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UTEP

UTEP 3 at Middle Tennessee 30

MTSU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:38 · Ryan Metz run for no gain to the UTEP 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+13.5Home team on offense+28.0Score differential+19.8Garbage-time factor+6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:16: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 25 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:35: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 5 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:35: PENALTY UTEP unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY MT unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY. — UTEP win probability +1.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:23: Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 6:37: Jason Filley 26 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UTEP made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00MTSU 4th & 11 at MTSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:18UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:11MTSU 4th & 20 at UTEP 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:11UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 26, down 3
    Close callPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:20MTSU 4th & 12 at MTSU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:20UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:23MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00UTEP 4th & 6 at MTSU 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:03MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 4, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:58UTEP 4th & 12 at MTSU 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:49MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 9:48UTEP 4th & 20 at UTEP 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  13. Q2 7:32MTSU 4th & 5 at UTEP 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:16UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:23UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 29, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 13:23UTEP 4th & 2 at MTSU 13, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:37UTEP 4th & 8 at MTSU 8, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.8
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:37MTSU 4th & 11 at MTSU 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  19. Q3 4:21UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:38UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:30UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 24, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 0:16MTSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:35MTSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:23MTSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:30MTSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.3%
Brad Anderson run for no gain to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
92.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 17 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
92.3%
ANDERSON, Brad rush for 1 yard to the MT43 (JONES, Alvin), PENALTY MT illegal block 15 yards to the MT27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 27
0
92.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 27
+3
92.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 30
+11
92.3%
Brad Anderson run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
92.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
91.6%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+3
91.6%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
91.7%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+10
91.7%
Alan Luna punt for 51 yds , Reed Blankenship returns for 10 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:2891% → 91%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
91.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 20 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
91.4%
Brad Anderson run for 19 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
91.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-10
91.4%
THOMAS, Tavares rush for 10 yards to the UTEP14 (SMITH, Kahani;ROGERS, Justin), PENALTY MT holding 10 yards to the UTEP34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 20
OPP 34
0
91.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 20
OPP 34
0
91.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Brad AndersonSimilar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 20
OPP 34
+51
90.9%
Canon Rooker 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
91.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+6
91.1%
Ryan Metz run for 6 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+10
91.1%
Alan Luna punt for 49 yds , Reed Blankenship returns for 10 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
90.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 10 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
90.7%
Tavares Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
90.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-1
90.4%
Brad Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
90.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
90.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 9 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+2
90.0%
Ryan Metz run for 2 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
90.0%
Terry Juniel run for 4 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-2
90.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+3
90.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 3 yds to the UTEP 27 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+16
90.3%
Alan Luna punt for 51 yds , Reed Blankenship returns for 16 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:0789% → 91%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
89.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
89.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+2
89.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 2 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+8
88.9%
Ruben Garnett run for 8 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
89.4%
Brad Anderson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Dante Lovilotte) to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
90.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 25 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:1610% → 10%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.9%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.9%
Kevin Dove run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
89.8%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
90.2%
Alan Luna punt for 45 yds, downed at the MTnSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
90.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
90.0%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 4Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 8
OWN 4
0
89.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 8
OWN 4
0
89.6%
Matt Bonadies punt for 36 yds, downed at the MTnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
89.5%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 15
OPP 45
-10
89.7%
Ryan Metz sacked by DQ Thomas for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 25
OWN 45
+2
90.0%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 23
OWN 47
+11
90.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Erik Brown for 11 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
90.3%
Alan Luna punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Reed Blankenship at the MTnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
89.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+4
89.6%
Brad Anderson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
89.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
89.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
89.1%
Kevin Dove run for 1 yd to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-4
89.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 13
OWN 45
-7
89.8%
Ryan Metz sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 20
OWN 38
0
90.1%
Alan Luna punt for 44 yds, downed at the MTnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 2:5790% → 94%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+27
89.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 27 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
90.0%
Brad Anderson run for 6 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
