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VILL

Villanova 13 at Temple 16

TEM
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadVILL aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreVILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:40 · John Hinchen punt for 46 yds , Mike Jones returns for 3 yds to the Temp 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Pregame prior+26.8Home team on offense+1.9Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:01: Nick Sharga run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +7.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:18: Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Taurus Phillips for 10 yds for a TD, (Drew Kresge KICK) — VILL win probability +20.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q4 3:29: Drew Kresge 34 yd FG GOOD — VILL win probability +22.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: VILL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:00: Aaron Boumerhi 49 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +29.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:09: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 40 — TEM win probability +9.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 9VILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:11VILL 4th & 2 at VILL 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:28TEM 4th & 18 at VILL 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:50VILL 4th & 10 at TEM 36, tied
    Close callWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:13TEM 4th & 5 at VILL 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00VILL 4th & 11 at VILL 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:27TEM 4th & 8 at VILL 42, up 3
    Close callPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    81.4%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:40VILL 4th & 5 at VILL 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:55TEM 4th & 6 at VILL 31, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.0%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:00VILL 4th & 5 at TEM 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:01TEM 4th & 5 at VILL 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:57VILL 4th & 25 at TEM 33, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:29TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:49VILL 4th & 26 at TEM 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00TEM 4th & 19 at TEM 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−2.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:25TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−3.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:29VILL 4th & 4 at TEM 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−5.7
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−18.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:00TEM 4th & 3 at VILL 32, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%−1.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−12.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VILL made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 0:01TEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 10:18VILL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VILLDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:4913% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Villa 30Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+4
87.4%
Jarrett McClenton run for 4 yds to the Villa 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
87.4%
Matt Gudzak run for 1 yd to the Villa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Matt GudzakSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
87.4%
Matt Gudzak run for 1 yd to the Villa 36Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+7
86.9%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Matt Gudzak for 7 yds to the Villa 43Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
86.9%
John Hinchen punt for 41 yds, downed at the Temp 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
86.7%
David Hood run for 2 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+12
86.7%
David Hood run for 12 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
86.7%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 26 yds to the Villa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
86.8%
David Hood run for 9 yds to the Villa 35Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
86.9%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
86.8%
Nick Sharga run for 2 yds to the Villa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-17
86.9%
David Hood run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 35 TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Leon Johnson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 27
50
+9
86.7%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 9 yds to the Villa 41Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 18
OPP 41
0
86.7%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
86.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trey Johnson at the Villa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 3DOWNS
15 plays · 70 yds · 4:1514% → 16%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
85.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive offside (Shaun Bradley) to the Villa 8Similar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 5
OWN 8
+1
85.7%
Zach Bednarczyk run for 1 yd to the Villa 9Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+2
85.7%
Aaron Forbes run for 2 yds to the Villa 11Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+11
85.8%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 11 yds to the Villa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
85.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Aaron Forbes for a loss of 1 yard to the Villa 21Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+5
84.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Villa 26Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+7
84.6%
Aaron Forbes run for 7 yds to the Villa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+31
84.5%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Changa Hodge for 31 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
84.1%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Alex PadovaniSimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
84.1%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete VILLANOVA Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
83.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Matt Gudzak, broken up by Mike JonesSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+9
84.3%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Taurus Phillips for 9 yds to the Temp 27 VILLANOVA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:2985% → 84%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+43
84.6%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 43 yds to the Villa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
85.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Villa 30Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
85.3%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 3 yds to the Villa 27Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+17
85.1%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 17 yds to the Villa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
85.4%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
85.4%
VILLANOVA Penalty, Defensive offside (Aaron Seigle) to the Villa 5Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
85.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Villa 4Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
85.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the Villa 5Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
84.4%
