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FIU

Florida International 24 at Florida Atlantic 52

FAU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:50 · Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior+33.0Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:27: Jason Driskel pass complete to D'Anfernee McGriff for 6 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +6.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:30: J. Driskel pass,to K. Woods for 79 yds for a TD, (G. Joseph PAT MISSED) — FAU win probability +5.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:36: Alex Gardner 14 Yd Run (Jose Borregales Kick) — FIU win probability +7.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:07: Kalib Woods 7 Yd pass from Jason Driskel (Greg Joseph Kick) — FAU win probability +6.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:17: Shermar Thornton 39 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Jose Borregales Kick) — FIU win probability +7.2 pts (now 9%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:50FIU 4th & 8 at FAU 32, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:35FAU 4th & 6 at FIU 34, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.7%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:35FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49FAU 4th & 14 at FAU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:43FIU 4th & 8 at FAU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:07FIU 4th & 25 at FIU 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−2.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:05FAU 4th & 8 at FIU 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:17FIU 4th & 9 at FAU 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:17FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:13FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 49, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:34FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:50FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:36FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:59FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:27FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:30FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:36FIU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:07FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:17FIU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:13FAU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:34FAU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:1085% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
84.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 12 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
84.5%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+9
84.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
84.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 7 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+10
84.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 10 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
84.5%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+15
84.5%
Jason Driskel run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
84.5%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+1
84.5%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
84.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 13 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.2%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
84.1%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
84.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 12 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
84.1%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+11
84.0%
Alex Gardner run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
83.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-5
83.9%
Alex McGough sacked by Jeremiah Taleni for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+3
84.1%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 8
OPP 32
0
84.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:3784% → 84%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
83.9%
John Franklin III run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
84.2%
Devin Singletary run for 20 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
84.3%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
84.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
84.1%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-5
84.0%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Brandon Walton) to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+52
83.6%
Greg Joseph 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
83.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 16
OWN 28
0
83.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 16
OWN 28
0
83.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Shawndarrius PhillipsSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 16
OWN 28
+6
83.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 53 yds , Jalen Young returns for 6 yds to the FlAtl 34 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the FlAtl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 1:4083% → 86%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
83.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 5 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+4
83.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 4 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
83.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
83.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to D'Anfernee McGriff for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+70
86.0%
Devin Singletary run for 70 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3615% → 14%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
85.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
85.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for no gain to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
85.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.1%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
86.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for no gain to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+13
85.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 13 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
86.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
86.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 2 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-6
85.9%
Jason Driskel sacked by Fermin Silva for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
85.6%
Ryan Rickel punt for 43 yds, downed at the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:0615% → 20%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
85.3%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
85.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
85.2%
Darrius Scott run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+16
85.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shermar Thornton for 16 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
84.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+27
84.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 27 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 0
OPP 8
-5
83.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Kai Absheer) to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
84.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Shermar Thornton, broken up by Hunter SnyderSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
79.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 13 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
82.5%
Jason Driskel run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
82.7%
SINGLETARY, D rush for 15 yards to the FAU43 (WILLIAMS, T.), PENALTY FAU holding (WOODS, Antonyo) 10 yards to the FAU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 20
OWN 18
0
82.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 20
OWN 18
0
82.3%
Jason Driskel pass intercepted Andrew Brown return for no gain to the FlAtl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:0721% → 22%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
79.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
79.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+5
80.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
80.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+3
80.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+2
80.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+2
81.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 2 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
78.3%
Jose Borregales 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:1679% → 88%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
79.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 12 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
79.7%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+14
80.5%
Willie Wright run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-9
80.6%
SINGLETARY, D rush for 5 yards to the FIU38 (WILLIAMS, T.), PENALTY FAU illegal motion (WRIGHT, Willie) 9 yards to the FAU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 19
OWN 48
+16
79.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+3
80.6%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
80.8%
Jason Driskel run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+4
80.8%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
80.8%
Devin Singletary run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
80.8%
Jason Driskel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
87.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to D'Anfernee McGriff for 6 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
85.1%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
85.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-7
85.4%
Alex McGough sacked by Rashad Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+5
86.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 5 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
86.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds, downed at the FlAtl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:5486% → 92%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
86.4%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-5
86.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Roman Fernandez) to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+79
92.0%
J. Driskel pass,to K. Woods for 79 yds for a TD, (G. Joseph PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:548% → 18%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
91.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 14 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Jeremiah Taleni) to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
90.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
91.3%
D'Vonte Price run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+2
90.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
90.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 17 yds to the FlAtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
90.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 5 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
82.5%
Alex Gardner 14 Yd Run (Jose Borregales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:2988% → 95%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
88.0%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 2
OWN 49
-1
88.0%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+21
87.4%
Devin Singletary run for 21 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
88.1%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+9
88.1%
Jason Driskel run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
88.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
94.8%
Kalib Woods 7 Yd pass from Jason Driskel (Greg Joseph Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 8 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
93.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
93.3%
McGOUGH, Alex rush for 2 yards to the FIU36 (LEGGETT, Steven), PENALTY FIU false start 5 yards to the FIU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
93.5%
Alex McGough sacked by Rashad Smith for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 10 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Napoleon Maxwell , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+28
93.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Young at the FLAATLANTC 47 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, kick catching interference (Tyree Johnson) to the FlaIn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:4495% → 98%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
95.2%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 16
OPP 44
0
95.0%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 16
OPP 44
+15
94.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Josh Little) to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
95.2%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+3
95.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 3 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
95.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie Wright, broken up by Bryce CanadySimilar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
97.5%
Greg Joseph 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:482% → 9%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 10 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.7%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
97.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
97.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
50
-2
97.7%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+12
98.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 12 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
98.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
98.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce Singleton, broken up by Chris TooleySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
98.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 9
OPP 39
+39
91.0%
Shermar Thornton 39 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Jose Borregales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:0494% → 99%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.4%
Willie Wright run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
94.5%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
94.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
94.7%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+3
94.4%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+32
94.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 32 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
94.9%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 11
OPP 33
-5
94.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Jakobi Smith) to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+3
94.8%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+21
94.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 21 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
94.9%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-4
94.9%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+10
94.8%
DRISKEL, Jason pass incomplete to WOODS, Kalib, PENALTY FIU pass interference (MUHAMMAD, Brad) 10 yards to the FIU3, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
Devin Singletary 3 Yd Run (Jason Driskel Pass to Kalib Woods for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
99.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 22 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 1 yd to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+6
99.3%
Alex McGough run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-5
99.3%
Alex McGough sacked by Rashad Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 2:0599% → 100%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.4%
John Franklin III run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-5
99.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Roman Fernandez) to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+38
99.4%
John Franklin III run for 38 yds to the FlaIn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. 3 Yd Run (Greg Joseph Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Maurice Alexander run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Maurice Alexander run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 53 yds, downed at the FlAtl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
100.0%
Marcus Clark run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:36
Alex Gardner 14 Yd Run (Jose Borregales Kick)
-7.6
TD · Q4 13:17
Shermar Thornton 39 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Jose Borregales Kick)
-7.2
TD · Q2 0:27
Jason Driskel pass complete to D'Anfernee McGriff for 6 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com