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2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:55 · Arthur Hart pass incomplete to Trent Bostick
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior−44.8Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:48: Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 20 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +2.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:49: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for 28 yds for a TD, (Kyle Corbett PAT MISSED) — CLT win probability +3.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:00: Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 41 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +4.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:02: Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:48: Hasaan Klugh 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — CLT win probability +4.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 8 of 11FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 3 at CLT 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:55CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 46, tied
    Close callWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:48CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:11FAU 4th & 4 at CLT 19, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:08CLT 4th & 7 at FAU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00FAU 4th & 18 at CLT 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:43CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:00FAU 4th & 8 at CLT 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    88.5%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:50CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 25, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:02CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 23, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:27CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 49, down 25
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:48FAU 4th & 4 at CLT 22, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−3.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:04CLT 4th & 3 at FAU 4, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:04CLT 4th & 3 at FAU 4, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−4.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:23FAU 4th & 1 at CLT 1, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−3.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:50CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 16, down 19
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:48FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:48FAU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:49CLT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    12.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:00FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:02FAU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:48CLT Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
5.0%
Jason Driskel run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
5.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
5.0%
Jason Driskel run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
5.0%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
5.0%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
5.0%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+2
5.0%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the Charl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
5.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
5.6%
Chris Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
5.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to R.J. TylerSimilar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
5.6%
Arthur Hart pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:1494% → 94%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
5.8%
Willie Wright run for 12 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
5.7%
Jason Driskel run for 8 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+15
5.7%
Willie Wright run for 15 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
5.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 2 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+3
5.7%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
6.0%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
6.1%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
6.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for 14 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
6.2%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-5
6.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Nate Davis) to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+3
6.1%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+5
6.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+33
6.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 47 yds , Jalen Young returns for 33 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:0893% → 93%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+31
6.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 31 yds to the Charl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
6.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+1
6.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+2
6.6%
Jason Driskel run for 2 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
7.3%
Greg Joseph 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6MISSED FG
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:038% → 8%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
7.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 44 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
7.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+2
7.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
7.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
7.6%
Kyle Corbett 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:0892% → 92%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
7.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for no gain to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+20
7.7%
Devin Singletary run for 20 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
7.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 3 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-7
7.5%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 45 Jason Driskel fumbled,Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+20
7.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 20 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
7.9%
John Franklin III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 38
-5
8.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 43
0
8.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Dustin BowensSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OPP 43
0
8.3%
Ryan Rickel punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
8.2%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 12Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+1
8.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
8.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
8.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:2991% → 94%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
8.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+2
8.7%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+2
8.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 2 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
8.7%
Devin Singletary run for 15 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
8.6%
DRISKEL, Jason pass incomplete to ROSE, Ocie, PENALTY CHA holding (JORDAN, Quinton) 10 yards to the CHA24, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
8.6%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+6
8.6%
Jason Driskel run for 6 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
8.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for no gain to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
8.6%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 2
OPP 5
-15
8.7%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the Charl 5 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Devin Singletary) to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 17
OPP 20
+20
5.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 20 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:147% → 9%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
6.7%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
6.8%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+16
6.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 16 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
7.2%
Chris Montgomery run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+16
7.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Chris Phillips for 16 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
10.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for 28 yds for a TD, (Kyle Corbett PAT MISSED)Similar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 0
OWN 0
0
9.2%
MACAULEY, Nigel kickoff 54 yards to the FAU11, WHYTE, Kerrith return to the CHA0, clock 05:34, PENALTY FAU holding off-setting, PENALTY CHA personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:3490% → 95%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
9.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
9.8%
Jason Driskel run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+2
9.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
9.4%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
9.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+12
9.5%
Devin Singletary run for 12 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
9.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Charl 42Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-5
9.4%
John Franklin III run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 47 John Franklin III fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Willie WrightSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+6
9.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 6 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 8
OPP 41
+41
4.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 41 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:106% → 6%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
6.3%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Kevin McCrary for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
6.4%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+5
6.3%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
6.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 59 yds, downed at the FlAtl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
5.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-12
6.0%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Azeez Al-Shaair and Jeremiah Taleni for a loss of 12 yards to the Charl 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 11
+8
5.9%
Benny LeMay run for 8 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+6
5.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 6 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+2
5.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 46 yds , Jalen Young returns for 2 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:3695% → 99%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
5.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+23
5.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to D'Anfernee McGriff for 23 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
4.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
4.6%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+17
4.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to D'Anfernee McGriff for 17 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
4.6%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+8
4.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to D'Anfernee McGriff for 8 yds to the Charl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.0%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
1.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-8
1.0%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Jeremiah Taleni for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
0.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Young at the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
1.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for no gain to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
1.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
1.0%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 3
50
+5
1.0%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
1.0%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the Charl 45 Devin Singletary fumbled, forced by Ben DeLuca, recovered by Charl Ed Rolle , return for 10 yds to the Charl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
0.8%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
0.8%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 5
50
-1
0.8%
Chris Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
0.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 46 yds, downed at the FlAtl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
0.8%
John Franklin III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+5
0.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 5 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+6
0.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 22 Gregory Howell Jr. fumbled, forced by Ben DeLuca, recovered by Charl Ben DeLucaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:261% → 6%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
0.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 13 yds to the FlAtl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
0.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
5.7%
Hasaan Klugh 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 52 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+44
2.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 44 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
2.3%
Jason Driskel run for 7 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 3
OPP 21
0
2.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 3
OPP 21
-1
2.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+2
2.7%
Jason Driskel run for 2 yds to the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22DOWNS
23 plays · 76 yds · 15:007% → 3%
Q3 11:04
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+10
6.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 10 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q3 11:04
4TH & 3
OPP 4
0
6.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent Bostick, broken up by Herb MillerSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
4.5%
Benny LeMay run for 16 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
4.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
4.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Chris TooleySimilar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+15
4.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
4.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+7
4.9%
Chris Montgomery run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+27
5.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 27 yds to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
5.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-4
5.4%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Rashad Smith and Steven Leggett for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
4.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
4.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Chris TooleySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+15
4.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
4.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+7
4.9%
Chris Montgomery run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+27
5.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 27 yds to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
5.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-4
5.4%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Rashad Smith and Steven Leggett for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+10
3.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 10 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 3
OPP 4
0
3.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent Bostick, broken up by Herb MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23DOWNS
28 plays · 86 yds · 15:0096% → 98%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
3.9%
Jason Driskel run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+10
4.0%
Willie Wright run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
3.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+5
3.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
3.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+11
3.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
3.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to John Franklin III for 18 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
3.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+19
3.6%
Marcus Clark run for 19 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
3.4%
Marcus Clark run for 6 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+9
3.4%
Marcus Clark run for 9 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
3.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
3.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
1.9%
Jason Driskel run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+10
1.9%
Willie Wright run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
1.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+5
1.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
1.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+11
1.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
1.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to John Franklin III for 18 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
1.7%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+19
1.7%
Marcus Clark run for 19 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
1.6%
Marcus Clark run for 6 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+9
1.6%
Marcus Clark run for 9 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
1.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.7%
Marcus Clark run for no gain to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-8
1.9%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:302% → 1%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
1.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 7 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 3
OWN 16
0
1.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
1.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to R.J. TylerSimilar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
0.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jalen Young at the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
0.7%
Marcus Clark run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
0.7%
Marcus Clark run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+5
0.7%
Gerald Hearns run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:48
Hasaan Klugh 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+4.9
TD · Q2 1:00
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 41 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q3 10:02
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com