Austin Jones 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 1:0716% → 15%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
84.5%
Matt Gudzak run for 4 yds to the Villa 27Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
84.3%
Matt Gudzak run for 5 yds to the Villa 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
84.0%
Matt Gudzak run for 4 yds to the Villa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
83.9%
Zach Bednarczyk sacked by Shaun Bradley for a loss of 7 yards to the Villa 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+5
84.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Villa 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+1
84.3%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Aaron Forbes for 1 yd to the Villa 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
84.5%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Jarrett McClenton, broken up by Sam FranklinSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 35
+7
84.7%
John Hinchen punt for 38 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 7 yds to the Temp 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
83.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 7 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+15
83.8%
Nick Sharga run for 15 yds to the Villa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
84.0%
Nick Sharga run for a loss of 1 yard to the Villa 45Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+6
83.8%
Jager Gardner run for 6 yds to the Villa 39Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-3
83.9%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Villa 42Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
83.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
82.8%
Aaron Forbes run for 3 yds to the Villa 23Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
82.8%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Jarrett McClentonSimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+2
83.2%
Zach Bednarczyk run for 2 yds to the Villa 25Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+3
83.6%
John Hinchen punt for 46 yds , Mike Jones returns for 3 yds to the Temp 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8MISSED FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:2282% → 82%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
82.0%
MARCHI,LOGAN pass incomplete to BRYANT,VENTELL, PENALTY VU pass interference (Amos, J.) 15 yards to the TEM47, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
82.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
82.7%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 6 yds to the Villa 47Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+12
83.0%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 12 yds to the Villa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.6%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Keith Kirkwood, broken up by Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
83.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Villa 29Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-2
83.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the Villa 31Similar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+48
81.9%
Aaron Boumerhi 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:5519% → 21%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
81.4%
Matt Gudzak run for 1 yd to the Villa 32Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+15
81.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Alex Padovani for 15 yds to the Villa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
80.3%
Zach Bednarczyk run for a loss of 2 yards to the Villa 45Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
81.1%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+25
81.8%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 25 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
79.0%
Zach Bednarczyk run for 5 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
78.9%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Matt GudzakSimilar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
79.8%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Taurus PhillipsSimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
79.5%
Drew Kresge 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5980% → 89%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
79.8%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 15 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
80.9%
Logan Marchi sacked by Jeff Steeb for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+13
79.9%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
50
+32
81.6%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 32 yds to the Villa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
82.5%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
82.5%
Logan Marchi pass complete to David Hood for no gain to the Villa 18Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+17
81.6%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 17 yds to the Villa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.7%
Nick Sharga run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:5986% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
86.4%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 8 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
86.7%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+9
86.3%
Isaiah Wright run for 9 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
87.2%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 9 yds to the Villa 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+15
87.3%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 15 yds to the Villa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
87.4%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
87.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Villa 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
86.9%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
90.2%
Aaron Boumerhi 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 72 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
89.2%
Jarrett McClenton run for a loss of 5 yards to the Villa 13Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+28
89.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Changa Hodge for 28 yds to the Villa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
88.8%
Matt Gudzak run for 5 yds to the Villa 46Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
88.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Ryan BellSimilar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+25
88.7%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Taurus Phillips for 25 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
87.3%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Taurus Phillips for 11 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
87.3%
Aaron Forbes run for 2 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-17
87.3%
Zach Bednarczyk sacked by Jacob Martin for a loss of 17 yards to the Temp 33 VILLANOVA Penalty, intentional grounding (Zach Bednarczyk) to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 25
OPP 33
0
89.0%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Changa HodgeSimilar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 25
OPP 33
+23
89.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Changa Hodge for 23 yds to the Temp 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
90.9%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 3 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+2
91.0%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 2 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
90.7%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
