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APP

App State 27 at Massachusetts 30

MASS
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:07 · Logan Laurent punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 46Home team on offense+2.5Pregame prior−6.9Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+0.3Time remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 4:42: Chandler Staton 30 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +18.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 0:05: Logan Laurent 45 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +41.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Marquis Young run for 10 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK) — MASS win probability +17.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 20 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +39.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Logan Laurent 36 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +19.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 9APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00APP 4th & 1 at APP 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:44MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:33APP 4th & 4 at APP 9, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:21APP 4th & 8 at APP 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:10MASS 4th & 8 at APP 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:10APP 4th & 4 at MASS 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:07MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00APP 4th & 4 at APP 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:55MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:34APP 4th & 1 at MASS 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−2.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:20APP 4th & 7 at MASS 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−1.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:06APP 4th & 2 at MASS 22, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.7%−1.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−11.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:06MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−5.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:03APP 4th & 17 at APP 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−5.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:15MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00APP 4th & 1 at MASS 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.3%−4.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−15.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:09MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 37, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−4.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:32APP 4th & 1 at MASS 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    47.5%−5.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−20.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:42APP 4th & 2 at MASS 13, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%−4.0
    85% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−28.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:42MASS 4th & 23 at MASS 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−5.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:57APP 4th & 8 at MASS 38, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−1.5
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%−2.9
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:05MASS 4th & 10 at APP 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−15.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−24.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:21MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:55APP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:09MASS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:04APP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.6%
Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
41.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike LewisSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
41.6%
Malik Williams run for 8 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
41.6%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 34 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for 7 yds to the UMass 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
42.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+4
42.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 4 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-5
42.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Malik Lee) to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+8
42.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 8 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+2
42.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 51 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 2 yds to the AppSt 47 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, illegal block (3 Yards) to the AppSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
42.8%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 2Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+2
42.9%
Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the AppSt 4Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+5
42.9%
Lamb,Taylor pass incomplete to Hennigan,T., PENALTY UMASS offside defense (HOLINES, Sha-Ki) 5 yards to the APP9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 9
0
42.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 4
OWN 9
0
43.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 0:5344% → 46%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+37
43.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 37 yds to the AppSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
43.8%
Nick Orekoya run for 2 yds to the AppSt 1Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.3%
Nick Orekoya run for 1 yd for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
45.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
45.5%
Jalen Virgil run for 6 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
45.3%
Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
45.3%
Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
45.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
45.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
45.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+18
45.7%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 26 yds for a 1ST down , Jessie Britt returns for 18 yds to the UMASS 45 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3548% → 49%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
48.2%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
48.2%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
48.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Tae HayesSimilar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+47
48.5%
Logan Laurent 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
47.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 7 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Lee Moses) to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
46.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 46Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+6
47.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 6 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+1
46.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 1 yd to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
47.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
49.9%
Andy Isabella run for 5 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+15
49.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 15 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
50.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
50
-15
51.0%
FORD, Andrew pass incomplete to BRENEMAN, Adam, PENALTY UMASS personal foul (THOMAS, SR., R.) 15 yards to the UMASS35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 25
OWN 35
0
50.0%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 25
OWN 35
0
49.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 25
OWN 35
+11
49.5%
Ross Comis run for 11 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
49.4%
Logan Laurent punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1949% → 47%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
51.3%
Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+5
51.4%
Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 27
-2
52.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
53.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 55 yds, downed at the UMass 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
52.5%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UMass 29 Bilal Ally fumbled, forced by Eric Boggs, recovered by AppSt Antonious SimsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:1449% → 54%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+26
51.5%
Malik Williams run for 26 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
51.6%
Malik Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 9Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 0
OPP 9
-6
50.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Beau Nunn) to the UMass 15Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
46.2%
Taylor Lamb run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, O ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.8%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
47.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 5 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
47.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 45 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 3 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0051% → 52%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
48.9%
Harrington,D. rush for 11 yards to the APP38 (FLANAGAN, JR. L;MONTEIRO, Jesse), PENALTY APP holding 10 yards to the APP17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 20
OWN 17
0
49.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to T.J. WatkinsSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 20
OWN 17
0
49.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Daetrich HarringtonSimilar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 20
OWN 17
+29
50.1%
Taylor Lamb run for 29 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
47.3%
Williams,M. rush for 3 yards to the APP49, out-of-bounds (MONTEIRO, Jesse), PENALTY UMASS 0D (DOWNEY, Da'Sean) 5 yards to the UMASS49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 5
OPP 49
0
46.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
47.1%
Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
47.3%
Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
48.1%
Malik Williams run for no gain to the UMass 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
51.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 17 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
52.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+3
50.9%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-10
51.4%
FORD, Andrew pass complete to ISABELLA, Andy for 3 yards to the APP38 (Davis,Akeem), PENALTY UMASS holding (THOMAS, SR., R.) 10 yards to the UMASS49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 22
OWN 49
+7
50.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 7 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+6
49.8%
Andrew Ford sacked by Antonious Sims for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 44 Andrew Ford fumbled, recovered by AppSt Antonious Sims , return for 0 yards , return for 6 yds to the UMass 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
47.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the UMass 34 Daetrich Harrington fumbled, recovered by UMass Isaiah RodgersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0052% → 53%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
