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RICE

Rice 21 at UAB 52

UAB
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—UAB 99.9%Nick Vogel 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 52 · Q4 8:49
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:49 · Nick Vogel 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense+33.7Score differential+29.2Pregame prior+3.7Blowout margin+15.4Garbage-time factor+11.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+17.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:17: A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 43 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +3.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:12: Spencer Brown run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +4.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:04: Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +6.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:13: Austin Walter run for 70 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +5.2 pts (now 11%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 9:57: Miklo Smalls pass intercepted for a TD Brontae Harris return for 64 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +5.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 0 of 2RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:24RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:25RICE 4th & 19 at UAB 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  3. Q3 11:16RICE 4th & 16 at UAB 43, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  4. Q3 6:27RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 4:50UAB 4th & 4 at RICE 46, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q4 8:49UAB 4th & 3 at RICE 10, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q4 8:40RICE 4th & 1 at UAB 14, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:24UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:17UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:12UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:04UAB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:13RICE Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:57UAB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:37UAB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:27UAB Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:54RICE Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:49RICE Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:3675% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
74.5%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
74.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 6 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
74.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
50
+8
74.5%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
74.5%
Donnie Lee run for 5 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+12
74.5%
James Noble III run for 12 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
74.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to James Noble III for 6 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
74.5%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+13
74.5%
Spencer Brown run for 13 yds to the Rice 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
74.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.3%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.7%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
74.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 8 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
74.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for no gain to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
74.8%
Jack Fox punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:0175% → 79%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
75.1%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
75.3%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+8
74.9%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
75.1%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+19
75.4%
Spencer Brown run for 19 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
78.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 43 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
78.1%
Kylen Granson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 21Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+26
78.3%
Sam Glaesmann pass intercepted Darious Williams return for 26 yds to the Rice 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
82.8%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 53 yds · 0:4118% → 17%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
82.2%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 14 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
82.0%
Miklo Smalls run for 13 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
82.2%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
82.1%
Miklo Smalls run for 3 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+28
82.1%
Miklo Smalls run for 28 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-7
81.5%
Austin Trammell run for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 17
OPP 37
-3
82.2%
Austin Trammell run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 20
OPP 40
+1
82.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 19
OPP 39
0
82.6%
Jack Fox punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 4:2886% → 93%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
85.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 6 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+42
86.0%
Spencer Brown run for 42 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
87.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
87.0%
James Noble III run for 3 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+7
86.8%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
87.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for no gain to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
87.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 9 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+12
86.6%
A.J. Erdely run for 12 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.4%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:516% → 12%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.9%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+70
88.6%
Austin Walter run for 70 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
88.5%
UAB Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Fitzgerald Mofor) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+64
93.9%
Miklo Smalls pass intercepted for a TD Brontae Harris return for 64 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.4%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
94.3%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
94.1%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
94.5%
Miklo Smalls run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
50
+10
94.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 10 yds to the UAB 34 Nahshon Ellerbe fumbled, forced by Will Dawkins, recovered by UAB Garrison MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:5195% → 97%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
95.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 7 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+20
95.3%
James Noble III run for 20 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
95.4%
James Noble III run for 17 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
95.4%
Kailon Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+7
95.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 7 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
97.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 16 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12END OF HALF
15 plays · 69 yds · 4:182% → 1%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
97.9%
Miklo Smalls run for 2 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
97.9%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Kylen Granson for 13 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
97.8%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 5 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-10
98.2%
SMALLS, Miklo pass complete to CEPHUS, Aaron for 40 yards to the UAB13 (THOMAS, B.), PENALTY RICE holding (DILL, Joseph) 10 yards to the RICE37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+33
98.5%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Austin Walter for 33 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.1%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.1%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+22
98.2%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 22 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
98.7%
Miklo Smalls sacked by Stacy Keely for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
98.8%
Miklo Smalls run for 6 yds to the UAB 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 3:442% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
98.4%
Samuel Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
98.5%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Kylen Granson for 13 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
98.5%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+19
98.5%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Kylen Granson for 19 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.4%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-5
98.4%
RICE Penalty, false start (Robby Wells III) to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+6
98.5%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Cameron Johnson for 6 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 9
OPP 36
-10
99.0%
SMALLS, Miklo pass complete to CEPHUS, Aaron for 36 yards to the UAB0, clock 11:16, PENALTY RICE holding 10 yards to the UAB46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 19
OPP 46
+3
99.1%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
99.1%
Jack Fox punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:0499% → 100%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.2%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+15
99.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 15 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
99.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 13 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.2%
James Noble III run for 2 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+32
99.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 32 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 2 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+4
99.3%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
99.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Nahshon Ellerbe, broken up by Garrett MarinoSimilar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.6%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 5 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Jack Fox punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
99.6%
BROWN, S. rush for loss of 4 yards to the UAB29 (ELLERBEE, E.), PENALTY RICE personal foul (ABERCRUMBIA, Z.) 15 yards to the UAB48, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 3 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
99.6%
Donnie Lee run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
99.6%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Joel Dixon punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
99.7%
Will Phillips run for 1 yd to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+63
99.7%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 63 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
99.7%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by D.A. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Miklo Smalls run for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 6:05100% → 100%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.7%
James Noble III run for 9 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+11
99.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jonathan Haden for 11 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.7%
James Noble III run for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
99.7%
James Noble III run for 4 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
99.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Carlos Stephens for 3 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.7%
James Noble III run for 1 yd to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+5
99.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Justin Walker for 5 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+1
99.7%
James Noble III run for 1 yd to the Rice 10Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
99.9%
Nick Vogel 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:510% → 0%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
99.9%
RICE Penalty, false start (Joseph Dill) to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+16
99.9%
Miklo Smalls run for 16 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Nahshon Ellerbe for 6 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Robby Wells III for 5 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
99.9%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Kylen Granson for 24 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 8 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
99.9%
Miklo Smalls run for 1 yd to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+1
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Robby Wells III for 3 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 10 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.9%
Kylen Binn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Carlos Stephens run for 3 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+8
99.9%
Kylen Binn run for 8 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Carlos Stephens run for no gain to the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:04
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 9:57
Miklo Smalls pass intercepted for a TD Brontae Harris return for 64 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 10:13
Austin Walter run for 70 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com