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UTSA

UTSA 31 at UTEP 14

UTEP
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:35 · Alan Luna punt for 42 yds , Johnson Jr. returns for 15 yds to the UTEP 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior−8.1Home team on offense−32.7Score differential−16.1Garbage-time factor−13.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:48: Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 48 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +6.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:41: Zack Greenlee run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +5.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:30: Joshua Fields run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +11.3 pts (now 29%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:22: Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +8.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:58: Zack Greenlee pass intercepted for a TD Devron Davis return for 22 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +8.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52UTSA 4th & 1 at UTEP 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%
    63% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:52UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:43UTSA 4th & 13 at UTEP 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:51UTEP 4th & 3 at UTSA 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:56UTSA 4th & 7 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:50UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:50UTSA 4th & 1 at UTEP 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−3.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    59.8%−11.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:21UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:35UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:28UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:35UTEP 4th & 19 at UTEP 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:28UTEP 4th & 5 at UTSA 34, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.2
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 10:59UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:48UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:41UTEP Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:30UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:22UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:58UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
11.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
11.4%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
11.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+27
11.4%
Alan Luna punt for 41 yds , Brady Jones returns for 27 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:5788% → 87%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
11.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+14
11.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 14 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
11.8%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete, broken up by Kalon BeverlySimilar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
11.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 5 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+7
11.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Tyrell Clay for 7 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
11.8%
Tyrell Clay run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+6
11.8%
Dalton Sturm run for 6 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
11.8%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart, broken up by Kalon BeverlySimilar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+20
13.4%
Jared Sackett 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete UTEP Penalty, false start ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
13.4%
Joshua Fields run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.3%
GREENLEE, Zack pass incomplete to BROWN, Erik (Davis,D), QB hurry by Davenport, PENALTY UTSA offside (Davenport) 5 yards to the UTEP30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
13.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
13.3%
Alan Luna punt for 40 yds , Brady Jones returns for 7 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
13.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+6
13.7%
Dalton Sturm run for 16 yds to the UTEP 45 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (Greg Campbell Jr.) to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
13.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
13.6%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 11 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
13.6%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Robert UrsuaSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-3
13.6%
Tyrell Clay run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
13.8%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Tyrell ClaySimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
14.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5INT
10 plays · 57 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
15.1%
GREENLEE, Zack pass incomplete to BROWN, Erik, PENALTY UTSA offside (Strong Jr.) 5 yards to the UTEP25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+1
15.2%
Kevin Dove run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
15.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+12
15.0%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 12 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
15.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 9 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+4
15.7%
Walter Dawn Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
15.7%
Kevin Dove run for 20 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
16.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
16.0%
Kevin Dove run for 6 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+15
15.7%
Zack Greenlee pass intercepted Nate Gaines return for 15 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:5683% → 85%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
17.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
17.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+10
17.7%
Sturm sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UTSA19 (MONTEGUT, L.), PENALTY UTEP holding 10 yards to the UTSA33, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
17.2%
Tyrell Clay run for 14 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
16.8%
Tyrell Clay run for 9 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-1
16.6%
Tyrell Clay run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+11
16.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 11 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
16.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 1 yd to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
16.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+15
16.8%
Sturm pass incomplete to Jones,B, dropped pass (SMITH, Kahani), PENALTY UTEP personal foul (SMITH, Kahani) 15 yards to the UTEP18, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
16.4%
Dalton Sturm run for 1 yd to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
14.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 17 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
15.5%
Erik Brown run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
15.6%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Terry Juniel, broken up by Brenndan JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+5
15.1%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Erik Brown for 5 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
15.2%
Alan Luna punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:2484% → 90%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
16.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 11 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
15.9%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 21 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
9.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 48 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:5812% → 19%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
11.5%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+5
11.4%
GREENLEE, Zack pass complete to BROWN, Erik for 4 yards to the UTEP32 (Johnson,B), PENALTY UTSA offside (Dye Jr.) 5 yards to the UTEP33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
11.6%
Walter Dawn Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+38
11.8%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Erik Brown for 38 yds to the TEXASSAN 26 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
12.6%
Joshua Fields run for 8 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+2
12.6%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
12.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Terry Juniel for 10 yds to the TexSA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
17.9%
