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LT

Louisiana Tech 42 at Rice 28

RICE
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:37 · Davan Dyer punt for 40 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior−26.7Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:43: Sam Glaesmann run for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +13.1 pts (now 30%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:03: Jarred Craft run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +12.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:03: Will Phillips run for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +15.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:33: Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 51 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +29.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · Q4 1:00: Boston Scott run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +27.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 4LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:18LT 4th & 3 at LT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:59RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:37LT 4th & 7 at LT 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:15RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00LT 4th & 2 at RICE 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    74.3%−1.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:17LT 4th & 10 at LT 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:03RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 12, down 7
    Close callPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:03LT 4th & 8 at RICE 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:33RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 4:15LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:08LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:17RICE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:38LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:43RICE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:03LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:03RICE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:33RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−1.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:00LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:36LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:4278% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.2%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
22.2%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
22.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, IR (Teddy Veal) to the LaTch 22Similar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+10
22.6%
Boston Scott run for 10 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 14:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
22.6%
Davan Dyer punt for 42 yds, downed at the Rice 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
23.2%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-3
23.2%
Sam Glaesmann sacked by Amik Robertson for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
23.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
23.1%
Jack Fox punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
23.8%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 13
OWN 32
-7
23.9%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Preston Gordon for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+13
24.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 13 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
24.0%
Davan Dyer punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
24.7%
Sam Glaesmann run for 8 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+7
24.9%
Jordan Myers run for 7 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
24.9%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
24.8%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Jordan Myers, broken up by Secdrick CooperSimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+26
24.6%
Sam Glaesmann run for 26 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
25.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-7
25.3%
Sam Glaesmann run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 41 Sam Glaesmann fumbled, recovered by LaTch Dae'Von WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:0775% → 77%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
25.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 5 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+11
25.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 11 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
25.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 11 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
24.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 15 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
24.8%
Boston Scott run for 9 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+3
24.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
23.0%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
24.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
24.0%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Austin Walter for 5 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+4
23.9%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Austin Walter for 4 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
23.9%
Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:3476% → 81%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
24.1%
Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+18
23.7%
Jarred Craft run for 18 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
23.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
23.4%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Roe Wilkins for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 43Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+13
24.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 13 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+3
23.8%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
23.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnight, broken up by J.T. IbeSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+31
23.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Javonte Woodard for 31 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
23.0%
Boston Scott run for 4 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
18.9%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5120% → 28%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
20.1%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+32
20.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Kylen Granson for 32 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
21.1%
Sam Glaesmann run for 3 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+41
21.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Kylen Granson for 41 yds to the LaTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the LaTch 1Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.8%
Sam Glaesmann run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
24.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marlon WattsSimilar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+18
24.9%
Jarred Craft run for 18 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
23.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
23.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jarred Craft for no gain to the LaTch 48Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
24.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to DeJuawn OliverSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+47
25.2%
Brady Farlow punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICE 9 RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (4 Yards) to the Rice 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
24.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 5
OWN 10
0
24.9%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 10Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+2
24.3%
Sam Glaesmann run for 2 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
24.0%
Jack Fox punt for 41 yds , Teddy Veal returns for no gain to the Rice 12 RICE Penalty, personal foul (George Nyakwol) to the Rice 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11TD
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:2178% → 84%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
22.5%
Boston Scott run for 9 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+10
22.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 10 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+16
22.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 16 yds to the Rice 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.2%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the Rice 3Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
22.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Rice 8Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
22.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
16.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12INT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:5418% → 21%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
17.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 12 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
18.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 2 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+1
17.6%
Sam Glaesmann run for 1 yd to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+18
19.0%
Sam Glaesmann run for 18 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
20.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 5 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-5
20.8%
Sam Glaesmann pass intercepted L'Jarius Sneed return for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
17.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Javonte WoodardSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+16
17.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 16 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
17.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marlon Watts, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
17.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-1
16.7%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 6:1717% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
17.3%
Jordan Myers run for 8 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+3
18.4%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
18.5%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Sam Pierce) to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+17
17.0%
Jordan Myers run for 17 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
18.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 2 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
18.7%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
18.7%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+7
18.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 7 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
19.2%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 5 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+12
19.2%
Kylen Granson run for 12 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
16.9%
Austin Walter run for 11 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
30.0%
Sam Glaesmann run for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:4076% → 91%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
23.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 8 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
22.7%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-2
22.0%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+10
23.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 10 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
21.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 7 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+3
21.2%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
21.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (O'Shea Dugas) to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+14
22.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 14 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+15
21.2%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Justin Bickham) to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
20.8%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+1
20.8%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the Rice 16Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+12
21.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 12 yds to the Rice 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
8.8%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:0012% → 29%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
12.2%
Austin Walter run for 7 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+24
12.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 24 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
13.5%
Cameron Montgomery run for 12 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
13.7%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the LaTch 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+7
13.3%
Austin Walter run for 7 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+2
13.0%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
28.9%
Will Phillips run for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:0080% → 81%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
20.5%
Jarred Craft run for 14 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
19.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to DeJuawn OliverSimilar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
20.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marlon Watts, broken up by Destri WhiteSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+12
21.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 12 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
17.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
50
0
17.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnight, broken up by Brandon Douglas-DotsonSimilar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 10
50
-3
17.2%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+10
19.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 10 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 3
OPP 43
-5
19.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
19.3%
Brady Farlow punt for 31 yds, downed at the Rice 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 5:5121% → 51%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
21.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 6 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+6
21.6%
Sam Glaesmann run for 6 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
21.6%
Jordan Myers run for 5 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+6
22.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 6 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
23.8%
RICE Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+11
21.0%
Cameron Montgomery run for 11 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
24.7%
Sam Glaesmann run for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
24.3%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
25.9%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the LaTch 49Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
24.9%
Jordan Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
21.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 12
OWN 49
+51
50.7%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 51 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:3354% → 96%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.2%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
45.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marlon Watts, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
48.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 9 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
43.8%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
42.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 14 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
39.9%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
39.2%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
39.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 10 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
37.1%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+21
36.1%
Boston Scott run for 21 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.5%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20INT TD
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:2412% → 1%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.8%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
11.6%
Sam Glaesmann run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+37
1.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass intercepted for a TD Trey Spencer return for 37 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21INT
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.2%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+30
1.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Parker Smith for 30 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
1.3%
Jackson Tyner pass intercepted, touchback. Darryl Lewis return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
1.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:33
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 51 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
+29.1
TD · Q4 1:00
Boston Scott run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-27.7
TD · Q4 14:03
Will Phillips run for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
+15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com