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FAU

Florida Atlantic 48 at Louisiana Tech 23

LT
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:53 · J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid Bonnette
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Home team on offense−34.2Score differential−31.1Pregame prior−8.5Garbage-time factor−11.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:20: Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 33 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +8.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:46: Jonathan Barnes kickoff for 63 yds , Kerrith Whyte Jr. return for 98 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +8.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:53: Devin Singletary run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +9.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:21: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 34 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +10.0 pts (now 12%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:44: Devin Singletary run for 44 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, face mask (3 yards) (Darryl Lewis) to the LaTch 0, (Jason Driskel pass to Kalib Woods for Two-Point Conversion) — FAU win probability +6.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 12FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00LT 4th & 3 at FAU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:31FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:54LT 4th & 4 at FAU 9, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:54FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:00LT 4th & 9 at FAU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:09LT 4th & 7 at FAU 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00LT 4th & 5 at FAU 5, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.9%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:46LT 4th & 4 at LT 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:53LT 4th & 2 at LT 46, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:53LT 4th & 11 at FAU 23, down 25
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -2.7%−6.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:44LT 4th & 3 at LT 32, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:55FAU 4th & 7 at LT 23, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:55LT 4th & 4 at FAU 32, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:51LT 4th & 2 at FAU 5, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.9%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:51FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 36, up 19
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:24LT 4th & 10 at LT 43, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:37FAU 4th & 2 at LT 3, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 8:45FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    57.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:24FAU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:20FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:46FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:53FAU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:21LT Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:44FAU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:51LT Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:37FAU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.1%
Boston Scott run for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
31.1%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
31.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 15 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
31.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
50
+1
31.1%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
31.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
31.1%
Brady Farlow punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 3:4668% → 68%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
32.2%
Jason Driskel run for no gain to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+7
32.2%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+2
32.2%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+2
32.3%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
32.2%
Jason Driskel run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
32.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 5 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
32.0%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+10
32.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 10 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
31.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+36
31.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 36 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
31.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the LaTch 12Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+9
31.8%
Jason Driskel run for 9 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
32.1%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:5133% → 35%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
32.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 12 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
32.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 12 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
33.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+22
33.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 22 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
33.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+10
33.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
33.6%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+1
33.6%
Teddy Veal run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+2
33.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 2 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
35.0%
Jonathan Barnes 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
34.7%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-9
34.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+15
35.2%
DRISKEL, Jason pass incomplete to WRIGHT, Willie, PENALTY LATECH pass interference (LEWIS, Darryl) 15 yards to the FAU32, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
34.5%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-4
34.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+7
35.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
34.9%
Ryan Rickel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:3535% → 37%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
35.1%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+23
34.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 23 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
36.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 17 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
37.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+13
37.2%
Boston Scott run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
37.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 10 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (Andrew Soroh) to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
37.9%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
37.9%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
37.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
37.4%
Jonathan Barnes 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3664% → 69%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
35.9%
Kamrin Solomon run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+77
30.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 77 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 7:1529% → 33%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
29.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
28.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 17 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
30.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+14
30.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 44 J'Mar Smith fumbled, forced by Herb Miller, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
30.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 4 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+10
30.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 10 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
31.5%
Rhashid Bonnette run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+1
31.5%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+7
30.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 7 yds to the FlAtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
31.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Boston ScottSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+11
31.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 11 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
31.5%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
31.5%
Kam McKnight run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
30.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
33.4%
Jonathan Barnes 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:4969% → 79%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
31.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+15
30.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 15 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
29.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 20 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
21.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 33 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9FG
18 plays · 70 yds · 3:2023% → 25%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 6 yds Rhashid Bonnette fumbled, forced by Chris Tooley,Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
23.6%
SMITH, J'Mar sacked for loss of 8 yards to the LATECH23 (LEGGETT, Steven), PENALTY FAU personal foul (LEGGETT, Steven) 15 yards to the LATECH46, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
24.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 12 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
24.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+6
24.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+6
24.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
25.3%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+7
23.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
23.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+11
23.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
23.1%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
22.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
20.8%
J'Mar Smith run for no gain to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
24.9%
Jonathan Barnes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
15.6%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
16.2%
Kam McKnight run for 15 yds to the LaTch 47 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (DeJuawn Oliver) to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
16.2%
Kam McKnight run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
15.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnightSimilar
Q3 14:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
15.6%
Brady Farlow punt for 12 yds, downed at the LaTch 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:1488% → 97%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
12.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+4
12.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 4 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+7
12.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 7 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
12.2%
Devin Singletary run for 19 yds to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
11.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 7 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+3
11.9%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.7%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13DOWNS
15 plays · 52 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
2.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 13 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
2.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 5 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-10
2.9%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to MCKNIGHT, K., PENALTY LATECH holding (REED, Ethan) 10 yards to the LATECH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 15
OWN 33
-15
2.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Adrian Hardy) to the LaTch 18Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 30
OWN 18
+28
2.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 28 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
3.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Azeez Al-ShaairSimilar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+7
3.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 7 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
3.0%
Boston Scott run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
3.1%
Boston Scott run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+11
3.3%
Boston Scott run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
3.3%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Jeremiah Taleni for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 11
OPP 23
0
3.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnightSimilar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 11
OPP 23
0
3.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 11
OPP 23
0
3.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
1.8%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 29 Devin Singletary fumbled, forced by Russell Farris, recovered by LaTch Trey SpencerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:042% → 12%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
1.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-7
1.7%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Azeez Al-Shaair for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+34
11.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 34 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:3792% → 99%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
7.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 7 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
7.6%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
7.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 7 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+44
1.3%
Devin Singletary run for 44 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, face mask (3 yards) (Darryl Lewis) to the LaTch 0, (Jason Driskel pass to Kalib Woods for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
1.7%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
1.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
1.8%
Brady Farlow punt for 7 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18MISSED FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2699% → 99%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
1.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 13 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
1.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by L'Jarius SneedSimilar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
0.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+3
0.8%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
1.0%
Greg Joseph 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:041% → 6%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
1.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 4 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+14
1.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 14 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
1.4%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+15
1.3%
Boston Scott run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
1.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
1.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+6
1.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 6 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+7
1.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 7 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
1.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 12 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
1.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
1.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 2 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+6
1.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+5
5.6%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
2.4%
Jason Driskel run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+3
2.4%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+3
2.4%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
2.3%
Ryan Rickel punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
4.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 11 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
4.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
4.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+11
4.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 11 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
4.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
4.2%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
4.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
4.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 4:2299% → 100%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
1.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 19 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
1.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+10
0.6%
John Franklin III run for 10 yds to the LaTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
0.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-5
0.6%
John Franklin III run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 11 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+8
0.7%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds to the LaTch 3Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
0.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:21
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 34 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+10
TD · Q3 10:53
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-9.2
TD · Q3 14:46
Jonathan Barnes kickoff for 63 yds , Kerrith Whyte Jr. return for 98 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com