90.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 46 yds, downed at the Villa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 15FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 6:1811% → 12%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
89.5%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Changa Hodge for 18 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
88.9%
Zach Bednarczyk run for 2 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
88.9%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Aaron ForbesSimilar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+12
89.0%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 12 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
88.0%
Matt Gudzak run for no gain to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
88.2%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Zac Kerxton for 3 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+15
89.0%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Taurus Phillips for 15 yds to the Temp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
88.0%
Matt Gudzak run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 16Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 15
OPP 16
-14
88.6%
Zach Bednarczyk sacked by Dana Levine for a loss of 14 yards to the Temp 30 Zach Bednarczyk fumbled, recovered by Villa Louie Csaszar , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 29
OPP 30
+3
89.8%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Matt Gudzak for 3 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 0:49
4TH & 26
OPP 27
+44
88.0%
Drew Kresge 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:4689% → 88%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
89.2%
Jager Gardner run for 14 yds to the Villa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
89.8%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 45 TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive holding (Leon Johnson) to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 19
OWN 45
0
89.4%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Kenny YeboahSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 45
0
89.1%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Adonis Jennings, broken up by Trey JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 45
0
88.4%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Brodrick Yancy, broken up by Rob RolleSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
87.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 46 yds, downed at the Villa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 17TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 3:4311% → 34%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+24
88.8%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Taurus Phillips for 24 yds to the Villa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
87.7%
Zach Bednarczyk run for 6 yds to the Villa 39Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-3
86.6%
Sam Shaud run for a loss of 3 yards to the Villa 36Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+19
88.1%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 19 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
85.9%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Josh McGriggSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
86.1%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Sam Shaud for 7 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+28
85.9%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Zac Kerxton for 28 yds to the Temp 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
65.7%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Taurus Phillips for 10 yds for a TD, (Drew Kresge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 1:4776% → 75%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
76.3%
MARCHI,LOGAN pass complete to JENNINGS,ADONIS for no gain to the TEM18 (Reaves, M.;Steeb, J.), PENALTY TEM illegal block (SHARGA,NICK) 9 yards to the TEM9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+14
75.6%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 14 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
76.5%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 1 yd to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-5
75.2%
MARCHI,LOGAN pass complete to ARMSTEAD,R. for 4 yards to the TEM28, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TEM ineligible downfield on pass (MYARICK,CHRIS) 5 yards to the TEM19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
75.7%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Ryquell Armstead, broken up by Jeff SteebSimilar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+15
74.9%
Alex Starzyk punt for 49 yds , Trey Johnson returns for 15 yds to the Villa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 19FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:4031% → 48%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
68.6%
Matt Gudzak run for 5 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+1
67.8%
Jarrett McClenton run for 1 yd to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+9
68.5%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 9 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
67.8%
Aaron Forbes run for 1 yd to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+14
67.8%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Matt Gudzak for 14 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
66.1%
Matt Gudzak run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 27Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 14
OPP 27
0
71.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Matt Gudzak, broken up by Dan ArchibongSimilar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 14
OPP 27
-5
74.5%
VILLANOVA Penalty, false start (Brandon Hitner) to the Temp 32Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 19
OPP 32
+15
74.8%
Zach Bednarczyk run for 15 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
52.3%
Drew Kresge 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:2363% → 92%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
63.1%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Chris MyarickSimilar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+29
61.4%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 29 yds to the TEMPLE 45 for a 1ST down VILLANOVA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
68.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 49Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+10
65.1%
MARCHI,LOGAN pass incomplete to JENNINGS,ADONIS, PENALTY VU holding (Reaves, M.) 10 yards to the VU39, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
68.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Villa 37Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
68.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Villa 33Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+1
68.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Villa 32Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+49
91.6%
Aaron Boumerhi 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:0012% → 15%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
88.1%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Josh McGrigg for 5 yds to the Villa 28Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+12
86.9%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 12 yds to the Villa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
85.3%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Matt Gudzak for 16 yds Matt Gudzak fumbled, forced by Shaun Bradley, recovered by Temp Sharif FinchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:00
Aaron Boumerhi 49 yd FG GOOD
+29.4
FG · Q4 3:29
Drew Kresge 34 yd FG GOOD
-22.4
TD · Q4 10:18
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Taurus Phillips for 10 yds for a TD, (Drew Kresge KICK)
-20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com