Try the model
UTEP

UTEP 7 at UAB 28

UAB
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Legion Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:48 · Alan Luna punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 40 , Andre Wilson returns for 13 yds to the UAB 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 46Pregame prior+31.8Home team on offense−1.3Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:20: Zack Greenlee pass complete to Josh Weeks for 2 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +3.1 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:31: Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UTEP 28 — UAB win probability +2.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:18: A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 30 yds for a TD, (S. Brown Run For Two-point Conversion) — UAB win probability +4.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:51: A.J. Erdely run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +5.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:23: A.J. Erdely pass complete to Logan Scott for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +4.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 16 at UTEP 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:57UAB 4th & 10 at UTEP 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:57UTEP 4th & 1 at UAB 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:48UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:44UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:18UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:43UAB 4th & 22 at UTEP 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UAB 4th & 12 at UAB 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:20UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:43UTEP 4th & 16 at UTEP 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:23UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 12 at UAB 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:16UTEP 4th & 7 at UAB 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:34UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 37, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:18UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:20UTEP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:18UAB Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:51UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:23UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
91.7%
Joshua Fields run for 10 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
91.7%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
91.7%
GREENLEE, Zack rush for 6 yards to the UTEP42, out-of-bounds (JOHNSTON III, T), PENALTY UTEP false start 5 yards to the UTEP31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+6
91.7%
Joshua Fields run for 6 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-8
91.7%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Fitzgerald Mofor for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 29
+7
91.7%
Alan Luna punt for 44 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 7 yds to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:2191% → 90%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
90.7%
Spencer Brown run for 17 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
90.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 14 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
90.9%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+11
90.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 11 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
90.9%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
90.9%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
90.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
90.0%
Nick Vogel 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3710% → 14%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.1%
Joshua Fields run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
89.9%
Zack Greenlee run for no gain to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Stacy Keely) to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
89.8%
Zack Greenlee run for 4 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
89.8%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Terry Juniel for 5 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
89.8%
Joshua Fields run for no gain to the UAB 44Similar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+41
89.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Josh Weeks for 41 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
89.7%
TK Powell run for 1 yd to the UAB 2Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.5%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Josh Weeks for 2 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 7:1987% → 86%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
87.1%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
87.2%
Donnie Lee run for 2 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+7
87.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 7 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
87.6%
James Noble III run for 4 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
87.7%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
87.6%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
86.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 7 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
86.4%
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
86.4%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+3
86.7%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+4
86.3%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
86.7%
ERDELY, A.J. rush for 6 yards to the UTEP17, out-of-bounds (JONES, Alvin), PENALTY UAB holding (POWERS, J.) 10 yards to the UTEP33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+8
86.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 8 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+12
86.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to James Noble III for 12 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
86.7%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+35
86.0%
Nick Vogel 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
83.8%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Tevin Crews for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+1
83.9%
Kevin Dove run for 1 yd to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+2
84.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 2 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+13
84.6%
Alan Luna punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 40 , Andre Wilson returns for 13 yds to the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
84.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-2
84.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
83.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre Wilson, broken up by Kalon BeverlySimilar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
82.8%
Joel Dixon punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
81.0%
Kevin Dove run for 1 yd to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+24
81.1%
Zack Greenlee pass intercepted Broderick Thomas return for 24 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 1:1384% → 89%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
83.8%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-2
83.8%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+30
88.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 30 yds for a TD, (S. Brown Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.4%
Kevin Dove run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
87.1%
Kevin Dove run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
87.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
87.9%
Alan Luna punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
87.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 15 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
87.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 6 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+25
88.5%
Spencer Brown run for 25 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
88.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
88.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-12
88.1%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Alvin Jones for a loss of 12 yards to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 22
