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CONN

UConn 28 at SMU 49

SMU
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:29 · Brett Graham punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+33.0Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:31: Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +8.0 pts (now 21%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:14: Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK) — SMU win probability +13.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:51: Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 59 yds for a TD, (Bryant Shirreffs pass to Tyler Davis for Two-Point Conversion) — CONN win probability +27.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:46: Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 34 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK) — SMU win probability +18.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:21: Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK) — SMU win probability +6.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:24CONN 4th & 8 at SMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:26SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:29CONN 4th & 25 at CONN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00SMU 4th & 1 at CONN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.4%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:05CONN 4th & 7 at SMU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:01CONN 4th & 8 at SMU 31, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:54SMU 4th & 22 at SMU 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:23CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 43, down 11
    Close callPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:23SMU 4th & 15 at SMU 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00SMU 4th & 15 at SMU 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:31CONN 4th & 2 at SMU 2, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    13.0%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−5.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:21SMU 4th & 5 at CONN 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    78.9%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:01CONN 4th & 15 at SMU 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−2.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−7.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:39CONN 4th & 2 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.6%−2.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:39CONN 4th & 16 at SMU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%−1.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:42CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:07SMU 4th & 2 at CONN 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:11SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:26CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:43SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:31SMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:31CONN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:14SMU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:51CONN Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:46SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:21SMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:24SMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:3612% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
87.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 11 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
87.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+10
87.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 10 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+5
87.6%
JOSEPH, Junior rush for 3 yards to the UCONN43 (LAWLER, Justin), PENALTY SMU offside defense 5 yards to the UCONN45, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
87.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 10 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
87.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 6 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+11
87.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 11 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
87.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
87.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the SMU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
87.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+44
86.5%
Michael Tarbutt 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Justin LawlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:1387% → 87%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
86.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 9 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+13
86.7%
Xavier Jones run for 13 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
86.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 7 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
86.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 2 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+1
86.8%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+31
86.8%
Braeden West run for 31 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
86.9%
Braeden West run for 2 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+3
86.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 3 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
87.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3913% → 15%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.8%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Nick Horton for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
86.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 3 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
86.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 9 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
84.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 64 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.9%
Xavier Jones run for no gain to the SMU 25Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.6%
Jamie Sackville punt for 44 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 1 yd to the UConn 26 SMU Penalty, Defensive holding (Jordon Williams) to the UConn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
84.2%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 15
OWN 37
-8
84.5%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Dimarya Mixon and Justin Lawler for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 23
OWN 29
-2
84.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 25
OWN 27
0
84.9%
Brett Graham punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:0284% → 86%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
84.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 9 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
84.5%
Ben Hicks run for 4 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
84.6%
Xavier Jones run for 9 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
84.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 5 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
84.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
84.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 15
OPP 45
-8
84.1%
Ben Hicks sacked by Darrian Beavers for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 47Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 23
OWN 47
+15
83.7%
SACKVILLE, J. punt 33 yards to the UCONN20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UCONN roughing the kicker (CONEY, Bryan) 15 yards to the UCONN38, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
84.7%
D.J. Gillins run for 2 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+7
84.7%
D.J. Gillins run for 7 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
83.6%
D.J. Gillins run for no gain to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+4
83.2%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.3%
Xavier Jones run for 25 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7FG
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:3815% → 18%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
85.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 47 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
83.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+1
83.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the SMU 25Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
84.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
82.4%
Michael Tarbutt 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:2883% → 88%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
82.8%
Braeden West run for 7 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
83.0%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete, broken up by Omar ForttSimilar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+9
82.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 9 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
83.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 9 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-3
83.6%
Braeden West run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 42Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+12
83.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 12 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
83.8%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+23
83.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 23 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
84.0%
Xavier Jones run for no gain to the UConn 21Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
87.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 21 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 3:3013% → 12%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
86.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
86.5%
SHIRREFFS, Bry. pass incomplete to BEALS, Tyraiq, PENALTY SMU pass interference (DAVIS, C.) 2 yards to the UCONN35, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
86.4%
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+12
86.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 12 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
85.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 19 yds to the SMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
85.2%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 38Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+7
86.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 7 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
85.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Christian DavisSimilar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 8
OPP 31
0
88.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Mason Donaldson, broken up by Anthony RhoneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
88.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+14
