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UTEP

UTEP 10 at North Texas 45

UNT
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLETDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:19 · Alan Luna punt for 65 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+19.5Home team on offense+19.4Score differential+7.3Garbage-time factor+5.7Blowout margin+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:18: Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +2.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:08: Jeffery Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +4.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:26: Jason Filley 27 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +2.0 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:19: Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 60 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +6.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:56: Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +2.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:08UNT 4th & 1 at UTEP 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:02UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:43UNT 4th & 4 at UTEP 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTEP 4th & 10 at UNT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    11.2%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:41UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:24UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:23UNT 4th & 1 at UTEP 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−1.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:35UTEP 4th & 7 at UNT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:26UTEP 4th & 7 at UNT 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−4.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:19UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 49, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:06UNT 4th & 7 at UTEP 13, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:06UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 15, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:59UTEP 4th & 10 at UNT 16, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 0:48UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:18UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:08UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:19UNT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:56UNT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:59UNT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.7%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
93.7%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
93.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+4
93.7%
Alan Luna punt for 47 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:0893% → 93%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for no gain to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+10
93.3%
Jeffery Wilson run for 10 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+45
92.8%
Jeffery Wilson run for 6 yds Jeffery Wilson fumbled, forced by Alvin Jones, recovered by UTEP Kahani Smith , return for 45 yds, (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3DOWNS
14 plays · 50 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.7%
Nic Smith run for 8 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
92.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for no gain to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
92.7%
Jeffery Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Nic Smith, broken up by Alvin JonesSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
92.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+18
92.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 18 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
92.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for 9 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+4
92.8%
Jeffery Wilson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
92.8%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
92.8%
Mason Fine run for 9 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
92.8%
Jeffery Wilson run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
92.8%
Jeffery Wilson run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
90.5%
Zack Greenlee run for 14 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
90.3%
Zack Greenlee run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
90.3%
Terry Juniel run for no gain to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
90.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
90.6%
Alan Luna punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:5590% → 90%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
89.6%
Nic Smith run for 4 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+12
89.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 12 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
89.9%
Mason Fine run for no gain to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
89.9%
Nic Smith run for 6 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
89.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+7
89.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for 7 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
90.1%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
90.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 4 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+15
89.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 15 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
90.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 13 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:4811% → 11%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.2%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
89.2%
Joshua Fields run for 11 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
88.6%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
88.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
88.4%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+8
88.5%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 8 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
88.3%
Joshua Fields run for no gain to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
88.6%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
89.0%
Alan Luna punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
88.3%
Jeffery Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+3
88.3%
Mason Fine run for 3 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+6
88.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 6 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
88.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-1
88.3%
Jeffery Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 14Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+14
88.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 14 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
88.5%
Nic Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
88.9%
Nic Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-1
88.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 33Similar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
88.1%
Blake Patterson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
85.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Terry Juniel for 6 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
84.8%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-2
85.0%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Forest McKee for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+2
85.9%
Alan Luna punt for 40 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 2 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 4:0586% → 90%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
85.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for 20 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
86.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for 7 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+10
86.8%
Nic Smith run for 10 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
87.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
86.9%
Jeffery Wilson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+5
86.7%
Jeffery Wilson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+6
86.2%
Jeffery Wilson run for 6 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
87.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Quinetin Jackson for 8 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
87.2%
Jeffery Wilson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+7
86.8%
Jeffery Wilson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
87.2%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+11
87.2%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Nik Needham) to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:4312% → 12%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.5%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Joshua Fields for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
88.5%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+26
88.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Terry Juniel for 26 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
86.7%
Zack Greenlee run for 3 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
86.4%
Joshua Fields run for 4 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
86.4%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 2
OPP 43
-5
87.0%
UTEP Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
87.8%
Alan Luna punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5289% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
88.5%
Jeffery Wilson run for 10 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Kahani Smith) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
89.4%
Jeffery Wilson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+15
89.5%
FINE, Mason pass incomplete, PENALTY UTEP roughing passer (JACKSON, Julian) 15 yards to the UTEP31, 1ST DOWN NT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
89.6%
Jeffery Wilson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+11
89.6%
Nic Smith run for 11 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
89.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for 12 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
89.6%
Jeffery Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
89.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for 3 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 0
OPP 2
+1
89.6%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kalon Beverly) to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.7%
Jeffery Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:427% → 10%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside (Khairi Muhammad) to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
92.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Terry Juniel for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
92.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 4 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
92.3%
Joshua Fields run for 5 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+34
92.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Warren Redix for 34 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Eddie SinegalSimilar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+15
91.5%
Zack Greenlee run for 15 yds to the NoTex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
91.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
91.2%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
91.7%
Zack Greenlee run for no gain to the NoTex 9Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
89.7%
Jason Filley 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:0791% → 97%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
90.8%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
90.7%
Nic Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
90.6%
Mason Fine run for 5 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
96.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 60 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
96.2%
Joshua Fields run for 8 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+2
96.1%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
96.1%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Erik Brown for 9 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 1
OWN 26
-1
95.8%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+5
95.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 5 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
96.1%
Kevin Dove run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
95.9%
Zack Greenlee run for no gain to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
96.0%
Alan Luna punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:3597% → 100%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
97.2%
Jeffery Wilson run for 12 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr., broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+66
97.2%
Jeffery Wilson run for 66 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16INT
11 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Terry Juniel for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
99.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 9 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 3 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+6
99.2%
Zack Greenlee run for 6 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
99.2%
Kevin Dove run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
50
0
99.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Kevin DoveSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
50
-5
99.2%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Kavika Johnson) to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 15
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+15
99.1%
Zack Greenlee pass intercepted LaDarius Hamilton return for 15 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+13
99.7%
Nic Smith run for 13 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 6 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-3
99.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 13Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
99.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence, broken up by Dante LovilotteSimilar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
99.9%
Trevor Moore 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Mark Torrez pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Mark Torrez run for no gain to the UTEP 15Similar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 8
OWN 15
+8
99.9%
Alan Luna punt , Eric Jenkins returns for 8 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
99.9%
Quinn Shanbour run for 7 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+9
99.9%
Andrew Tucker run for 9 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Andrew Tucker run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 65 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Walter Dawn Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
99.9%
Mark Torrez pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 10 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Mark Torrez pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Walter Dawn Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+15
99.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (LaDarius Hamilton) to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.9%
Mark Torrez pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 8 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+2
99.9%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Mark Torrez pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
99.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Dee Baulkman) to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Mark Torrez pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Mark Torrez run for no gain to the NoTex 16Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Mark Torrez pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.9%
Mark Torrez run for 6 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Andrew Tucker run for 2 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+3
100.0%
Andrew Tucker run for 3 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:19
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 60 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
+6.3
TD · Q3 11:08
Jeffery Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q2 2:18
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com