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ULM

UL Monroe 29 at Memphis 37

MEM
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2017 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:06 · Harrison Heim punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Pregame prior+35.6Home team on offense+7.5Score differential+2.9Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:11: Darrell Henderson run for 55 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +2.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:47: Matthew Wylie kickoff for 64 yds , Tony Pollard return for 99 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:39: Kayin White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +3.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:13: Darrell Henderson run for 63 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:40: Xavier Brown 6 Yd pass from Caleb Evans (Caleb Evans Pass to Brian Williams for Two-Point Conversion) — ULM win probability +11.1 pts (now 14%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 14:52MEM 4th & 10 at ULM 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:53ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:35ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:26MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:23ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 47, down 6
    Close callPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:57MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:52ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 36, down 6
    Close callPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:06ULM 4th & 15 at ULM 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:12MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:04ULM 4th & 21 at ULM 36, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:30MEM 4th & 3 at ULM 3, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:23ULM 4th & 5 at MEM 11, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:38MEM 4th & 14 at MEM 45, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:21ULM 4th & 15 at MEM 16, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ULM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:43MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:17ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:28MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:11MEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:47MEM Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:39ULM Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:13MEM Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:21ULM Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:40ULM Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
95.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
95.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 2 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
95.6%
Tony Pollard run for 5 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
95.6%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
95.6%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Darrell HendersonSimilar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
95.6%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil Mayhue, broken up by JJ DallasSimilar
Q1 14:52
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
95.6%
Riley Ferguson punt for 32 yds, downed at the LaMon 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
95.2%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the LaMon 2Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+4
95.2%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 6
OWN 6
0
95.2%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 6
OWN 6
-3
95.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, (-3 Yards) to the LaMon 3Similar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 9
OWN 3
+46
95.2%
Harrison Heim punt for 46 yds , John Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:5295% → 95%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
50
-12
95.0%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the MEMPHIS 47 MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Miller) to the Memph 38Similar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 22
OWN 38
-4
94.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 6 yds to the Memph 44 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive holding (Darrell Henderson) to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 26
OWN 34
+66
95.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 66 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
95.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-5
95.0%
Gore, Derrick rush for 5 yards to the ULM31 (DILLON, Jackson), PENALTY ULM illegal shift 5 yards to the ULM21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+6
95.0%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
95.1%
Harrison Heim punt for 41 yds, downed at the Memph 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
94.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+7
94.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 7 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
95.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
95.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
95.0%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
94.9%
Spencer Smith punt for 49 yds, downed at the LaMon 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 4:235% → 8%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
94.6%
Garrett Smith run for 7 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+2
94.6%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+9
94.7%
Kayin White run for 9 yds to the LaMon 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
94.6%
Garrett Smith run for 2 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-10
94.6%
Smith, Garrett pass complete to Brown, Jarell for 1 yard to the ULM24 (AVERY, Genard), PENALTY ULM holding (Spiller, Sloan) 10 yards to the ULM13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 18
OWN 13
+6
94.6%
Garrett Smith run for 6 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+43
94.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to RJ Turner for 43 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
94.4%
Derrick Gore run for 7 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+17
94.3%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Genard Avery) to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
92.2%
Derrick Gore run for 14 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:3193% → 93%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
93.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
93.0%
Anthony Miller run for 5 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+8
93.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 8 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
93.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+4
93.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-5
93.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Roger Joseph) to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+14
93.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 14 yds to the LaMon 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
92.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 20 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.6%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the LaMon 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
92.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 2Similar
Q2 14:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.4%
Riley Ferguson 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
93.0%
Garrett Smith run for 8 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+2
92.7%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
92.8%
Garrett Smith run for 5 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
92.7%
Kayin White run for 1 yd to the LaMon 47Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
92.7%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q2 14:23
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
93.0%
Harrison Heim punt for 34 yds, downed at the Memph 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
92.8%
Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
92.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-5
92.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Dustin Woodard) to the Memph 19Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
92.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for no gain to the Memph 19Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
92.3%
Nick Jacobs punt for 53 yds, downed at the LaMon 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
92.3%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
92.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 5 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
92.1%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus Green, broken up by Jonathan CookSimilar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
92.4%
Harrison Heim punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
95.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 55 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
94.4%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 33 Caleb Evans fumbled, recovered by LaMon Caleb EvansSimilar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+5
94.5%
Duke Carter IV run for 5 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-7
94.4%
Caleb Evans sacked by Ernest Suttles for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
94.6%
Harrison Heim punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
94.8%
Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
94.7%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony Miller, broken up by Nick IngramSimilar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
94.6%
Spencer Smith punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Marcus Green at the LaMon 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 60 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
94.2%
Garrett Smith run for 7 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
93.9%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.0%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
94.1%
Garrett Smith run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 8
50
+46
94.1%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Markis McCray for 46 yds to the Memph 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.5%
Garrett Smith run for 2 yds to the Memph 2Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
93.5%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 5 Derrick Gore fumbled, forced by Curtis Akins, recovered by Memph Jonathan WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
94.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (-2 Yards) to the Memph 3Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+3
94.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+5
