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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 38 at Western Kentucky 41

WKU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2017 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGFGTDFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
OT 0:00 · Timeout MIDDLE TENN, clock 00:00
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorTime remainingDefense timeoutsOffense timeoutsScore differential
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:50: Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 65 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +27.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 9:42: Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 93 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +28.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:51: Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +33.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 5 — WKU win probability +36.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Terelle West run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 3 — MTSU win probability +35.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 1 at MTSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:34MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:41MTSU 4th & 7 at WKU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:19MTSU 4th & 20 at WKU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:19WKU 4th & 9 at MTSU 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    53.2%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:34WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:34WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:05MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 39, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00MTSU 4th & 11 at WKU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    40.1%−1.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:19WKU 4th & 1 at MTSU 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.9%−1.9
    84% to make
    Punt
    52.6%−8.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:30MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:35WKU 4th & 6 at MTSU 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−11.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:50MTSU 4th & 4 at WKU 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    47.5%−4.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%−2.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:51WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:56MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−6.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:32WKU 4th & 5 at MTSU 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    52.4%−5.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−2.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:51MTSU 4th & 14 at MTSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−13.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:41WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:56MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:50WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:42WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:51MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
44.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 12 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
44.9%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 10 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
44.9%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 5 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+5
44.9%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
44.9%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 8 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-1
44.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
44.9%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 2 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-1
44.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
45.7%
Tavares Thomas run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
45.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
45.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
45.9%
Matt Bonadies punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 4:1046% → 51%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
46.0%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 3 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+8
46.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 8 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
46.1%
Mike White sacked by D.J. Sanders and Walter Brady for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+13
45.9%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 13 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
46.3%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 1 yd to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+33
46.4%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 33 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
46.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+5
46.6%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 5 yds to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+14
50.8%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.1%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
50.1%
Tavares Thomas run for no gain to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
50.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 12 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
49.7%
Tavares Thomas run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+1
49.2%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
49.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 1 yd to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+2
49.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 2 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
49.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terelle WestSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
50.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:4753% → 54%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
52.7%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
52.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-8
52.3%
Mike White sacked by D.J. Sanders for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 18Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+15
51.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mike Minter) to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
52.8%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 13 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
53.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
53.8%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for no gain to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
54.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-Luper, broken up by Charvarius WardSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
53.6%
Jake Collins punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:3047% → 48%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
52.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 19 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
52.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+18
52.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 18 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
51.2%
Tavares Thomas run for no gain to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-15
52.1%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass complete to LEE, Ty for 22 yards to the WKU0, clock 13:11, PENALTY MT pass interference (LEE, Ty) 15 yards to the WKU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 25
OPP 37
0
53.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 25
OPP 37
+5
54.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 20
OPP 32
+49
51.9%
Canon Rooker 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 29 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
51.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
51.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+13
50.9%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 13 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
52.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-1
53.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+3
52.5%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
53.1%
Mike White run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 47 Mike White fumbled,Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+5
51.7%
Mike White pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+9
51.3%
Mike White pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 9 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 4
OPP 39
-5
51.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
50.8%
Jake Collins punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 61 yds · 0:0047% → 50%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
53.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 9 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
52.0%
Tavares Thomas run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
52.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 28 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
50.8%
Tavares Thomas run for 6 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+5
49.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
49.8%
Terelle West run for 7 yds to the WKent 19 Terelle West fumbled, forced by Joel Iyiegbuniwe, recovered by WKent Joe BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
55.2%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
55.4%
Mike White pass incomplete, broken up by Charvarius WardSimilar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-12
54.5%
WHITE, Mike pass complete to YELDER, Deon for 7 yards to the WKU32 (BLANKENSHIP, R.;RANDOLPH, D.), PENALTY WKU pass interference (JERNIGHAN, Quin) 12 yards to the WKU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 16
OWN 13
+13
53.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 13 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+14
53.4%
Deon Yelder run for 14 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
56.8%
Mike White sacked by Jahmal Jones for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+12
55.0%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 12 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
55.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-Luper, broken up by O.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
54.0%
Jake Collins punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 1:0243% → 42%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
56.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+6
56.4%
Terelle West run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
56.2%
Terelle West run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
55.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 7 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
53.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Drell GreeneSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
55.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 2 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
57.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 43 yds, downed at the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
55.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 1 yd to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
55.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+20
57.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 20 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
53.0%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-4
