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WKU

Western Kentucky 23 at Marshall 30

MRSH
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:33 · Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 16 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior+5.4Home team on offense+17.9Garbage-time factor+5.0Score differential+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7Time remaining+1.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:04: Kaare Vedvik 42 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +5.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:01: Tyler King run for 10 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +8.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:37: Mike White pass intercepted for a TD Nazeeh Johnson return for 45 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +10.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:48: Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 25 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss PAT MISSED) — WKU win probability +9.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:02: Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 27 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +11.1 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 9:54MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:23WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56MRSH 4th & 6 at WKU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 24, up 4
    Close callPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:29MRSH 4th & 1 at WKU 3, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.7%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−2.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−7.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:29WKU 4th & 8 at MRSH 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:04MRSH 4th & 22 at WKU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:41WKU 4th & 8 at MRSH 11, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:41MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:43WKU 4th & 15 at WKU 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:35MRSH 4th & 13 at WKU 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:48MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:33WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 47, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:33WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 49, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:00MRSH 4th & 8 at WKU 32, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:54WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:29MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:01MRSH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:37MRSH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:48WKU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:02WKU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 5:0623% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
76.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 24
-2
76.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+17
76.6%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 17 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
76.6%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 22 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
76.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+10
76.6%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 10 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
76.6%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 9 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+4
76.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the Marsh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
76.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
76.6%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 3 yds to the Marsh 6Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
73.6%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
74.0%
Tyler King run for 9 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+1
74.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 1 yd to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
74.1%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+14
74.1%
Tyler King run for 14 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
74.4%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
74.3%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
74.1%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
73.9%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
71.7%
Drew Eckels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
71.7%
Drew Eckels run for 1 yd to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
71.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-Luper, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+6
72.2%
Jake Collins punt for 34 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 5:3072% → 71%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
50
0
72.1%
Tyler King run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
50
+8
72.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 8 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+4
72.2%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
72.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 11 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
72.6%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
72.6%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+9
72.1%
Tyler King run for 9 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
72.6%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-2
72.6%
Tyler King run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+3
72.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 3 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
71.0%
Kaare Vedvik 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
70.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 17Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+7
70.4%
Mike White pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
70.6%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 2
OWN 24
+1
71.2%
Jake Collins punt for 42 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 1 yd to the Marsh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:5570% → 74%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
69.8%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+14
70.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Nick Mathews for 14 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
71.2%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
71.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
71.3%
Keion Davis run for 8 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+3
71.9%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
71.9%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+10
71.9%
DAVIS, Keion pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Willie, PENALTY WKU holding (FARRIS, DeAndre) 10 yards to the WKU12, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
71.9%
DAVIS, Keion pass incomplete to YURACHEK, Ryan (KEY, Devon), QB hurry by JOHNSON, Chris, PENALTY MAR illegal formation 5 yards to the WKU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+13
71.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 13 yds to the WKent 4Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 2
OPP 4
-4
71.9%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 8Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+5
71.2%
Chase Litton run for 5 yds to the WKent 3Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
73.6%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
74.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Marsh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
70.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
70.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
71.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-Luper, broken up by Rodney AllenSimilar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 15
OPP 49
+7
72.4%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 7 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
72.6%
Jake Collins punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8FG
19 plays · 67 yds · 6:1473% → 76%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
72.6%
Tyler King run for no gain to the Marsh 9 Tyler King fumbled, forced by Joel Iyiegbuniwe, recovered by Marsh Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+9
72.4%
Tyler King run for 9 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
72.8%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
72.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Nick Mathews, broken up by Masai WhyteSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+30
71.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 30 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
74.5%
Tyler King run for no gain to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
74.1%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+16
72.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Nick Mathews for 16 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
75.2%
Chase Litton sacked by Derik Overstreet for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+5
73.8%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+21
74.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyler King for 21 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
75.2%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 16Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 13
OPP 16
-4
74.2%
Chase Litton sacked by Ben Holt for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 17
OPP 20
-5
72.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 22
OPP 25
0
72.4%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 22
OPP 25
+42
75.7%
Kaare Vedvik 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:5978% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
