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LT

Louisiana Tech 42 at UTEP 21

UTEP
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:43 · Alan Luna punt for 44 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 1 yd to the LaTch 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior−24.2Home team on offense−19.5Score differential−10.0Garbage-time factor−3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:57: Jaqwis Dancy 54 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +5.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:43: DaMarion King 71 Yd Interception Return (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +4.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:04: Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 83 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +6.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:27: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:57: Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 33 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +8.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:22UTEP 4th & 1 at LT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    16.7%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:21UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:22UTEP 4th & 16 at LT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−3.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:22LT 4th & 10 at LT 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:57UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:43UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:04LT 4th & 3 at LT 46, up 28
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:33LT 4th & 12 at LT 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 1:20LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:57LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:43LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:30LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:33UTEP Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:04UTEP Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:27LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:57UTEP Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:41LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
14.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+14
14.2%
Boston Scott run for 14 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
14.2%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-2
14.2%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+9
14.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 9 yds Rhashid Bonnette fumbled, forced by Lawrence Montegut, recovered by UTEP Kahani SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
15.6%
Joshua Fields run for 6 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+13
15.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 13 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
15.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
15.7%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Matthew Ydarraga for 0 yards to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+9
15.6%
Zack Greenlee run for 9 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-2
15.6%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 51 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
16.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+9
16.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 9 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
16.6%
Boston Scott run for 16 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
16.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
16.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+22
16.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 22 yds Kam McKnight fumbled, forced by Justin Rogers, recovered by UTEP Dante LovilotteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
17.9%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Secdrick Cooper for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 16
OWN 16
0
17.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+8
17.6%
Joshua Fields run for 8 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 8
OWN 24
-8
17.5%
Alan Luna punt for 48 yds , Teddy Veal returns for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:2181% → 83%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
18.7%
Boston Scott run for 9 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
18.4%
Boston Scott run for 4 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
18.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
18.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 2 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+9
18.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 9 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
18.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
18.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+13
18.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 13 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
18.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
18.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jaqwis Dancy, broken up by Alvin JonesSimilar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+17
18.2%
Boston Scott run for 17 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
16.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 23 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6MISSED FG
15 plays · 24 yds · 4:4719% → 19%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
18.8%
Joshua Fields run for 11 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
19.2%
Zack Greenlee run for no gain to the LaTch 33 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the LaTch 43Similar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 20
OPP 43
0
18.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Joshua FieldsSimilar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+2
18.3%
Zack Greenlee run for 2 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 41
+15
18.3%
GREENLEE, Zack pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Kavika, PENALTY LATECH roughing passer (MASON, K.) 15 yards to the LATECH26, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
19.6%
Joshua Fields run for 7 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+5
19.6%
Joshua Fields run for 5 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
19.6%
Joshua Fields run for no gain to the LaTch 14 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 24
0
19.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 24
-5
19.1%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 25
OPP 29
+5
19.1%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Erik Brown for 5 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 24
+9
18.5%
Ryan Metz run for 9 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 15
-5
18.3%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+38
18.9%
Jason Filley 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
19.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 12 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
18.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
18.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
19.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnightSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
19.6%
Davan Dyer punt for 44 yds , Terry Juniel returns for no gain to the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 61 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
21.5%
Joshua Fields run for 21 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-1
21.5%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 15 Joshua Fields fumbled, forced by Dae'Von Washington, recovered by LaTch Elliot BlankenshipSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
19.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+41
19.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Nesly Ovincy for 41 yds to the LATECH 35 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
21.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 2:2881% → 87%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
19.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 7 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+11
18.9%
Boston Scott run for 11 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
18.9%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+7
18.9%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+5
18.5%
SCOTT, Boston rush for 2 yards to the LATECH43 (COCKRELL,Devin), PENALTY UTEP offside 5 yards to the LATECH46, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
13.3%
Jaqwis Dancy 54 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10INT TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 3:1414% → 10%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.1%
Joshua Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
14.3%
Joshua Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
14.5%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
14.4%
Ryan Metz run for 4 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
14.8%
Joshua Fields run for 26 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+71
10.2%
DaMarion King 71 Yd Interception Return (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
9.2%
Joshua Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
9.2%
Ryan Metz run for no gain to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
9.1%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Nesly OvincySimilar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
9.0%
Alan Luna punt for 44 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 1 yd to the LaTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:3692% → 96%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
7.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 9 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-1
7.7%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Sky Logan and Alvin Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 36Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+7
8.0%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
7.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 27 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
7.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 20 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
4.4%
J'Mar Smith 10 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.5%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.1%
Joshua Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
3.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
3.9%
Alan Luna punt for 32 yds, downed at the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
3.9%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
4.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnightSimilar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+10
4.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 10 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
4.0%
Davan Dyer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16TD
15 plays · 87 yds · 6:574% → 5%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
4.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 18 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
4.2%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+13
4.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 13 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
4.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 7 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
4.5%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
4.5%
Ryan Metz run for 1 yd to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
4.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 15 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, illegal forward pass (Ryan Metz) to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
4.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry Juniel, broken up by L'Jarius SneedSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+11
4.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 11 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+5
4.3%
METZ, Ryan pass incomplete to BATSON, Tyler, PENALTY LATECH offside 5 yards to the LATECH31, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
4.8%
Ryan Metz run for 5 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+13
4.6%
Joshua Fields run for 13 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
4.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Eddie Sinegal, broken up by Matthew YdarragaSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
4.8%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+11
5.2%
Joshua Fields run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
2.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 11 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
2.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jaqwis DancySimilar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
2.8%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
2.9%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
2.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
2.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+13
2.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 13 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-5
2.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Kody Russey) to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-5
2.8%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Kalaii Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
3.0%
Davan Dyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18TD
3 plays · 87 yds · 0:564% → 10%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
3.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Eddie SinegalSimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
3.5%
Joshua Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+83
10.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 83 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:3791% → 99%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
9.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 18 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
8.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+10
8.4%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to OLIVER, DeJuawn, PENALTY UTEP holding (NEEDHAM, Nik) 10 yards to the UTEP44, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
8.0%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 44 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Joshua Outlaw) to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+18
8.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 18 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+2
7.7%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
7.8%
Boston Scott run for 9 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
7.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+6
7.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
7.6%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+7
7.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
7.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
7.6%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 0
OPP 4
-5
7.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
1.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:302% → 13%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.2%
Ryan Metz run for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+15
2.4%
METZ, Ryan pass incomplete to SINEGAL, Eddie, PENALTY LATECH personal foul (SCOTT, Collin) 15 yards to the UTEP48, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
2.4%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+18
2.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 18 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
10.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 33 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-10
12.6%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the LaTch 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 6:0996% → 100%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
4.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 9 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+10
4.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
4.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
4.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+10
4.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 10 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
3.5%
Boston Scott run for 8 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+6
3.5%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
3.5%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
3.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+5
3.6%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside (Dylan Parsee) to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+5
3.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.5%
J'Mar Smith run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
1.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 4 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-6
1.0%
Ryan Metz sacked by Jaylon Ferguson and Deldrick Canty for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+35
1.0%
Ryan Metz pass intercepted Amik Robertson return for 25 yds to the LATECH 46 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the UTEP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
0.4%
Israel Tucker run for 7 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+3
0.4%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
0.4%
Westin Elliott run for 13 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
0.4%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:57
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 33 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK)
+8.6
TD · Q3 1:04
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 83 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q2 6:57
Jaqwis Dancy 54 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com