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MASS

Massachusetts 16 at BYU 10

BYU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Logan Laurent punt for 50 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 6 yds to the BYU 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Home team on offense−27.7Score differential−12.8Garbage-time factor−7.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Pregame prior+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:21: Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 40 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK) — MASS win probability +11.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:15: Logan Laurent 28 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +8.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:31: Bilal Ally run for 11 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST down — MASS win probability +8.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:53: Joe Critchlow pass complete to Matt Bushman for 6 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +15.3 pts (now 19%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:38: TEAM run for no gain to the BYU 46 — MASS win probability +7.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00BYU 4th & 15 at BYU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:31MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:28MASS 4th & 10 at BYU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:28BYU 4th & 11 at MASS 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:42BYU 4th & 10 at MASS 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:15BYU 4th & 15 at BYU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:03MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:10BYU 4th & 11 at MASS 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    52.1%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:22BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:15MASS 4th & 4 at BYU 10, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.0%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−9.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:55MASS 4th & 3 at BYU 17, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.7%−0.7
    80% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−9.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:35BYU 4th & 10 at MASS 22, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−7.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 20, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−3.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:48BYU 4th & 20 at MASS 34, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:55MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 16, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−4.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:31MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 41, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:16BYU 4th & 27 at BYU 45, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:28MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 37, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 13:21MASS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 0:53BYU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.9%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.1%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete, broken up by Lee MosesSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
54.1%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
54.1%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
54.1%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
54.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
54.2%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
54.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 4 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 14:31
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
54.2%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:31
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
54.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
54.3%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
54.3%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
54.2%
Joe Critchlow pass intercepted Lee Moses return for 13 yds to the BYU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2446% → 46%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
54.0%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-3
54.1%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+3
54.3%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
54.4%
Logan Laurent 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+4
54.7%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
54.8%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
54.7%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to KJ Hall for 3 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+7
54.8%
Squally Canada run for 7 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
54.9%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
55.0%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+6
54.9%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 6 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
55.0%
Squally Canada run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-9
54.9%
Joe Critchlow sacked by Da'Sean Downey for a loss of 9 yards to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 20
OWN 47
+9
54.5%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Brayden El-Bakri for 9 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
54.5%
Jonny Linehan punt for 41 yds, downed at the UMass 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
15 plays · 41 yds · 5:0445% → 45%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
55.0%
BYU Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 8Similar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 5
OWN 8
+3
55.0%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 2
OWN 11
+8
54.8%
Bilal Ally run for 8 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
54.8%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+8
54.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
54.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UMass 16Similar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
54.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds Andy Isabella fumbled, forced by Zayne Anderson,Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+2
54.7%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 2
OWN 24
-10
54.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+17
55.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 17 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
54.6%
Marquis Young run for 14 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
54.0%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
54.2%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
54.4%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+21
55.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 43 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 21 yds to the BYU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
55.8%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
55.8%
Squally Canada run for 8 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+14
56.4%
Squally Canada run for 14 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
57.3%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-8
57.2%
Joe Critchlow sacked by Leon Flanagan Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 18
OWN 48
+8
55.3%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 8 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
55.3%
Jonny Linehan punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8FG
18 plays · 74 yds · 6:4445% → 51%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
54.7%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+9
54.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
54.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 7 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+4
53.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 4 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
54.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 9 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+2
53.0%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
53.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 11 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
52.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 5 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
52.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+8
53.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
52.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 16 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
52.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 12 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
49.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
49.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 11Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
50.9%
Andrew Ford sacked by Sione Takitaki for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 16Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
49.3%
Logan Laurent 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.1%
KJ Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
50.2%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Brayden El-Bakri for 3 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-10
49.5%
Joe Critchlow sacked by Jesse Monteiro and Sha-Ki Holines for a loss of 10 yards to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
48.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Andy Isabella at the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
49.1%
Andy Isabella run for 7 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
48.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bilal AllySimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
49.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jessie Britt, broken up by Fred WarnerSimilar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+15
