Try the model
FAU

Florida Atlantic 42 at Western Kentucky 28

WKU
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:50 · Gregory Howell Jr. run for 19 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:51: Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 12 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +14.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:18: Deon Yelder run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +23.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:22: Devin Singletary run for 60 yds for a TD, (Jason Driskel pass to Kalib Woods for Two-Point Conversion) — FAU win probability +35.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:11: Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 49 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +25.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:21: Devin Singletary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +10.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:34FAU 4th & 8 at WKU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:02FAU 4th & 11 at WKU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:18WKU 4th & 5 at FAU 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    37.9%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:36FAU 4th & 8 at WKU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 4 at WKU 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−7.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:00WKU 4th & 6 at FAU 6, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−12.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:00FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−3.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:18FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 33, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−2.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:22WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−5.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:11WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:34FAU 4th & 11 at WKU 42, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.0%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    79.5%−1.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    80.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:23WKU 4th & 3 at FAU 23, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−1.0
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:09WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:18FAU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:12FAU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:52WKU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:51WKU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:18WKU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:22FAU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    42.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    42.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:11FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:21FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
27.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Kylen TownerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
27.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
27.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Kylen TownerSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
27.7%
Jake Collins punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -19 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
28.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+5
28.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 5 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-6
28.2%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 16
OWN 25
-13
28.2%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-13 Yards) to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 29
OWN 12
0
28.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:5129% → 32%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
28.8%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 19 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
28.9%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+4
28.9%
Mike White pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 4 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+26
28.8%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 26 yds to the FlAtl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
28.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
28.9%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
31.9%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:3569% → 67%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
31.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 11 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
31.2%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
31.0%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
31.1%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
31.0%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-1
31.0%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 46Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+3
31.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+15
31.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Joe Brown) to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
30.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 9 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+6
30.7%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
30.7%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the WKent 13Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
30.7%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+2
31.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 2 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
33.1%
Greg Joseph 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.3%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
33.3%
Mike White pass intercepted Andrew Soroh return for no gain to the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
32.8%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
32.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
33.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie Wright, broken up by Ta'Corian DardenSimilar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 11
OPP 42
-2
33.9%
Ryan Rickel punt for 32 yds , Devin Nixon returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 8 Devin Nixon fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Ray Wilson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:5467% → 69%
Q1 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
32.7%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-6
32.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to DeAndre McNeal for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 12Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
31.3%
Devin Singletary run for 12 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
31.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
32.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
32.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
32.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
50
0
32.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jakairi MosesSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
50
-2
32.8%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+7
31.7%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 7 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
32.1%
Jake Collins punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlAtl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9INT
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:4467% → 69%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
32.8%
Jason Driskel run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+14
32.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
32.6%
Willie Wright run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
31.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+7
31.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
50
+2
31.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
31.2%
Willie Wright run for 1 yd to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
31.3%
Jason Driskel pass intercepted DeAndre Farris return for no gain to the WKent 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
33.3%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the WKent 12Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
33.2%
Quinton Baker run for 5 yds to the WKent 18 Quinton Baker fumbled, forced by Jalen Young, recovered by FlAtl Andrew SorohSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:2169% → 73%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
31.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 8 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+9
31.3%
Jason Driskel run for 9 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
31.3%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
31.3%
Jason Driskel run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.3%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:2027% → 38%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
27.0%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+18
27.0%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 18 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
27.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
27.4%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 7 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+3
27.7%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 3 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
28.1%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
28.4%
Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+10
28.2%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 10 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
28.5%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 16 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
29.2%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 11 yds to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
37.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 11 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:1666% → 71%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
33.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
33.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin Solomon, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
34.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Ladante Harris for 10 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+29
32.5%
Devin Singletary run for 29 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
31.4%
Jason Driskel run for no gain to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
31.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
32.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
29.1%
Greg Joseph 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 3:4531% → 50%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
30.9%
Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the WKent 16Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+8
30.8%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 8 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
