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OHIO

Ohio 58 at Massachusetts 50

MASS
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:26 · Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense−20.2Score differential−7.6Garbage-time factor−7.4Pregame prior−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:26: Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 30 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK) — MASS win probability +11.8 pts (now 57%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:41: A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +12.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:38: Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 12 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +16.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:41: Dorian Brown run for 15 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +11.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:23: Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Ford pass to Andy Isabella for Two-Point Conversion) — MASS win probability +11.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 11OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:30MASS 4th & 6 at OHIO 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00MASS 4th & 1 at OHIO 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−0.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−3.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:05OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:11MASS 4th & 4 at OHIO 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    46.4%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:35MASS 4th & 3 at OHIO 16, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%−0.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:24OHIO 4th & 8 at MASS 8, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:09OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 34, up 4
    Close callPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:38OHIO 4th & 6 at MASS 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:41MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:38MASS 4th & 2 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.3%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:57MASS 4th & 6 at OHIO 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−4.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:14MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 49, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.6%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:26MASS 4th & 11 at OHIO 25, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−5.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:41MASS 4th & 6 at OHIO 19, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−4.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:10OHIO 4th & 6 at MASS 16, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−4.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:10MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 26, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 6OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:03OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:05MASS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:22OHIO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:57OHIO Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:09MASS Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:26MASS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:41OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:38OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:41OHIO Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:41MASS Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:23MASS Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.1 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.5%−1.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:42OHIO Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 0:11MASS Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.7 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:3043% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
42.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+24
42.9%
Marquis Young run for 24 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
42.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 19 yds to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
42.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
42.9%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the Ohio 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
42.9%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
44.0%
Logan Laurent 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:2756% → 57%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
43.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 17 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
43.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
43.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 1
50
+8
43.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
43.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+29
43.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 29 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
42.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:5844% → 49%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Tony PorterSimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
43.6%
Bilal Ally run for 17 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
44.2%
Ross Comis run for 7 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
44.3%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
44.4%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+13
44.4%
Ross Comis pass complete to Adam Breneman for 13 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
44.6%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (Cleon Aloese) to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
44.6%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Bradd EllisSimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
44.6%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+6
44.6%
Ross Comis run for 6 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+4
44.0%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
44.9%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the Ohio 2Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.5%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
46.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+10
46.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 10 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
46.1%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 36Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+5
47.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 5 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
46.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:05
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+10
47.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 45 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for 10 yds to the UMass 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 4:3848% → 52%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
47.9%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (Evan Croutch) to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 5
OWN 29
+1
48.6%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
48.4%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+17
48.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Malik Lee for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+10
50.1%
FORD, Andrew sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UMASS45 (Moore, Chad), PENALTY OHIO holding (Hagan, Javon) 10 yards to the OHIO40, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
50.2%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
50.0%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+6
50.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 6 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+11
50.4%
Andrew Ford run for 11 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
51.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis Young, broken up by Chad MooreSimilar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
51.8%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
51.2%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+35
52.3%
Logan Laurent 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:1351% → 58%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
48.7%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+7
48.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the UMass 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
41.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 16 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
43.6%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 10Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
43.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 4 yds Andy Isabella fumbled, recovered by Ohio Andrew PayneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8TD
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:4058% → 66%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
41.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
34.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 17 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
34.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
34.6%
Bilal Ally run for 7 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+33
35.0%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Chad Moore return for 33 yds to the UMass 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5166% → 67%
Q2 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
33.8%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
33.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom, broken up by Jackson PorterSimilar
Q2 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
32.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q2 7:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
33.3%
Louie Zervos 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
44.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
41.6%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Bryton Barr for a loss of 12 yards to the Ohio 13Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+16
42.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 16 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
41.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 5 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
41.7%
Michael Farkas punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:4741% → 57%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
41.0%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+6
40.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 6 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+5
41.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 5 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+27
43.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 27 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
45.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
44.9%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+30
56.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 30 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 1:4850% → 56%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
49.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 9 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+6
49.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 6 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
49.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Jarell AddoSimilar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
49.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+16
50.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 16 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
48.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Jackson PorterSimilar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
48.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+12
49.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Xavier Steele) to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
48.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
49.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Tyler HayesSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
51.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
44.0%
Louie Zervos 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
50.3%
TEAM run for no gain to the UMass 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1953% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
47.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 48 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
43.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+5
43.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
43.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive holding (Xavier Steele) to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
43.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
30.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
35.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 5 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+7
35.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 7 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
35.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jessie Britt, broken up by Kevin RobbinsSimilar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
35.4%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
36.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+2
34.5%
Logan Laurent punt for 43 yds , DL Knock returns for 2 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:2467% → 85%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
33.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 11 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
32.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
31.1%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
31.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to DL Knock for 7 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+7
30.3%
Dorian Brown run for 7 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
30.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 14 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
29.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to DL KnockSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
30.2%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+15
30.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 15 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
14.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 12 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 38 yds · 2:4121% → 18%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
20.7%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
20.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 9 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-1
21.4%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 2
50
+5
20.4%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
21.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+17
21.1%
Andrew Ford run for 17 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
22.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
21.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Kyle Horn, broken up by Evan CroutchSimilar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+4
17.8%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+4
17.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 4 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20SF
1 play · -20 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
17.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETY TEAM fumbled, recovered by Ohio Dorian Brown for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 35 yds · 3:4822% → 18%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
22.0%
Andy Isabella run for 1 yd to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
21.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Kyle HornSimilar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+8
21.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 8 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
21.9%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
23.1%
Bilal Ally run for 18 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-4
25.0%
Andrew Ford sacked by Kent Berger and Tony Porter for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 35Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+7
23.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+4
23.3%
FORD, Andrew pass incomplete to BRITT, Jessie, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (Gullett, Tyler) 4 yards to the OHIO24, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
25.3%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
22.4%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
20.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q4 14:26
4TH & 11
OPP 25
0
17.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4086% → 97%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+60
14.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 60 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
3.1%
Dorian Brown run for 15 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:007% → 17%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+23
6.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 23 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.3%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
6.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 5 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
7.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+4
7.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 4 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+15
7.1%
FORD, Andrew pass complete to BRENEMAN, Adam for no gain to the OHIO38 (Hagan, Javon), PENALTY OHIO roughing passer (Moore, Chad) 15 yards to the OHIO23, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
7.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
7.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+4
7.0%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+19
16.6%
Marquis Young 19 Yd pass from Andrew Ford (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 4:3192% → 97%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
7.6%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Jesse Monteiro and Chinedu Ogbonna for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
7.8%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+16
8.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 16 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
7.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 26 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
6.9%
Julian Ross run for 6 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
6.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 4
OPP 14
-2
7.0%
Julian Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
3.3%
Louie Zervos 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:474% → 17%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-8
4.4%
Andrew Ford sacked by Austin Conrad and Andrew Payne for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 18 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 18
OWN 18
0
4.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jessie BrittSimilar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 18
OWN 18
+8
4.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 8 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+22
4.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 22 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
4.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 15 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
5.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 15 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
5.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
5.5%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the Ohio 21Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+14
5.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 14 yds to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
16.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Ford pass to Andy Isabella for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:4194% → 99%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
5.8%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+9
6.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+42
1.0%
Dorian Brown run for 42 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 1:312% → 10%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
2.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+22
2.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 22 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
2.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
2.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+17
2.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 17 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
3.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
9.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 16 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
2.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
2.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Ali Ali-Musa) to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:38
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 12 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-16.4
TD · Q3 12:41
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q2 2:26
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 30 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)
+11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com