78.0%
Tyler King run for 10 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
78.9%
Tyler King run for 6 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
79.1%
Tyler King run for no gain to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
78.4%
Chase Litton run for 7 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
79.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Nick Mathews for 6 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+10
79.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Nick Mathews for 10 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
79.3%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+14
79.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Obi Obialo for 14 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
87.4%
Tyler King run for 10 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:2013% → 18%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
86.8%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 6 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+4
86.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
86.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 10 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
86.0%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 25 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
85.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 25 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
84.1%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 5 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 5
OPP 8
-3
84.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 11Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
84.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon Yelder, broken up by Chase HancockSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
82.3%
Ryan Nuss 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
83.3%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
83.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Nick MathewsSimilar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
82.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
81.9%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
83.1%
Mike White sacked by Ryan Bee for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 13Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+2
83.4%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 2 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
84.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
84.7%
COLLINS, Jake punt 43 yards to the MAR42, FOSTER, Hyleck return to the WKU45 (RUFFIN, Dionte), PENALTY MAR illegal block declined, PENALTY MAR illegal use of hands off-setting, PENALTY WKU illegal use of hands off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
84.7%
Jake Collins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
85.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Obi Obialo for 8 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
85.6%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
85.7%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
85.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
84.7%
Chase Litton pass intercepted, touchback. Devon Key return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15INT TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:3316% → 6%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
84.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+12
83.7%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 12 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
83.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+45
93.7%
Mike White pass intercepted for a TD Nazeeh Johnson return for 45 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17FG
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5695% → 98%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
95.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 13
OPP 27
0
95.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Nick MathewsSimilar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
95.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+44
97.8%
Kaare Vedvik 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 1:472% → 12%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-13
97.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-13 Yards) to the WKent 14Similar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
97.8%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 15 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
97.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 17 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
97.8%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 6 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-5
97.6%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to JERNIGHAN, Quin, QB hurry by HAMES, Channing, QB hurry by TYLER, Ty, PENALTY WKU illegal formation (SIMS, Jimmie) 5 yards to the WKU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+10
97.8%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 10 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
97.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 18 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
88.2%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 25 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
94.5%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
94.4%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 43Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+3
94.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 3 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q4 13:48
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
93.7%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 16 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
91.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the WKent 23Similar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 5
OWN 23
+28
91.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 28 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
90.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Cameron Echols-Luper) to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.0%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
91.1%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to ECHOLS-LUPER, C, QB hurry by BEE, Ryan, QB hurry by COUCH, Marquis, PENALTY MAR pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 9 yards to the WKU45, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
90.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
90.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 7 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 3
OPP 48
-5
90.6%
Mike White sacked by Ty Tyler for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 8
OWN 47
+16
91.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 16 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-15
90.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tyler Witt) to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
90.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon YelderSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
90.5%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 1 yd to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
90.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon YelderSimilar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 9
OWN 49
-15
91.1%
Mike White sacked by Chase Hancock for a loss of 15 yards to the WKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:1896% → 98%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
96.2%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
96.1%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-1
96.0%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 8
OPP 32
0
97.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:547% → 19%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
93.5%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 8 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-5
93.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+7
93.6%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 7 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
93.3%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 2
50
0
92.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 2
50
+3
93.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
93.1%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 9 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+11
92.4%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 11 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
80.8%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 27 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23END OF GAME
14 plays · 40 yds · 1:4694% → 98%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
93.9%
Tyler King run for 16 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
94.1%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+30
94.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 30 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 0
OPP 9
-15
95.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ryan Yurachek) to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
95.1%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+3
95.7%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+1
96.1%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-1
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:02
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 27 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q3 1:37
Mike White pass intercepted for a TD Nazeeh Johnson return for 45 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q4 13:48
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 25 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss PAT MISSED)
-9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com