51.6%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
52.5%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+32
52.8%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Tae Hayes return for 17 yds to the UMASS 40 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Myquon Stout) to the UMass 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
48.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
49.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 3 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
49.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
51.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18TD
1 play · 95 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+95
61.6%
Marquis Young run for 95 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
62.3%
Malik Williams run for 19 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
61.0%
Williams,M. rush for loss of 2 yards to the UMASS45 (ALI-MUSA, Ali;DOWNEY, Da'Sean), PENALTY APP holding (Nunn,Beau) 10 yards to the APP47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+7
62.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 7 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 13
OPP 46
-2
62.0%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Lee Moses return for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 1:5164% → 68%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
64.3%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
64.2%
Bilal Ally run for 11 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
64.6%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
64.9%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+25
68.2%
Ross Comis run for 25 yds to the UMASS 39 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Desmond Franklin) to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+36
70.1%
Jyvon Brown pass intercepted Eric Boggs return for 36 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
68.2%
PENALTY UMASS unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY APP unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:2136% → 49%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+22
63.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 22 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
62.2%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+16
62.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 16 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+2
51.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense (2 Yards) to the UMass 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
53.9%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
53.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 4 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+8
53.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Ross Comis for 8 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
54.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Adam Breneman for 9 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
56.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
55.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Adam Breneman for 4 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
56.5%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
54.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 45
-7
53.2%
Ross Comis sacked by Antonious Sims for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:2045% → 52%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
54.7%
Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-3
53.1%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+26
56.1%
Taylor Lamb run for 26 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
51.6%
Malik Williams run for 9 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
50.0%
Malik Williams run for no gain to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
51.4%
Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
52.8%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+4
52.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
54.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Daetrich HarringtonSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+40
47.8%
Chandler Staton 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.2%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Eric BoggsSimilar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.9%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
52.5%
Ross Comis sacked by Antonious Sims for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 21 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
51.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0055% → 49%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
45.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malik Williams, broken up by Da'Sean DowneySimilar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
45.6%
Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 8
OPP 46
-5
46.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Malik Williams) to the AppSt 49Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 13
OWN 49
-4
48.7%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 17
OWN 45
0
51.5%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
54.3%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+3
54.1%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
52.7%
Ross Comis run for no gain to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+23
51.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 44 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 23 yds to the UMass 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:1955% → 52%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
45.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 40
0
47.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+12
48.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 12 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
47.9%
Malik Williams run for no gain to the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
56.3%
Ross Comis run for 4 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
56.7%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
57.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Malik LeeSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
55.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 29FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 7:5049% → 74%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
50.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 17 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
49.3%
Malik Williams run for 4 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
46.6%
Malik Williams run for 7 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
46.2%
Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
45.7%
Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+9
45.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
44.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 4 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
43.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
45.8%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+4
48.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
42.5%
Lamb,Taylor pass complete to Lewis,Ike for 21 yards to the UMASS0, clock 06:14, PENALTY APP holding (Johnson,Victor) 10 yards to the UMASS31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+17
43.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 17 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+1
42.5%
Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
44.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Dante Jones, broken up by Jarell AddoSimilar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+30
26.5%
Chandler Staton 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 0:0041% → 33%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
41.0%
ALLY, Bilal rush for 23 yards to the APP37 (Franklin,D.), PENALTY UMASS holding 10 yards to the UMASS30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+10
37.1%
Ross Comis run for 10 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
38.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Derek Dumais) to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 15
OWN 35
-8
36.5%
Ross Comis sacked by Eric Boggs for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 23
OWN 27
0
34.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Eric BoggsSimilar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 23
OWN 27
+21
33.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 53 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 21 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 31PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:4879% → 85%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
20.9%
Malik Williams run for 19 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
19.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
15.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-6
14.8%
Jalen Virgil run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
14.6%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 32FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 1:4525% → 57%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
25.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
26.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
26.2%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
25.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 10 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
29.1%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+10
29.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 10 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
32.4%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+8
36.7%
Ross Comis run for 8 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
36.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 7 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 3
OPP 20
-2
36.7%
Ross Comis run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 5
OPP 22
-5
33.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Lukas Kolter) to the AppSt 27Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
32.2%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
57.4%
Logan Laurent 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 34TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
64.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 5 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+7
64.7%
Ross Comis run for 7 yds to the AppSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
64.7%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
82.1%
Marquis Young run for 10 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 35TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
80.4%
Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the UMass 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
40.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 20 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 36FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
40.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the UMass 22 Daetrich Harrington fumbled, forced by Ali Ali-Musa, recovered by UMass Bryton BarrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 37FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0065% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
64.7%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+1
64.7%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the AppSt 21Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+3
62.4%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
78.3%
Logan Laurent 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:05
Logan Laurent 45 yd FG GOOD
+41.3
TD · OT 0:00
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 20 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
-39.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+21.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com