50.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 45 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 15 yds to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
49.7%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 9 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
52.3%
KJ Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
52.1%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Matt Bushman for 9 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
52.9%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
52.4%
KJ Hall run for 2 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
52.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to KJ Hall for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
52.9%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
52.4%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 6
OPP 39
-5
50.7%
BYU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
48.7%
Jonny Linehan punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
47.8%
TEAM run for no gain to the UMass 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:3352% → 66%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
48.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Kesni TausingaSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
48.3%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+14
49.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 14 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
46.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 17 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
34.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 40 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5935% → 32%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.8%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
35.1%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
32.6%
Joe Critchlow sacked by Bryton Barr for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
31.5%
Jonny Linehan punt for 43 yds , Andy Isabella returns for no gain to the UMass 34 Andy Isabella fumbled, recovered by UMass Jessie BrittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:1968% → 78%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
32.4%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+8
31.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 8 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
31.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 12 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
31.3%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+1
31.1%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+20
31.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 20 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
30.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+9
30.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 1
OPP 7
-3
31.4%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 10Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
22.5%
Logan Laurent 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
25.5%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
25.3%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Squally Canada for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
24.6%
Joe Critchlow pass intercepted Bryton Barr return for no gain to the BYU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0182% → 85%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
17.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Fred WarnerSimilar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
17.9%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
17.9%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
15.0%
Logan Laurent 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:2018% → 20%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
18.0%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to KJ Hall for 15 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
19.2%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to KJ Hall for 11 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
20.1%
KJ Hall run for 3 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+10
20.1%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Beau Tanner for 10 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
20.3%
KJ Hall run for 14 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
21.0%
KJ Hall run for no gain to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
20.6%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete, broken up by Ali Ali-MusaSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
20.1%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
20.2%
Rhett Almond 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3085% → 85%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
15.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
15.4%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-6
15.6%
Andrew Ford sacked by Corbin Kaufusi for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 20
+6
15.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 50 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 6 yds to the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
18.5%
Joe Critchlow sacked by Kyle Horn for 0 yards to the BYU 36 Joe Critchlow fumbled, recovered by BYU , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+40
18.2%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Micah Simon for 40 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
21.6%
KJ Hall run for 3 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
21.6%
Joe Critchlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 7
OPP 21
-13
20.5%
Joe Critchlow sacked by Jesse Monteiro for a loss of 13 yards to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 20
OPP 34
+21
17.9%
Joe Critchlow pass intercepted Tyler Hayes return for 21 yds to the UMass 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
10.9%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-2
11.0%
Andrew Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 14 Andrew Ford fumbled, recovered by UMass Marquis YoungSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+2
11.3%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 15
OWN 16
+5
11.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 39 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
50
0
14.7%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Micah Hannemann, broken up by Jackson PorterSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
50
+10
14.3%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Beau Tanner for 10 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
15.3%
KJ Hall run for 11 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
16.7%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Squally CanadaSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
16.3%
Joe Critchlow pass intercepted Leon Flanagan Jr. return for no gain to the UMass 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
7.6%
Bilal Ally run for 11 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
7.4%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
7.0%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+3
7.4%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+39
7.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 36 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 39 yds to the UMass 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 7%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
8.9%
BYU Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 20
OPP 48
-10
8.0%
BYU Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 30
OWN 42
-5
7.3%
Joe Critchlow sacked by Ali Ali-Musa for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 35
OWN 37
+8
7.0%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 8 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 27
OWN 45
0
7.0%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Beau TannerSimilar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 27
OWN 45
+26
6.9%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Micah Simon for 26 yds to the UMass 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5696% → 97%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
3.7%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+1
3.6%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+3
3.6%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
3.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 13 , Michael Shelton returns for no gain to the BYU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 1:282% → 19%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+17
2.0%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 17 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
2.1%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Aleva Hifo, broken up by Bakhari GoodsonSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
2.0%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+18
1.9%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Talon Shumway for 18 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
2.3%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Aleva Hifo, broken up by Jake ByczkoSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+40
2.2%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 40 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
3.3%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
3.3%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Talon Shumway for 6 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
18.5%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Matt Bushman for 6 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
4.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
4.6%
TEAM run for no gain to the BYU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:53
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Matt Bushman for 6 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)
+15.3
TD · Q3 13:21
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 40 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)
-11.9
FG · Q3 7:15
Logan Laurent 28 yd FG GOOD
-8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com