94.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 11Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+13
94.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 13 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
94.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 14 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
94.9%
Riley Ferguson pass intercepted Collin Turner return for 18 yds to the Memph 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
92.9%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-4
92.8%
Garrett Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 34 Garrett Smith fumbled, recovered by Memph Bryce HuffSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18END OF HALF
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
94.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+13
95.0%
Riley Ferguson run for 13 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
95.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 5 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
95.1%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil Mayhue, broken up by Collin TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:393% → 2%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+17
97.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 17 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-16
97.7%
Caleb Evans sacked by O'Bryan Goodson for a loss of 16 yards to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 26
OWN 31
+5
97.8%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 21
OWN 36
0
97.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier Brown, broken up by Tito WindhamSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 21
OWN 36
+23
97.9%
Harrison Heim punt for 46 yds , John Williams returns for 23 yds to the MEMPHIS 41 MEMPHIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Curtis Akins) to the Memph 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:1898% → 98%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+38
98.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 23 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, roughing passer (Nick Ingram) to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
98.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
98.1%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+19
98.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 19 yds to the LaMon 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
98.3%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Tony Pollard, broken up by Collin TurnerSimilar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
98.3%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+8
98.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 3 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul (David Griffith) to the LaMon 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
98.1%
FERGUSON, Riley pass incomplete, QB hurry by Hedrick, Luke, PENALTY MEM pass interference (MAYHUE, Phil) 15 yards to the ULM20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+1
98.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaMon 19Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
98.2%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony Miller, broken up by Juwan OffraySimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+16
98.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 16 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q3 8:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
98.3%
Spencer Smith 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22TD
18 plays · 68 yds · 7:442% → 5%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
98.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 8 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+14
98.1%
Kayin White run for 14 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
98.1%
Kayin White run for 2 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
98.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 5 yds Markis McCray fumbled, forced by Curtis Akins, recovered by LaMon Markis McCraySimilar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+2
98.1%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
98.1%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 37Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-5
98.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Sloan Spiller) to the Memph 42Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 16
OPP 42
+2
98.1%
Kayin White run for 2 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+14
98.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 14 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
97.9%
Kayin White run for 3 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+7
97.9%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds to the Memph 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
97.9%
Kayin White run for 2 yds to the Memph 14Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+3
97.9%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the Memph 11Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
98.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Duke Carter IV, broken up by Curtis AkinsSimilar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+6
98.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 6 yds to the Memph 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
97.9%
Kayin White run for 3 yds to the Memph 2Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.8%
Kayin White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:2097% → 99%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony Miller, broken up by Rhoy WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+63
99.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 63 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:081% → 1%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
99.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 14Similar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+1
99.0%
Kayin White run for 1 yd to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+20
99.0%
Garrett Smith run for 20 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.0%
Duke Carter IV run for 5 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
99.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for 6 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.0%
Garrett Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 41 Garrett Smith fumbled, recovered by LaMon Garrett SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
99.0%
Garrett Smith pass intercepted Austin Hall return for no gain to the Memph 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1699% → 99%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-6
99.3%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 43Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+2
99.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to John Williams for 2 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 14
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Nick Jacobs punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kayin White at the LaMon 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 26TD
17 plays · 84 yds · 6:061% → 3%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
99.2%
Garrett Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+8
99.2%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Xavier Brown for 8 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+10
99.2%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Josh Pederson for 10 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+17
99.2%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Brian Williams for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.1%
MEMPHIS Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 5
OPP 45
-1
99.1%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+8
99.1%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Darius Rodrique for 8 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.1%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for no gain to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.1%
Marcus Green run for no gain to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+27
99.1%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Xavier Brown for 17 yds to the Memph 21 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, targeting (Jonathan Wilson) to the Memph 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.9%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
98.9%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the Memph 11Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 10
OPP 11
-5
99.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 16Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 15
OPP 16
0
99.1%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Xavier Brown, broken up by Tim GordonSimilar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+16
97.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for 16 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27FUMBLE
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
98.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+8
98.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 8 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
98.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
98.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-3
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LaMon Derion FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 28TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 1:472% → 14%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Duke Carter IV for no gain to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+14
97.6%
Caleb Evans run for 14 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to D'Marius Gillespie, broken up by Curtis AkinsSimilar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
97.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 4 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+17
97.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 17 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+25
97.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 25 yds to the Memph 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to D'Marius Gillespie, broken up by Shaun RupertSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
85.9%
Xavier Brown 6 Yd pass from Caleb Evans (Caleb Evans Pass to Brian Williams for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:1097% → 97%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-2
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-3
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:40
Xavier Brown 6 Yd pass from Caleb Evans (Caleb Evans Pass to Brian Williams for Two-Point Conversion)
-11.1
TD · Q3 0:39
Kayin White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)
-3
TD · Q2 9:11
Darrell Henderson run for 55 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com