OPP 48
+40
86.9%
Joel Dixon punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 13 UTEP Penalty, illegal participation (5 Yards) to the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11INT
9 plays · 48 yds · 1:0913% → 15%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
86.7%
Kevin Dove run for 3 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+3
86.7%
Kevin Dove run for 3 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+30
86.7%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 30 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
84.8%
Zack Greenlee run for 17 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
83.8%
UTEP Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UAB 44Similar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 15
OPP 44
0
84.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Josh WeeksSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 15
OPP 44
0
84.8%
Zack Greenlee pass intercepted, touchback. Darious Williams return for no gain UTEP Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
86.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 13 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
87.8%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
87.3%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
86.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
85.9%
Joel Dixon punt for 26 yds, downed at the UTEP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
85.3%
Walter Dawn Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
84.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr.Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-2
85.3%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Stacy Keely for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 36 Zack Greenlee fumbled, recovered by UTEP Derron Gatewood , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+11
86.5%
Alan Luna punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 21 , Andre Wilson returns for 11 yds to the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 2:5586% → 93%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
86.0%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+16
86.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 16 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
87.3%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
87.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+26
86.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 26 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
87.7%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+9
87.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 9 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+6
87.1%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
87.7%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UTEP 10Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
87.7%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
93.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.0%
Walter Dawn Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
91.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
92.1%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Erik Brown for 2 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-10
92.3%
LUNA, Alan punt 56 yards to the UAB15, WILSON, A. return to the UAB13 (PARSEE, Dylan), PENALTY UTEP holding 10 yards to the UTEP19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+36
92.4%
Alan Luna punt for 40 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 36 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:2194% → 98%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
93.9%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+3
93.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+5
93.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 5 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
97.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Logan Scott for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Kevin Dove run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.9%
Zack Greenlee run for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
97.8%
Zack Greenlee run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
97.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
97.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
97.8%
Alan Luna punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 1:5299% → 99%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
98.6%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+15
98.6%
ERDELY, A.J. pass incomplete to UBOSI, X., PENALTY UTEP pass interference (NEEDHAM, Nik) 15 yards to the UAB30, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
98.6%
ERDELY, A.J. pass incomplete to UBOSI, X., PENALTY UTEP offside (BUCKINGHAM,Sani) 5 yards to the UAB35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 5
OWN 35
0
98.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
98.6%
UTEP Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
50
-9
98.7%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Alvin Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 19
OWN 41
+7
98.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Demetrius Davis for 7 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
98.8%
Collin Lisa run for no gain to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
98.6%
Joel Dixon punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 57 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
98.8%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
98.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+15
98.8%
GREENLEE, Zack pass incomplete to BATSON, Tyler, PENALTY UAB pass interference (WILLIAMS, D.A.) 15 yards to the UTEP24, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
98.7%
Kevin Dove run for 13 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
98.4%
DOVE, Kevin rush for 2 yards to the UTEP39 (MOFOR, F.), PENALTY UTEP holding off-setting, PENALTY UAB face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
98.7%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 24 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
98.7%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 1 yd to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-5
98.7%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Zachary Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+7
98.8%
Mark Torrez run for 7 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
98.7%
Mark Torrez pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.1%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-5
99.1%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+5
99.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 5 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
99.0%
Joel Dixon punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
99.2%
Kevin Dove run for 11 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
99.2%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 14
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Mark Torrez pass incomplete to Eddie SinegalSimilar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+8
99.2%
Mark Torrez run for 8 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
99.2%
Alan Luna punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22END OF GAME
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:0799% → 100%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
99.3%
James Noble III run for 4 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+10
99.3%
James Noble III run for 10 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.3%
James Noble III run for 1 yd to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+3
99.3%
James Noble III run for 3 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+8
99.5%
Kylen Binn run for 8 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.6%
Donnie Lee run for 9 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Donnie Lee run for no gain to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+9
99.7%
James Noble III run for 9 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:51
A.J. Erdely run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q2 5:18
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 30 yds for a TD, (S. Brown Run For Two-point Conversion)
+4.6
TD · Q3 4:23
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Logan Scott for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com