90.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tavonn Salter, broken up by Kalon BeverlySimilar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+11
89.7%
Brad Anderson run for 11 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
90.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
90.1%
Tavares Thomas run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
89.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+27
89.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 27 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
90.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tavonn SalterSimilar
Q2 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
90.2%
Brad Anderson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 5 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14END OF HALF
11 plays · 24 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
92.2%
PENALTY UTEP unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY MT unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.2%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
93.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 6 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
93.0%
Ryan Metz run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
93.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 4 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
92.9%
Joshua Fields run for 7 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
92.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Joshua Fields for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 7
50
-5
92.6%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
93.1%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+4
93.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 4 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:447% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.5%
Joshua Fields run for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
93.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
93.7%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:16
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+27
93.9%
Alan Luna punt for 35 yds , Reed Blankenship returns for 27 yds to the MIDDLETENN 42 UTEP Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:3295% → 98%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+22
94.6%
Ty Lee run for 22 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.6%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 6:463% → 2%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.6%
Joshua Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
96.4%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+14
96.6%
Joshua Fields run for 14 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
96.4%
Joshua Fields run for 6 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
96.2%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+27
96.2%
Joshua Fields run for 27 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
95.9%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+6
95.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Erik Brown for 6 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
96.1%
Joshua Fields run for no gain to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+3
96.1%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.9%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Sterling NapierSimilar
Q3 13:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
95.9%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.1%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Tyler Batson, broken up by Charvarius WardSimilar
Q3 6:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
97.4%
Jason Filley 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
97.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Myles Harges) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.0%
Ty Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
98.0%
Tavares Thomas run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-7
98.0%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Sky Logan for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-4
97.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 45 yds , Terry Juniel returns for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
98.0%
Joshua Fields run for 6 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-8
97.9%
Ryan Metz sacked by Reed Blankenship for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-2
98.1%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 14
OWN 23
0
98.1%
Alan Luna punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Reed Blankenship at the MTnSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20INT
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:1199% → 99%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
98.5%
Brad Anderson run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
98.6%
Brad Anderson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+36
98.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 36 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 3 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
99.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-5
99.0%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
99.0%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted, touchback. Nik Needham return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.8%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
98.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 6 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
98.8%
Ryan Metz run for no gain to the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:4699% → 100%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
99.2%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to LEE, Ty, PENALTY MT pass interference 15 yards to the UTEP44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 25
OPP 44
+15
99.1%
UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Kalon Beverly) to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.2%
Brad Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+6
99.2%
Tavares Thomas run for 6 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+17
99.2%
Tavares Thomas run for 17 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
99.2%
Tavares Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 10 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Joshua Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
UTEP Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q4 10:30
4TH & 12
OWN 24
-7
99.9%
Alan Luna punt for 55 yds , Reed Blankenship returns for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 17 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the MTnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24END OF GAME
15 plays · 60 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
99.9%
Jocquez Bruce run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Jocquez Bruce run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+33
99.9%
Tavares Thomas run for 33 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Jocquez Bruce run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 8
50
+6
99.9%
Jocquez Bruce run for 6 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-10
99.9%
THOMAS, Tavares rush for 14 yards to the UTEP30, fumble by THOMAS, Tavares recovered by MT TUCKER, Shane at UTEP25, TUCKER, Shane for 5 yards to the UTEP20, PENALTY MT holding 10 yards to the MT46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+13
99.9%
Kyle Banks run for 13 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.9%
Jocquez Bruce run for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Terelle West run for 5 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-7
99.9%
Kyle Banks run for 3 yds to the UTEP 25 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 17
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Kyle Banks run for 2 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Kyle Banks run for 5 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-5
99.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 15
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Jocquez Bruce run for no gain to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:35
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 5 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
+4
TD · Q3 13:23
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
+3
KEY PLAY · Q2 4:35
PENALTY UTEP unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY MT unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.
-1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com