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UL

Louisiana 42 at Tulsa 66

TLSA
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:43 · Jordan Wright run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior+18.4Home team on offense+6.3Score differential+2.2Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:05: Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 15 yds for a TD TULSA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED) — UL win probability +6.9 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:35: Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 69 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK) — TLSA win probability +7.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:06: Jordan Davis run for 9 yds for a TD TULSA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Calvin Linden PAT MISSED) — UL win probability +11.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 4:00: D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK) — TLSA win probability +13.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:24: Trey Ragas 15 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +9.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 12:02TLSA 4th & 10 at UL 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:08UL 4th & 4 at TLSA 21, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.8%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:00UL 4th & 1 at TLSA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−0.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:42UL 4th & 6 at TLSA 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:43UL 4th & 4 at TLSA 33, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    18.5%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:09TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 25, up 9
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:01TLSA 4th & 1 at UL 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−2.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−9.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:41TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:33UL 4th & 8 at UL 43, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:14TLSA 4th & 1 at UL 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.6
    81% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:52TLSA 4th & 2 at UL 2, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:04TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:32UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:35TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:09UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:42TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:05UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:35TLSA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:06TLSA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 13:11UL Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 7:06UL Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 4:00TLSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 14:05TLSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 12:24UL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 7:43TLSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 0:52TLSA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 2:5883% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
83.2%
Chad President pass complete to Nigel Carter for 11 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
83.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
83.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
83.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
83.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
83.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+7
83.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
83.2%
Chad President pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
83.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
83.2%
Chad President pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
82.6%
Redford Jones 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:5417% → 19%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
82.6%
Trey Ragas run for 34 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-15
82.4%
Davis, Jordan pass complete to Malone, Ryheem for 24 yards to the TLS17 (MITCHELL, J.), PENALTY LA pass interference (Bradley, J.) 15 yards to the LA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 25
OWN 44
+7
82.6%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 7 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+7
82.5%
Jordan Davis run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+15
82.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 15 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
82.4%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+5
82.4%
Dion Ray run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-2
82.4%
Jordan Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
81.0%
Stevie Artigue 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 1:5881% → 83%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
81.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+2
81.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+14
81.0%
Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 14 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
81.3%
Chad President run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+13
81.3%
PRESIDENT, C. pass incomplete to HOBBS, J., PENALTY LA pass interference 13 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN TLS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
50
+50
83.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 50 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:2818% → 22%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
82.1%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 5 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
82.0%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
82.0%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+9
82.3%
Jordan Davis run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
82.0%
Ja'Marcus Bradley pass incomplete to Raynard FordSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
82.0%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+27
82.0%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 27 yds to the Tulsa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
81.2%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.2%
Dion Ray run for no gain to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.8%
Jordan Davis run for 1 yd for a TD TULSA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5TD
16 plays · 71 yds · 4:5180% → 84%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
79.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
80.3%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 3 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
80.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
80.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+4
79.8%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
80.2%
Corey Taylor II run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+6
80.3%
Corey Taylor II run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
80.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 25 TULSA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 11
OPP 35
+5
80.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+9
80.5%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 9 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
80.5%
Chad President pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
80.5%
Chad President run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+5
80.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
80.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
83.5%
Chad President run for 5 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:1918% → 27%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
81.7%
Jordan Davis run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+13
81.6%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 13 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
80.9%
Jordan Davis sacked by Jeremy Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+18
81.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 18 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
80.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
73.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 20 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:2078% → 84%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
77.6%
Corey Taylor II run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
78.6%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
78.4%
Chad President pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+48
77.9%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 48 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
79.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+19
81.4%
Jordan Davis run for 19 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
80.8%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+1
80.9%
Jordan Davis run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
81.0%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Michael Jacquet, broken up by Craig SuitsSimilar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
82.1%
Sam Geraci punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
82.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+26
82.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
83.6%
Chad President pass complete to Josh Stewart for 18 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
83.8%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for no gain to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
83.7%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-21
83.4%
Chad President run for a loss of 21 yards to the Tulsa 39 Chad President fumbled, forced by Zi'Yon Hill, recovered by LaLaf Terik Miller TULSA Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:1320% → 28%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
