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UTSA

UTSA 7 at Florida International 14

FIU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Yannis Routsas punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlaIn 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior−13.6Home team on offense−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:40: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +18.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:27: Alex McGough pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 18 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +14.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:59: Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 12 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +16.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:44: Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 6 — FIU win probability +14.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:09: Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the FlaIn 26 — FIU win probability +9.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 5 at UTSA 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    34.7%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:04UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:04FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:04UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTSA 4th & 13 at FIU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:49FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:43UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:31FIU 4th & 4 at UTSA 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    43.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    40.1%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:39UTSA 4th & 8 at FIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:21FIU 4th & 11 at UTSA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:59FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.2%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:44UTSA 4th & 1 at FIU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−5.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−21.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:44FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−1.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:12UTSA 4th & 11 at FIU 26, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.3 ptsWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−7.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:24FIU 4th & 6 at UTSA 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    93.3%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 3:40FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:27FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:59UTSA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
32.4%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+17
32.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 17 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
32.4%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+5
32.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 5 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-1
32.4%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
32.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
33.7%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 10 yds to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
33.6%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jr. Campbell for 13 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
33.5%
Tyrell Clay run for no gain to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
33.6%
Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+4
33.6%
Dalton Sturm run for 4 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
33.6%
Yannis Routsas punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
35.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
34.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
34.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
34.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 35 yds, downed at the TexSA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
34.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Chance McLeod for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 13
OWN 36
-2
35.2%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Newton Salisbury for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+4
35.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jr. Thomas for 4 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+2
35.5%
Yannis Routsas punt for 46 yds , Tony Gaiter IV returns for 2 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:0036% → 37%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
36.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+11
36.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 11 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
36.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+10
36.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 10 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
36.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
37.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the TexSA 43 Napoleon Maxwell fumbled, forced by Marcus Davenport, recovered by TexSA Baylen BakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:5564% → 61%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
36.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 11
OWN 42
-7
36.6%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Treyvon Williams and Newton Salisbury for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 35Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+27
38.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jr. Thomas for 27 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
36.3%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
36.3%
Dalton Sturm run for no gain to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-3
36.7%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Treyvon Williams and Anthony Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
38.6%
Yannis Routsas punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlaIn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 45 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
39.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+3
39.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+36
38.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 36 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
40.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
41.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
40.7%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
40.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
39.7%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 13 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
39.3%
Brett Winnegan run for 5 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
38.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jr. Thomas for no gain to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
38.7%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Tyrell ClaySimilar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
40.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 22 yds, downed at the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9FUMBLE
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
43.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 27 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
45.4%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
45.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+5
44.5%
MAXWELL, N. rush for loss of 1 yard to the UTSA31, PENALTY UTSA 12 men on the field 5 yards to the UTSA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+6
44.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
45.4%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+6
45.4%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the TexSA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
45.4%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 11Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
45.4%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the TexSA 9Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
44.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shermar Thornton for 5 yds to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-22
43.5%
Stone Wilson run for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 37 Stone Wilson fumbled, recovered by TexSA King Newton FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Anthony Johnson) to the TexSA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:1060% → 59%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
40.5%
Jr. Campbell run for 2 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+15
39.6%
Tyrell Clay run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
38.6%
Sturm pass incomplete to Thomas,Jr. (MUHAMMAD, Brad), PENALTY FIU personal foul (SALISBURY, N.) 15 yards to the FIU31, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
37.9%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Jr. ThomasSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
37.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
38.4%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
40.6%
Jared Sackett 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:1846% → 46%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
46.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 11 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Davenport) to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
49.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
48.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
46.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Devron DavisSimilar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
45.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 42 yds, downed at the TexSA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
43.9%
Tyrell Clay run for no gain to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+2
44.1%
Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds to the TexSA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
41.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+16
41.9%
Dalton Sturm run for 16 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
41.3%
Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
41.0%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Jr. Thomas, broken up by Bryce CanadySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+4
42.5%
Dalton Sturm run for 4 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
42.7%
Yannis Routsas punt for 57 yds, downed at the FlaIn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 93 yds · 8:1946% → 73%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
45.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 9 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+3
46.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
46.1%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-2
46.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+9
44.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 9 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
46.5%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+4
45.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+6
45.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+3
46.4%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
48.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 16 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
50.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 4 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-1
50.1%
Thomas Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 40Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+23
52.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 23 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
54.6%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
73.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
1 play · 18 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
84.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 18 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2818% → 34%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.7%
Tyrell Clay run for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
80.0%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jr. Campbell for 1 yd to the TexSA 32Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
80.3%
Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
80.0%
Dalton Sturm run for 9 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+15
78.4%
Sturm pass incomplete to Stewart (SPENCE, S.), PENALTY FIU pass interference (SPENCE, S.) 15 yards to the FIU39, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
78.2%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Stefan Beard) to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+9
79.1%
Dalton Sturm run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+12
76.7%
Tyrell Clay run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
76.7%
Tyrell Clay run for no gain to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+9
82.5%
Dalton Sturm run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
82.7%
Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
66.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 12 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
78.2%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Austin Jupe return for no gain to the TexSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19DOWNS
15 plays · 67 yds · 0:0027% → 30%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
72.6%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 9 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+8
70.5%
Brett Winnegan run for 8 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
70.2%
Dalton Sturm run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+6
69.3%
Dalton Sturm run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Stewart) to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
69.1%
Jalen Rhodes run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+13
68.4%
Dalton Sturm run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive holding (Sage Lewis) to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
66.3%
Tyrell Clay run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+4
66.3%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 4 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
66.3%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Tyrell Clay for 8 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+1
66.3%
Tyrell Clay run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
68.5%
Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
66.3%
Tyrell Clay run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.3%
Dalton Sturm run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q4 13:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
70.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0085% → 83%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
85.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+1
84.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
83.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to D'Vonte PriceSimilar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 5
OWN 7
0
82.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Brady Jones at the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0022% → 18%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
77.9%
Sturm pass incomplete to Stewart, PENALTY FIU pass interference (MUHAMMAD, Brad) 15 yards to the FIU25, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
75.0%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Newton Salisbury and Jordan Guest for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
76.1%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady JonesSimilar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
78.7%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady Jones, broken up by Brad MuhammadSimilar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 11
OPP 26
0
82.2%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 3:4591% → 96%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
91.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+19
90.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
92.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
92.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+9
95.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 9 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
95.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 45Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+6
96.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+1
96.6%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
96.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
93.4%
Dalton Sturm run for 14 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
92.8%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
93.3%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 13 yds to the TexSA 36 lat. to Jr. Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 36 lat. to Dalton Sturm for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 36 lat. to Josh Dunlop for 2 yds Josh Dunlop fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Anthony WintSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:40
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
+18.7
TD · Q4 13:59
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 12 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
-16.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:44
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 6
+14.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com