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MEM

Memphis 70 at UConn 31

CONN
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2017 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:13 · Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior−26.3Home team on offense−2.5Score differential−2.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:00: Anthony Miller 8 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Spencer Smith Kick) — MEM win probability +5.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:13: Alec Bloom 30 Yd pass from Bryant Shirreffs (Michael Tarbutt Kick) — CONN win probability +9.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:47: Anthony Miller 40 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Riley Patterson Kick) — MEM win probability +9.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:57: Tony Pollard 14 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Spencer Smith Kick) — MEM win probability +5.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:23: Joey Magnifico 5 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Riley Patterson Kick) — MEM win probability +7.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:10CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:30MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:11CONN 4th & 3 at MEM 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:59MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:49CONN 4th & 1 at MEM 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.3%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:15CONN 4th & 8 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:53MEM 4th & 7 at CONN 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:13MEM 4th & 2 at CONN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−0.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:08CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:30MEM 4th & 1 at CONN 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%−1.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:48CONN 4th & 13 at MEM 28, down 18
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−3.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:54MEM 4th & 8 at CONN 42, up 18
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:47CONN 4th & 15 at CONN 8, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−2.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:19CONN 4th & 10 at MEM 42, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:42MEM 4th & 10 at CONN 10, up 32
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MEM made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 13:44CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:02MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:19CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:00MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:00MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:13CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:47MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:57MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:23MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 1:36MEM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 1:25MEM Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 11:57MEM Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 9:05CONN Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 1:42MEM Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:0613% → 13%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
12.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 1 yd to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+12
12.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 12 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
13.3%
Arkeel Newsome 64 Yd Run (Michael Tarbutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3887% → 86%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.3%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
13.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 27Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+23
14.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
50
+8
14.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 8 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
14.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+12
14.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to John Williams for 12 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
14.6%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
14.7%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+30
14.1%
Sean Dykes 30 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Spencer Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:3715% → 15%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
14.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 15
OWN 23
-2
14.6%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Christian Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 21Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 17
OWN 21
+15
14.8%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
14.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
15.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
15.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
15.1%
Brett Graham punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3385% → 84%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
15.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 6 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-6
15.1%
Tony Pollard run for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-5
15.7%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 21Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+12
16.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 12 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
16.1%
Spencer Smith punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:1316% → 18%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
16.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+58
16.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 58 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
17.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the Memph 24Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+12
17.4%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Memph 24 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the Memph 12 for a 1ST down. Austin Hall ejected for targeting.Similar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
17.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
18.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-2
18.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 5Similar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 3
OPP 5
0
18.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:0582% → 81%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
17.9%
Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Memph 8Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 7
OWN 8
-4
17.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (-4 Yards) to the Memph 4Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 11
OWN 4
0
18.1%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 11
OWN 4
+6
18.4%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds to the Memph 10Similar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 5
OWN 10
-5
18.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Memph 5Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 10
OWN 5
0
19.0%
Nick Jacobs punt for 36 yds, downed at the Memph 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7TD
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:2120% → 25%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
19.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 10 yds Keyion Dixon fumbled, forced by Tito Windham, recovered by UConn Keyion Dixon for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
20.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 17 yds to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
20.2%
Nate Hopkins run for 5 yds to the Memph 9Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+2
20.6%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the Memph 7Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
20.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the Memph 5Similar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
20.4%
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd to the Memph 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
21.5%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the Memph 1Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.0%
Nate Hopkins 1 Yd Run (Michael Tarbutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:0477% → 81%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
22.7%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
22.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for 1 yd to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+10
23.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 10 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
22.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 7 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+15
22.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 15 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
22.4%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 17Similar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+17
18.6%
Anthony Miller 17 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Riley Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3721% → 22%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
21.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 13 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
22.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 1 yd to the UConn 49Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+1
22.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 8
50
0
22.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 8
50
0
21.8%
Brett Graham punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 4:0279% → 84%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
21.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 12 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
20.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 9 yds Anthony Miller fumbled, recovered by Memph Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+14
20.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 14 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
20.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 15 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
19.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
20.2%
Doroland Dorceus run for 7 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+8
20.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 8 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
20.3%
Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
20.2%
Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+3
21.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 3 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-15
21.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+8
21.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 8 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
16.1%
Anthony Miller 8 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Spencer Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3718% → 28%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
17.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 16 yds to the UConn 41 Arkeel Newsome fumbled, forced by Tito Windham, recovered by UConn Aaron McLean for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
18.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 29 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
28.3%
Alec Bloom 30 Yd pass from Bryant Shirreffs (Michael Tarbutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:0977% → 76%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to John Williams for 2 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
23.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 22Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
24.3%