53.1%
Terelle West run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
55.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tavonn SalterSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 45
+15
57.2%
Matt Bonadies punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 15 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Myles Harges) to the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12FUMBLE
12 plays · 54 yds · 0:0058% → 59%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
58.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+10
58.2%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 10 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
60.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 10 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
61.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 2 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+9
61.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 9 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
61.3%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 9 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
62.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+6
60.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
62.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+4
62.0%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 4 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
60.7%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 1 yd to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 1
OPP 14
-2
59.2%
Mike White run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 16 Mike White fumbled, forced by Darryl Randolph, recovered by MTnSt Jovante MoffattSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+28
61.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 28 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
58.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jocquez Bruce for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
57.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Jocquez BruceSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
59.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane Tucker, broken up by Drell GreeneSimilar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
61.5%
Matt Bonadies punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:4564% → 76%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
63.4%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+10
62.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 10 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
64.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 6 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
66.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+46
64.7%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 46 yds to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
68.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Kyle FourtenbarySimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
68.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
66.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius Fant, broken up by Charvarius WardSimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
76.0%
Ryan Nuss 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:3931% → 56%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
68.6%
Terelle West run for 13 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
66.6%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
66.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 3 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+9
67.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 9 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
64.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 12 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
43.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 21 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+40
32.5%
Mike White run for a loss of 7 yards Mike White fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Darius Harris , return for 40 yds, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:4630% → 58%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
30.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+65
57.5%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 65 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0050% → 52%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
49.1%
Tavares Thomas run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
48.8%
Tavares Thomas run for 15 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
45.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tavonn Salter, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
45.9%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+3
46.1%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
48.4%
Brent Stockstill punt for 37 yds, downed at the WKent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 95 yds · 0:4854% → 83%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
54.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 7Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+93
83.3%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 93 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5121% → 59%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
79.2%
Terelle West run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+17
79.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 17 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
77.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tyrese JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
77.8%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass intercepted by KEY, Devon at the WKU28, KEY, Devon return to the MT48 (BROWN, Tyshawn), QB hurry by WHYTE, Masai, PENALTY WKU pass interference (GREENE, Drell) 15 yards to the WKU44, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
75.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 14 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
73.1%
Brent Stockstill run for 15 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
72.5%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+6
72.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 6 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
74.6%
Tavares Thomas run for 4 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
41.5%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius Fant, broken up by Malik MancielSimilar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
55.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 15 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
59.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 7 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-3
61.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
58.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
55.0%
Jake Collins punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0050% → 46%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
49.6%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
50.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick Smith, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
52.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Ta'Corian DardenSimilar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
54.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3262% → 61%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
50
0
62.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
50
+5
61.4%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
63.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
60.5%
Jake Collins punt for 44 yds, downed at the MTnSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:2647% → 47%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
52.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (Joel Iyiegbuniwe) to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+34
52.9%
Tavares Thomas run for 19 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Devon Key) to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-12
46.7%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Ben Holt and Joel Iyiegbuniwe for a loss of 12 yards to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 22
OWN 28
+8
49.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 8 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
51.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 14
OWN 36
+28
52.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 18 yds, downed at the WESTERNKY 46 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Dalton Ponchillia) to the WKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
58.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon YelderSimilar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
57.1%
Mike White sacked by Walter Brady for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 84%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
40.5%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the WKent 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-5
40.5%
Ty Lee run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 27Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+25
16.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 25 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 65%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
28.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-4
28.1%
Mike White sacked by Darius Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 25Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+10
21.2%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to JACKSON, Lucky, PENALTY MT holding (HARRIS, Darius) 10 yards to the MT15, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
28.1%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to FANT, Nacarius, PENALTY MT pass interference (BLANKENSHIP, R.) 13 yards to the MT2, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
64.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 28TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
64.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 8 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+4
64.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
82.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 29TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
80.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 7 yds to the WKent 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
79.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick Smith, broken up by Joel IyiegbuniweSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+9
85.8%
Tavares Thomas run for 9 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 0
OPP 9
+7
75.6%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to SALTER, Tavonn, PENALTY WKU pass interference (BROWN, Joe) 7 yards to the WKU2, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
40.6%
Terelle West run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 30MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 47%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
41.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
43.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
52.7%
Canon Rooker 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 31FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 62%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
64.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+1
64.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
62.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 5
+36.7
TD · OT 0:00
Terelle West run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 3
-35.1
TD · Q4 4:51
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
-33.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com