Zack Greenlee run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+2
18.7%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive offside (Devron Davis) to the TexSA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.1%
Greg Campbell Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
15.8%
Dalton Sturm pass intercepted Justin Rogers return for no gain to the TexSA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:2818% → 29%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
18.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
18.0%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+36
17.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 36 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
28.7%
Joshua Fields run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:3477% → 77%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
23.4%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 8 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
22.6%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 14 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
21.8%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Kerry Thomas Jr.) to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 15
OWN 42
0
22.9%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+8
23.4%
Dalton Sturm run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 7
50
0
22.0%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 7
50
0
23.4%
Yannis Routsas punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
25.1%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.4%
Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
23.3%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 4 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
23.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 1 yd to the TexSA 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
24.5%
Yannis Routsas punt for 52 yds, downed at the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
25.4%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+9
25.1%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Erik Brown for 9 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+17
24.7%
Joshua Fields run for 17 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
27.7%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
27.6%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr.Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
25.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
24.8%
Alan Luna punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
17 plays · 85 yds · 8:2874% → 86%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
25.8%
Tyrell Clay run for 7 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 3
OWN 22
-1
25.0%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 21Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+11
26.6%
Dalton Sturm run for 11 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
25.0%
Tyrell Clay run for 6 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+8
23.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 8 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
23.7%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Jalen RhodesSimilar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+14
24.0%
Jalen Rhodes run for 14 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
23.3%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 14 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
22.3%
Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+8
22.3%
Tyrell Clay run for 8 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
22.3%
Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+7
22.3%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 7 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
23.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the UTEP 5Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+2
24.7%
Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
22.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
22.3%
Dalton Sturm run for no gain to the UTEP 1Similar
Q3 1:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
15.6%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
15.3%
Kevin Dove run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
15.1%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+32
14.4%
Alan Luna punt for 48 yds, downed at the TEXASSAN 19 UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Michael Lewis) to the TexSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:1484% → 83%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
15.9%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Jalen RhodesSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
16.8%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Jalen Rhodes, broken up by Kalon BeverlySimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+7
17.4%
Yannis Routsas punt for 39 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 7 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
15.9%
Joshua Fields run for no gain to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
15.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr., broken up by Carl Austin IIISimilar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
14.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q4 14:35
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
14.1%
Alan Luna punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
16.2%
Tyrell Clay run for 3 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
15.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady JonesSimilar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+1
16.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 1 yd to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+49
16.8%
Yannis Routsas punt for 49 yds , Terry Juniel returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21INT TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5214% → 5%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
13.9%
Joshua Fields run for 5 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
13.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+22
5.0%
Zack Greenlee pass intercepted for a TD Devron Davis return for 22 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:565% → 4%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
4.5%
DOVE, Kevin rush for 72 yards to the UTSA0, clock 10:31, PENALTY UTEP holding (STALLINGS, T.) 10 yards to the UTEP18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+4
4.4%
Zack Greenlee run for 4 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 16
OWN 22
-3
4.3%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 19
OWN 19
0
4.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 19
OWN 19
+15
4.3%
Alan Luna punt for 42 yds , Johnson Jr. returns for 15 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
3.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+9
3.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 9 yds to the UTEP 29 Jalen Rhodes fumbled, forced by Alvin Jones, recovered by UTEP Sky LoganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:494% → 4%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
4.3%
Kevin Dove run for 18 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
4.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Terry Juniel, broken up by Javontavius MosleySimilar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
4.7%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to David Lucero for 14 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
5.0%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+4
5.0%
Zack Greenlee run for 4 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
4.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
4.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25END OF GAME
12 plays · 36 yds · 3:3297% → 99%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
3.2%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 29Similar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+5
3.2%
Tyrell Clay run for 5 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
3.3%
Dalton Sturm run for 19 yds to the UTEP 47 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (Greg Campbell Jr.) to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+4
1.9%
Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
1.9%
Tyrell Clay run for 11 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
1.9%
Tyrell Clay run for 3 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-2
1.5%
Tyrell Clay run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+14
1.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 14 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
1.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-1
1.2%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:30
Joshua Fields run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK)
+11.3
TD · Q4 10:58
Zack Greenlee pass intercepted for a TD Devron Davis return for 22 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
-8.9
TD · Q3 1:22
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com