Doroland Dorceus run for 6 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+27
24.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for 27 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
22.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 3 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
22.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
23.1%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
24.5%
Nick Jacobs punt for 39 yds, downed at the UConn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
27.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted Terrell Carter return for no gain to the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:1777% → 75%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
23.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 8 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
22.3%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
23.1%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 2
OPP 30
-1
24.6%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5928% → 28%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
28.4%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
28.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 4 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
28.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
27.8%
Brett Graham punt for 40 yds, fair catch by John Williams at the Memph 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1374% → 84%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
26.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 8 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
24.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 5 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
25.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 22 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
16.1%
Anthony Miller 40 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Riley Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
18.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 13 yds to the UConn 34 Kevin Mensah fumbled, forced by Patrick Taylor Jr., recovered by Memph Tito WindhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:3884% → 89%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
16.0%
Tony Pollard run for 14 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
15.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
16.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 6 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
11.0%
Tony Pollard 14 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Spencer Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 0:4613% → 18%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
13.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
13.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 11 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
13.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
13.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 14 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
14.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-7
14.2%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Genard Avery for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 39Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+20
12.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 20 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+37
18.0%
Michael Tarbutt 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
14.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:2784% → 93%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
15.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 8 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
15.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
15.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
15.6%
Doroland Dorceus run for 16 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
15.0%
Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
14.9%
Doroland Dorceus run for 4 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
15.1%
Tony Pollard run for no gain to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+3
15.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
14.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+22
14.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 22 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
14.5%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 15Similar
Q3 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+7
14.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 7 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
14.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the UConn 5Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
6.8%
Joey Magnifico 5 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Riley Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:279% → 9%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
8.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+11
8.9%
Nate Hopkins run for 11 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+30
9.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 30 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-6
10.0%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Ernest Suttles for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 31Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 16
OPP 31
0
9.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 16
OPP 31
+3
9.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+11
8.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 11 yds to the Memph 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:4893% → 95%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
7.0%
Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the Memph 19Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+12
7.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to John Williams for 12 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
6.8%
Doroland Dorceus run for 4 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
6.7%
Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+7
6.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to John Williams for 7 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
5.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+3
6.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+13
5.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 13 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
5.4%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-11
5.3%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Cole Ormsby for a loss of 11 yards to the Memph 45 Riley Ferguson fumbled, forced by Cole Ormsby, recovered by Memph Riley Ferguson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 21
OWN 45
+13
4.7%
Tony Pollard run for 13 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
4.8%
Nick Jacobs punt for 29 yds, downed at the UConn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:038% → 6%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
7.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
7.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 7 yds to the UConn 20 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the UConn 10Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 13
OWN 10
-2
6.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 15
OWN 8
0
6.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 15
OWN 8
+16
6.3%
Brett Graham punt for 40 yds , John Williams returns for 16 yds to the UConn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25TD
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:0696% → 99%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
4.1%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
0.7%
Anthony Miller 32 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Spencer Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.5%
Doroland Dorceus 7 Yd Run (Riley Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:011% → 1%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
1.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 17 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
0.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 9 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+7
0.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 7 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
0.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
0.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
0.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:19
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
0.6%
Brett Graham punt for 27 yds, fair catch by John Williams at the Memph 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 28TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
0.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 13 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
0.5%
Doroland Dorceus run for 8 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+7
0.5%
Doroland Dorceus run for 7 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
0.4%
David Moore pass complete to Mechane Slade for 6 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+1
0.4%
Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 3
50
+10
0.4%
David Moore run for 10 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
0.4%
Doroland Dorceus run for 14 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
0.3%
Doroland Dorceus 26 Yd Run (Spencer Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 29TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
0.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 5 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+8
0.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 8 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
0.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+26
0.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 11 yds to the UCONN 39 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
0.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 11 yds to the Memph 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
0.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 30TD
16 plays · 74 yds · 7:13100% → 100%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-13
0.2%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Illegal Block (-13 Yards) to the Memph 13Similar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 23
OWN 13
+19
0.2%
David Moore pass complete to Mechane Slade for 19 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+21
0.2%
David Moore run for 21 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
0.2%
Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
0.2%
David Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+13
0.2%
David Moore pass complete to Ross Burcham for 13 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
0.2%
Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+12
0.2%
Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 36 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
0.2%
Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+4
0.2%
David Moore run for 4 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
0.1%
David Moore run for 2 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
0.1%
Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
0.1%
David Moore pass complete to Mechane Slade for 1 yd to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
0.1%
David Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.1%
David Moore pass complete to Mechane Slade for 10 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 31END OF GAME
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.1%
Jason Thompson run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
0.1%
Jason Thompson run for 3 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
0.1%
David Pindell sacked by Joseph Dorceus for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:13
Alec Bloom 30 Yd pass from Bryant Shirreffs (Michael Tarbutt Kick)
+9.7
TD · Q2 1:47
Anthony Miller 40 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Riley Patterson Kick)
-9.1
TD · Q3 10:23
Joey Magnifico 5 Yd pass from Riley Ferguson (Riley Patterson Kick)
-7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com