88.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 14 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
88.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-15
88.7%
FREEMAN, Ke'Mon rush for 11 yards to the UCONN40 (BRITTON, Chris), PENALTY SMU personal foul 15 yards to the SMU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 21
OWN 34
0
88.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 21
OWN 34
-1
87.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 3:54
4TH & 22
OWN 33
+18
87.5%
Jamie Sackville punt for 49 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 18 yds to the UConn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
88.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 7 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
87.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
88.4%
Brett Graham punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 0:3689% → 88%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
88.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 5 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
89.0%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
88.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 13 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
89.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 6 yds to the SMU 44Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-14
88.8%
Ben Hicks sacked by Darrian Beavers for a loss of 14 yards to the SMU 30 SMU Penalty, intentional grounding (Ben Hicks) to the SMU 30Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+3
87.1%
Ben Hicks run for 3 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
87.5%
Jamie Sackville punt for 53 yds, downed at the UConn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
88.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.8%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
87.7%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-1
87.1%
D.J. Gillins sacked by Cole Ormsby for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 20Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
86.6%
Jamie Sackville punt for 28 yds, downed at the SMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:2214% → 21%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
86.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+28
86.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 13 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, personal foul (William Jeanlys) to the SMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
85.3%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the SMU 19Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
85.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 4 yds to the SMU 15Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+11
86.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 11 yds to the SMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
85.3%
Jason Thompson run for no gain to the SMU 4Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
85.3%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Justin Lawler for a loss of 7 yards to the SMU 11 Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, recovered by UConn Matt Peart , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 0
OPP 11
-5
85.6%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Cam DeGeorge) to the SMU 16Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 0
OPP 16
+14
85.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 14 yds to the SMU 2Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.4%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0081% → 82%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
81.1%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
81.0%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Trey Quinn, broken up by Chris BrittonSimilar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+19
80.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 19 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
82.8%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
82.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+2
82.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Jones for 2 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 5
OPP 42
+37
81.5%
Jamie Sackville punt for 42 yds for a touchback SMU Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:5720% → 26%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.1%
Nate Hopkins run for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
79.0%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
79.2%
Nate Hopkins run for 10 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
78.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+47
77.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 47 yds to the SMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
75.9%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the SMU 2Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
75.9%
Nate Hopkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 4Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
77.3%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Anthony Rhone and Justin Lawler for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 10Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 0
OPP 10
-5
79.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 15Similar
Q3 3:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
73.6%
Michael Tarbutt 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 2:4073% → 90%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+29
73.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 29 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
76.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 9 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
77.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
77.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 6 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+9
77.6%
HICKS, Ben pass incomplete to SUTTON, C., PENALTY UCONN pass interference (Herring-Wilson) 9 yards to the UCONN16, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
77.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-5
77.6%
SMU Penalty, false start (Courtland Sutton) to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+6
76.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 6 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q3 0:14
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+15
89.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2313% → 40%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
87.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 16 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
59.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 59 yds for a TD, (Bryant Shirreffs pass to Tyler Davis for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 3:0567% → 90%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
66.8%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+16
67.0%
Xavier Jones run for 16 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
67.7%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 34Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-1
67.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 33Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+18
65.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 18 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
71.5%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+12
71.7%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 12 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
90.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 34 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
84.2%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Mason Gentry for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+17
85.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 17 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-1
82.8%
Nate Hopkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 2
50
+12
84.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 12 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
82.5%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-5
82.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 48 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UConn Bryant ShirreffsSimilar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 24
OWN 48
+8
85.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 8 yds to the SMU 44Similar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 16
OPP 44
0
86.4%
TEAM punt blocked by Ryan Becker blocked by Ryan BeckerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:0391% → 97%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+42
90.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 34 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, face mask (8 yards) (Marshe Terry) to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
91.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
91.1%
D.J. Gillins run for 4 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.3%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:324% → 3%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-7
96.1%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Mason Gentry for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 21Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 17
OWN 21
-1
96.5%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Justin Lawler for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 20 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+9
96.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 9 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 9
OWN 29
-4
96.7%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Justin Lawler for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.7%
Braeden West run for 25 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
99.7%
SMU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Braeden West) to the SMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.8%
Braeden West run for 3 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+8
99.8%
D.J. Gillins run for 8 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.8%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+6
99.8%
Braeden West run for 6 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+1
99.7%
Kayce Medlock run for 1 yd to the UConn 17Similar
Q4 4:07
4TH & 2
OPP 17
0
99.7%
Rafe Peavey run for no gain to the UConn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.5%
Nate Hopkins run for 4 yds to the UConn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:51
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 59 yds for a TD, (Bryant Shirreffs pass to Tyler Davis for Two-Point Conversion)
-27.3
TD · Q4 11:46
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 34 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)
+18.4
TD · Q3 0:14
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)
+13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com