30.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
31.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
31.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon YelderSimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+32
30.6%
Mike White pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 32 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
33.7%
Mike White run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
34.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
33.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
34.7%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to DEANE, Mik'Quan (YOUNG, Jalen), PENALTY FAU pass interference (YOUNG, Jalen) 15 yards to the FAU12, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
49.5%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 12 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15END OF HALF
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:4156% → 57%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
44.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+20
44.5%
Devin Singletary run for 20 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
41.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Kalib Woods) to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
44.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin Solomon, broken up by Ta'Corian DardenSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+7
44.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 7 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 8
OWN 45
-2
42.8%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
43.9%
Willie Wright run for 22 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
41.7%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+6
41.3%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
40.6%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 31
-1
40.7%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+8
43.2%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 24
0
43.7%
Ryan Rickel run for no gain to the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17MISSED FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:1347% → 53%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
47.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
47.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+16
46.1%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 16 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
49.9%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
49.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+9
47.5%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 9 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
51.0%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+13
50.6%
Mike White pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 13 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
52.0%
WHITE, Mike pass complete to SLOAN, Jacquez for 8 yards to the FAU26, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FAU holding (SMITH, Korel) 10 yards to the FAU24, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
52.0%
Drew Eckels run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+7
52.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
52.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jakairi MosesSimilar
Q3 12:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
52.0%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 7 yds to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
50.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
53.1%
Ryan Nuss 24 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Shelton LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0050% → 46%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
50.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
50.9%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
52.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete, broken up by Julien LewisSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
53.9%
Ryan Rickel punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 3:5552% → 81%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
52.3%
Quinton Baker run for 6 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
54.0%
Quinton Baker run for 5 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
53.8%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 7 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-10
55.6%
WHITE, Mike pass complete to FANT, Nacarius for 15 yards to the FAU40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY WKU holding 10 yards to the WKU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+20
51.7%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 20 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
56.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
56.2%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to SLOAN, Jacquez (SMITH, Korel), PENALTY FAU holding (SMITH, Korel) 10 yards to the FAU35, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
57.6%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 14 yds to the FlAtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
57.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
57.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon YelderSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+17
55.9%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 17 yds to the FlAtl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
57.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive offside (Haiden Nagel) to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q3 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.7%
Deon Yelder run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
74.6%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
74.3%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
75.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Devin SingletarySimilar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
76.7%
Ryan Rickel punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:1579% → 81%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
78.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 10 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
79.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
80.9%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 6 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
81.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+25
80.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 25 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-13
81.8%
Mike White sacked by Hunter Snyder for a loss of 13 yards to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 23
OPP 44
0
80.5%
Mike White pass intercepted Herb Miller return for no gain to the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 1:1322% → 57%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
78.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+11
79.1%
Devin Singletary run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+60
43.4%
Devin Singletary run for 60 yds for a TD, (Jason Driskel pass to Kalib Woods for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0052% → 48%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
51.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 21Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
51.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan, broken up by Azeez Al-ShaairSimilar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
49.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+1
47.8%
Jake Collins punt for 40 yds , Jalen Young returns for 1 yd to the FlAtl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:0756% → 84%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
44.1%
Devin Singletary run for 16 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
42.1%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-7
42.1%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the WKent 39 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (Antonyo Woods) to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+49
16.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 49 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 21%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
23.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan, broken up by Shelton LewisSimilar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
23.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
22.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
20.9%
Jake Collins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kamrin Solomon at the FlAtl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:1383% → 96%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
16.9%
Devin Singletary run for 21 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
15.8%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
15.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by Leverick JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
16.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 11
OPP 42
+22
18.9%
Ryan Rickel run for 22 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
15.2%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
15.2%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
15.8%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
15.2%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
4.3%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27DOWNS
13 plays · 57 yds · 2:585% → 4%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
5.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jakairi MosesSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+12
5.2%
Mike White pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 12 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
5.5%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 3 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+9
5.5%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 9 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
6.0%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 1
50
+6
6.5%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 6 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
6.3%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 14 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
7.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
4.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+7
3.8%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 7 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 3
OPP 23
-3
4.0%
Mike White sacked by Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
1.9%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+4
1.9%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
1.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+19
1.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 19 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:22
Devin Singletary run for 60 yds for a TD, (Jason Driskel pass to Kalib Woods for Two-Point Conversion)
-35.7
TD · Q4 9:11
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 49 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-25.7
TD · Q3 1:18
Deon Yelder run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
+23.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com