%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
97.0%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 1 yd to the ECaro 41Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
97.1%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Hussein Howe, broken up by Nate EvansSimilar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
97.1%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete, broken up by Tony GueradSimilar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
97.1%
Austin Barnes punt for 55 yds, downed at the UCF 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11TD
8 plays · 96 yds · 2:2197% → 99%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+12
97.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 12 yds to the UCF 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
97.3%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 18 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
97.3%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 6 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+42
97.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Cam Stewart for 42 yds to the ECaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.4%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+17
97.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 17 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.5%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) to the ECaro 1Similar
Q2 7:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:242% → 1%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.3%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Tahj Deans, broken up by Mike HughesSimilar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+50
99.5%
Thomas Sirk pass intercepted for a TD Tre Neal return for 50 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:441% → 2%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Darius Pinnix run for 1 yd to the ECaro 26Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+41
99.5%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 41 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.4%
Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
99.4%
Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the UCF 25Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+9
99.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Quay Johnson for 9 yds to the UCF 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.4%
Hussein Howe run for 1 yd to the UCF 15Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
99.4%
Darius Pinnix run for 5 yds to the UCF 10Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 4
OPP 10
-5
99.4%
SIRK, Thomas pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Jimmy, PENALTY ECU false start 5 yards to the UCF15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+11
99.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 11 yds to the UCF 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.3%
Darius Pinnix run for no gain to the UCF 4Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.3%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Quay Johnson, broken up by Kyle GibsonSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.1%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:0199% → 100%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
98.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 7 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
98.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 9 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-5
98.8%
UCF Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UCF 41Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+13
98.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 13 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
98.8%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+37
98.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 37 yds to the ECaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
98.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (7 Yards) to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.9%
MILTON, M. pass incomplete to ANDERSON, O., PENALTY ECU holding 3 yards to the ECU4, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Taj McGowan run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Hussein Howe run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+21
99.7%
Hussein Howe run for 21 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-13
99.7%
Thomas Sirk sacked by Shaquem Griffin for a loss of 13 yards to the ECaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+30
99.5%
Austin Barnes punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 41 , Mike Hughes returns for 30 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.4%
Darius Pinnix run for 1 yd to the ECaro 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-3
99.4%
Devin Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+3
99.5%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Devin Anderson for 3 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.7%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 2 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
99.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Adrian Killins Jr.Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
99.7%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 38 yds, downed at the ECaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
99.7%
Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the ECaro 4Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
99.7%
Darius Pinnix run for no gain to the ECaro 2Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 9
OWN 2
-1
99.7%
PINNIX, Darius rush for 9 yards to the ECU11 (GRIFFIN, Shqm), PENALTY ECU holding (SANDIFER, Justn) 1 yards to the ECU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+3
99.7%
Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the ECaro 4Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
99.7%
Austin Barnes punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mike Hughes at the ECaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 46 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.8%
Taj McGowan run for 7 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+26
99.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 26 yds to the ECaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 7 yds to the ECaro 7Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
99.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Cam StewartSimilar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+6
99.8%
Taj McGowan run for 6 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Taj McGowan run for no gain to the ECaro 1Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Taj McGowan run for no gain to the ECaro 1 Taj McGowan fumbled, forced by Tyree Owens, recovered by ECaro Davondre RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
99.8%
Darius Pinnix run for 1 yd to the ECaro 2Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+4
99.8%
Darius Pinnix run for 4 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 5
OWN 6
-1
99.8%
Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 5Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 6
OWN 5
-2
99.8%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the ECaro 3Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+66
99.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 63 yds , Mike Hughes returns for 66 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:020% → 0%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
Hussein Howe run for 2 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 6 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+15
99.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davon Grayson for 15 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.8%
Devin Anderson run for 8 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+11
99.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davon Grayson for 11 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davon Grayson, broken up by Brandon MooreSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.8%
Devin Anderson run for 7 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-1
99.8%
Devin Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 34Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davon Grayson, broken up by Brandon MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Noah Vedral run for 3 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Noah Vedral run for 7 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Greg McCrae run for 7 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-2
99.9%
Noah Vedral sacked by Tyree Owens for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Greg McCrae for 5 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
99.9%
Greg McCrae run for 11 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Alex Harris for 22 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Noah Vedral run for 13 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 15 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 5 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+17
99.9%
Darius Pinnix run for 17 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Quay JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 6 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+15
99.9%
UCF Penalty, personal foul (Nate Evans) to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Tahj Deans for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 24TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:22100% → 100%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 6 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 2 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 9 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
99.9%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 37Similar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Alex Harris for 7 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Cam Stewart for 7 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+10
99.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 10 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-7
99.9%
MCCRAE, Greg rush for 3 yards to the ECU36 (PURVIS, Raequan), PENALTY UCF holding 7 yards to the ECU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 17
OPP 46
+8
99.9%
Greg McCrae run for 8 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+20
99.9%
Greg McCrae run for 20 yds to the ECaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
100.0%
Greg McCrae run for 18 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
100.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
100.0%
Devin Anderson run for 1 yd to the ECaro 2Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
100.0%
Devin Anderson run for no gain to the ECaro 2Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 9
OWN 2
0
100.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
100.0%
Sean Pratt run for 1 yd to the ECaro 39Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
100.0%
Cedric Jordan-Williams run for 2 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+1
100.0%
Cedric Jordan-Williams run for 1 yd to the ECaro 36Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+3
100.0%
Cedric Jordan-Williams run for 3 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-15
100.0%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the ECaro 23Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+6
100.0%
Hussein Howe run for 6 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 14
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Hussein Howe run for no gain to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+21
100.0%
Hussein Howe run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:49
McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 7:25
Thomas Sirk pass intercepted for a TD Tre Neal return for 50 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 1:41
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davon Grayson for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com