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MRSH

Marshall 25 at Florida Atlantic 30

FAU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2017 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:10 · Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 20 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Pregame prior+10.1Home team on offense+2.7Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Time remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:10: Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +12.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:27: Keion Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik PAT MISSED) — MRSH win probability +11.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:25: Kamrin Solomon pass complete to Devin Singletary for 60 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +20.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:37: Devin Singletary run for 13 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +6.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:16: Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 15 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +10.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 1 at MRSH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 1 at MRSH 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:16MRSH 4th & 9 at FAU 14, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:16FAU 4th & 3 at MRSH 45, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    76.1%−1.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:09MRSH 4th & 8 at FAU 11, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:09FAU 4th & 13 at FAU 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−1.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:03FAU 4th & 14 at MRSH 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−6.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:10MRSH 4th & 3 at FAU 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    29.6%−0.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−8.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:12FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:03MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:25MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 8 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:37MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:16MRSH 4th & 10 at FAU 15, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:28FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:14MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.3%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:50FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:32FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:10MRSH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:27MRSH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    40.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:25FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:37FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:16MRSH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
17 plays · 74 yds · 5:1072% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
72.0%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+10
72.0%
Devin Singletary run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
72.0%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
72.0%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+7
72.0%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
72.0%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+15
72.0%
Devin Singletary run for 15 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
72.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
72.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for no gain to the Marsh 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+6
72.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 6 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+9
72.0%
Devin Singletary run for 9 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
72.0%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the Marsh 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+3
72.0%
Jason Driskel run for 3 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+5
72.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 5 yds to the Marsh 4Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
72.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Marsh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.2%
Jason Driskel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2INT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
72.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 14 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
72.3%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+8
72.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 8 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
72.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Willie Johnson) to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+1
72.4%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 14
OWN 45
-2
72.5%
Tyler King run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 43Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+38
72.6%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Jalen Young return for 38 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
76.9%
Willie Wright run for 19 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4MISSED FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 7:1625% → 23%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.2%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
75.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 13 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
74.9%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
74.9%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 5
OWN 47
-5
74.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+10
75.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 10 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
74.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 18 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
74.3%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
74.2%
Tyler King run for no gain to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+13
74.6%
Chase Litton run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
74.2%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 9
OPP 14
-15
75.9%
LITTON, Chase pass complete to KING, Tyler for 14 yards to the FAU0, clock 00:19, PENALTY MAR pass interference (BRADY, Tyre) 15 yards to the FAU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 24
OPP 29
+9
76.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 9 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+6
77.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 6 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
77.1%
Kaare Vedvik 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 35 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
79.6%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-3
79.6%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+19
79.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 19 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
80.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 1 yd to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
80.1%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-5
79.7%
DRISKEL, Jason pass complete to BRYANT, Harriso for 7 yards to the FAU48 (GANT, Malik), PENALTY FAU holding 5 yards to the FAU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+12
79.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 12 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
80.3%
DRISKEL, Jason pass complete to WRIGHT, Willie for 3 yards to the MAR49 (GANT, Malik), PENALTY MAR substitution infraction 5 yards to the MAR47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 5
OPP 47
-1
80.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
80.3%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+3
79.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 3 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
79.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Harrison Bryant FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:3221% → 24%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
78.9%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
78.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 6 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
78.4%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+31
78.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 31 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
77.7%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
77.7%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
78.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Shelton LewisSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
76.1%
Kaare Vedvik 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
76.5%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+18
76.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 18 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
77.5%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 46 Devin Singletary fumbled, forced by Davon Durant,Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
77.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie Wright, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-7
76.8%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 13
OWN 39
-5
75.2%
Ryan Rickel punt for 52 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 34 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal block (2 Yards) to the Marsh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8INT
11 plays · 55 yds · 0:0023% → 25%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
77.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+5
77.3%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 5
OWN 7
+12
78.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 12 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
76.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 5 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
76.6%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+13
77.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 13 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
75.9%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
76.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 7 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+9
75.7%
Tyler King run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
75.2%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
75.2%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Shelton Lewis return for no gain to the FlAtl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 1:2579% → 82%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
78.6%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
78.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+66
77.7%
Devin Singletary run for 66 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
80.4%
Willie Wright run for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+3
79.9%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
78.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
81.9%
Greg Joseph 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
82.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5017% → 32%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Herb MillerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
82.9%
Tyler King run for 10 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
82.4%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
82.4%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+59
82.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 59 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.4%
Tyler King run for no gain to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:4330% → 44%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
70.4%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
69.9%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+15
70.2%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to BRADY, Tyre, PENALTY FAU offside declined, PENALTY FAU pass interference (TOOLEY, Chris) 15 yards to the FAU31, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
68.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Tarik Adams) to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+11
71.1%
Keion Davis run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+1
68.2%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
69.6%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+20
71.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 20 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
68.2%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
68.2%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.4%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1564% → 64%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
63.9%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
62.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 4 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
63.8%
Ryan Rickel punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
60.8%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+8
60.7%
Tyler King run for 8 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
60.3%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
59.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
60.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Willie Johnson, broken up by Shelton LewisSimilar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
62.2%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 59 yds, downed at the FlAtl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 94 yds · 0:5263% → 85%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+10
63.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 10 yds to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+24
63.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 24 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
84.5%
Kamrin Solomon pass complete to Devin Singletary for 60 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 5 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
77.9%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
78.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
80.2%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kamrin Solomon at the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:4885% → 86%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.9%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+19
85.0%
Devin Singletary run for 19 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
87.6%
Willie Wright run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+1
87.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
50
0
86.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
50
0
85.6%
Ryan Rickel punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
82.9%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Jalen Young return for no gain to the Marsh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:5988% → 96%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
88.3%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+8
88.2%
Jason Driskel run for 8 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+21
88.9%
Devin Singletary run for 21 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
88.9%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 11Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
88.9%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
95.7%
Devin Singletary run for 13 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:215% → 14%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.6%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
94.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyler King for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
94.8%
Tyler King run for 9 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
94.5%
Ryan Yurachek run for 4 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
94.3%
Chase Litton run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Azeez Al-Shaair) to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
94.2%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-1
94.2%
Chase Litton sacked by Ernest Bagner for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+10
94.3%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to OBIALO, Obi, PENALTY FAU holding (MILLER, Herb) 10 yards to the FAU35, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
93.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan Yurachek, broken up by Shelton LewisSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
93.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+5
94.2%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+15
94.4%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to BRADY, Tyre, PENALTY FAU pass interference (TOOLEY, Chris) 15 yards to the FAU15, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
93.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
93.5%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
94.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+15
85.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 15 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:4890% → 93%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
90.3%
Devin Singletary run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
91.4%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
93.8%
Willie Wright run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
93.4%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
93.4%
Ryan Rickel punt for 37 yds, downed at the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
93.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
93.3%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
93.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Keion DavisSimilar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+1
93.7%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Jalen Young return for 1 yd to the FlAtl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23SF
6 plays · -43 yds · 2:2295% → 95%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 15
OWN 38
-9
94.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 24
OWN 29
-5
94.1%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 29
OWN 24
-24
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 24 yards for a SAFETY FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:25
Kamrin Solomon pass complete to Devin Singletary for 60 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+20.8
TD · Q3 12:10
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)
-12.2
TD · Q3 7:27
Keion Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik PAT MISSED)
-11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com