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UNT

North Texas 30 at Rice 14

RICE
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:58 · Blake Patterson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior−7.3Home team on offense−29.4Score differential−13.6Garbage-time factor−8.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:39: Mason Fine pass intercepted for a TD Brandon Douglas-Dotson return for 75 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +3.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:58: Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 51 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +3.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:17: Miklo Smalls run for 52 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +6.0 pts (now 26%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:30: Trevor Moore 19 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +8.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:08: Nic Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 22 — UNT win probability +7.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 8UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:56RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:17RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:09UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:26RICE 4th & 14 at RICE 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:35RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:55UNT 4th & 9 at RICE 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:55RICE 4th & 8 at UNT 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:30UNT 4th & 2 at RICE 2, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.2%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−10.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 1 at UNT 15, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−1.4
    83% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−5.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:58UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:20RICE 4th & 9 at UNT 23, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−4.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:08UNT 4th & 18 at UNT 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−2.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:56UNT 4th & 5 at RICE 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:43RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 35, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:39RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:17UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:58UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:17RICE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
20.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 11 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
20.3%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
20.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 7 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
20.3%
Andrew Tucker run for no gain to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+9
20.3%
Blake Patterson punt for 49 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 9 yds to the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
21.4%
Miklo Smalls run for 5 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-4
21.4%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 21Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
21.3%
Miklo Smalls pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+5
21.2%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
21.2%
Jack Fox punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3INT TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:1178% → 75%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
21.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 11 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
21.8%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+9
21.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 9 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
21.7%
Nic Smith run for 12 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
21.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Caleb Chumley for 10 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
21.6%
SMITH, Nic rush for 16 yards to the RICE14 (ELLERBEE, E.), PENALTY NT holding (WOODWORTH, Elex) 10 yards to the RICE40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+2
21.7%
Mason Fine run for 2 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 18
OPP 38
+75
25.0%
Mason Fine pass intercepted for a TD Brandon Douglas-Dotson return for 75 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2275% → 76%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
25.2%
Nic Smith run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
25.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 12 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
25.0%
Nic Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+16
24.8%
Nic Smith run for 16 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
24.7%
Evan Johnson run for 9 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+5
24.4%
Evan Johnson run for 5 yds to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
24.4%
Nic Smith run for 5 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+5
24.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 5 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
24.1%
Nic Smith run for 13 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
25.2%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
25.2%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
25.0%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Lance Wright for 5 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
24.9%
Jack Fox punt for 51 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 4 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
26.2%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 7
OPP 0
0
24.9%
FINE, Mason pass complete to SMILEY, Turner for 78 yards to the RICE0, PENALTY RICE offside off-setting, PENALTY NT personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-2
26.2%
Nic Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
26.6%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
27.0%
Blake Patterson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
28.5%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Kemon HallSimilar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
28.2%
Miklo Smalls run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-7
28.0%
Miklo Smalls sacked by Tillman Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
26.8%
Jack Fox punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaelon Darden at the NoTex 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:0272% → 77%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
27.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Nic SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+8
27.7%
Nic Smith run for 8 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+8
28.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 8 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
27.4%
Nic Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+6
26.9%
Nic Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
26.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
27.0%
Evan Johnson run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-1
26.3%
Evan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+51
22.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 51 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:2324% → 18%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
24.1%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
24.2%
Austin Trammell run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
23.9%
Miklo Smalls run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+81
18.1%
Jack Fox punt for 52 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 81 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1818% → 26%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.3%
Miklo Smalls pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.3%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
18.3%
SMALLS, Miklo rush for 6 yards to the RICE35 (HAMILTON, L.), PENALTY RICE holding (GODBER, Peter) 10 yards to the RICE19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+28
18.0%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Nahshon Ellerbe for 28 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
19.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+52
25.5%
Miklo Smalls run for 52 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 6:2277% → 80%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.4%
Nic Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
23.7%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
22.3%
Mason Fine sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+14
23.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 14 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+12
22.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 12 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
22.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+15
22.0%
Nic Smith run for 15 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
21.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 15
OPP 33
-5
21.9%
Mason Fine sacked by Roe Wilkins for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 20
OPP 38
-2
22.4%
Mason Fine sacked by Roe Wilkins for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 22
OPP 40
+13
23.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 13 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+44
20.4%
Trevor Moore 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:2720% → 18%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
20.2%
Cameron Montgomery run for 10 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
20.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 4 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
18.3%
Miklo Smalls run for 2 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+3
18.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 27 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
21.0%
Miklo Smalls run for 6 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
21.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 4 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
21.7%
Miklo Smalls run for 7 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
22.4%
Robby Wells III run for 4 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
22.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
22.3%
Miklo Smalls run for 10 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
22.7%
Miklo Smalls run for 3 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+1
22.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+3
22.5%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 32
-5
21.3%
RICE Penalty, false start (Robby Wells III) to the NoTex 37Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 8
OPP 37
-6
20.9%
Miklo Smalls sacked by E.J. Ejiya for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:5780% → 88%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
19.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr., broken up by D Angelo EllisSimilar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
20.0%
Nic Smith run for 4 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+10
20.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 10 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
19.7%
Nic Smith run for 15 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
19.3%
Nic Smith run for 5 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+3
19.3%
Evan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+11
20.1%
Nic Smith run for 11 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
19.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 4 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
19.3%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
20.1%
Mason Fine run for 1 yd to the Rice 2Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
11.6%
Trevor Moore 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15DOWNS
15 plays · 55 yds · 3:2416% → 17%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
16.2%
Austin Walter run for 11 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
16.8%
SMALLS, Miklo pass incomplete to CEPHUS, Aaron (HALL, Kemon), PENALTY RICE illegal participation 5 yards to the RICE35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+14
15.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 14 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
17.7%
Miklo Smalls pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
17.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
17.6%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Parker Smith for 7 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
18.2%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
17.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
17.9%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+17
15.9%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Austin Trammell for 17 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
18.2%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Emmanuel EsukpaSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
17.7%
Austin Trammell run for 8 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+1
17.1%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the NoTex 15Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 15
-1
16.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
9.1%
Nic Smith run for 10 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
9.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 4 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
9.1%
Evan Johnson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
9.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr., broken up by Preston GordonSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
9.6%
Blake Patterson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+46
14.3%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 46 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
17.5%
Miklo Smalls run for no gain to the NoTex 24Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
17.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
15.8%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 9
OPP 23
0
14.5%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
6.7%
Nic Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 22Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+4
6.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 4 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-11
7.1%
Mason Fine sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 15Similar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 18
OWN 15
+2
7.1%
Blake Patterson punt for 38 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
10.4%
Miklo Smalls run for 9 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+5
11.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
11.2%
Miklo Smalls pass intercepted, touchback. Eric Jenkins return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:0994% → 98%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
5.6%
Nic Smith run for 16 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
5.5%
Mason Fine run for 10 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
5.2%
Nic Smith run for 10 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
5.1%
Mason Fine run for 2 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+11
5.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 11 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
5.1%
Mason Fine run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 33Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+7
3.1%
Nic Smith run for 7 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
2.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by D Angelo EllisSimilar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
2.5%
Trevor Moore 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 10 yds · 1:023% → 1%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.5%
Miklo Smalls run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
2.4%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 4 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
2.5%
Miklo Smalls run for 10 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
2.5%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
2.5%
Miklo Smalls sacked by Brandon Garner for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
0.9%
Miklo Smalls run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
0.9%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-2
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 3:30
Trevor Moore 19 yd FG GOOD
-8.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:08
Nic Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 22
-7.8
TD · Q2 7:17
Miklo Smalls run for 52 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com