80.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 10 yds to the Tulsa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
79.4%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 15 yds to the Tulsa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
79.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
72.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 15 yds for a TD TULSA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:2377% → 84%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
77.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+69
84.3%
Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 69 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:5217% → 17%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
83.1%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 12 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
82.7%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+7
81.4%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 7 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
81.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 10 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
80.9%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus Bradley, broken up by Allie Green IVSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
81.1%
Jordan Davis run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
81.8%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+2
82.9%
Jordan Wright run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 0:2684% → 91%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
84.2%
Chad President run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+60
84.8%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 60 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
86.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.8%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
91.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4911% → 20%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.6%
Jordan Davis run for no gain to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
88.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 20 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
87.8%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+46
87.9%
Trey Ragas run for 46 yds to the Tulsa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
86.6%
Davis, Jordan rush for 2 yards to the TLS7 (WILSON JR, P.), PENALTY LA holding 10 yards to the TLS19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
80.0%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 19 yds for a TD TULSA Penalty, roughing passer (1 Yards) to the Tulsa 0, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
83.4%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
83.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+1
82.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
82.0%
Thomas Bennett punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:0817% → 31%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
83.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
83.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
83.4%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
83.4%
Trey Ragas run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
82.4%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
82.1%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+7
82.4%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 7 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+28
82.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 28 yds to the Tulsa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
81.1%
Jordan Davis run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 9Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
69.2%
Jordan Davis run for 9 yds for a TD TULSA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Calvin Linden PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:0176% → 89%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
75.6%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
76.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
76.4%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 16 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
78.2%
Chad President run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
79.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
79.4%
Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+5
79.2%
Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 5 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+6
78.2%
Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 6 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
77.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+8
75.6%
Chad President pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 9 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-1 Yards) to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19INT
5 plays · 39 yds · 0:0013% → 15%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+25
86.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 25 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
85.4%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Jordan Wright for 10 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
85.4%
Michael Jacquet pass intercepted Manny Bunch return for no gain to the Tulsa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
87.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 10Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 10
-5
87.3%
BREWER, D. rush for loss of 1 yard to the TLS9 (Lee, Taboris), PENALTY TLS holding 5 yards to the TLS5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 3
OWN 12
0
86.7%
Chad President pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 3
OWN 12
+26
86.2%
Thomas Bennett punt for 39 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for 26 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+7
87.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21INT
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
84.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 15
OPP 30
-4
85.5%
Dion Ray run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 19
OPP 34
0
85.9%
Jordan Davis pass intercepted Cooper Edmiston return for no gain to the Tulsa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:0889% → 97%
Q3 1:13
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+31
88.7%
Chad President pass complete to Josh Stewart for 31 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
88.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
88.9%
Chad President pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 4 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
89.4%
Chad President pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
90.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 20 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
90.5%
Chad President run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.9%
Shamari Brooks 5 Yd Run (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 1:364% → 14%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+50
95.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 50 yds to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.0%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone, broken up by Diamon CannonSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
95.1%
Jordan Davis run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+10
95.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 10 yds to the Tulsa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
94.9%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Chase Rogers, broken up by Reggie Robinson IISimilar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
85.9%
Trey Ragas 15 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:3891% → 98%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
90.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+4
90.6%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
90.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+3
90.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+7
90.4%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
90.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+15
90.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
90.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
90.9%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
D'Angelo Brewer 1 Yd Run (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.8%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Elijah MitchellSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
96.8%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone, broken up by Cristian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+7
96.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 7 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 3
OWN 48
-5
96.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+3
96.9%
Jordan Davis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 26TD
10 plays · 46 yds · 5:2298% → 100%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
98.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+13
98.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
98.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
98.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
98.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+6
97.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
98.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.2%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
98.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Chad President 2 Yd Run (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.6%
Raymond Calais run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
99.5%
Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:00
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)
+13.5
TD · Q3 7:06
Jordan Davis run for 9 yds for a TD TULSA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Calvin Linden PAT MISSED)
-11.9
TD · Q4 12:24
Trey Ragas 15 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com