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RICE

Rice 7 at UTSA 20

UTSA
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLEFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:31 · Yannis Routsas punt for 53 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 2 yds to the Rice 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Pregame prior+26.1Home team on offense+3.4Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:11: Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 50 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +7.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Daniel Portillo kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — RICE win probability +3.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:11: Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 26 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +4.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:40: Jared Sackett 20 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +3.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:11: Timeout RICE, clock 06:11 — UTSA win probability +4.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 8:00RICE 4th & 1 at UTSA 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:00RICE 4th & 6 at UTSA 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:03UTSA 4th & 1 at RICE 1, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.2%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 46, down 10
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:55UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:57UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:44RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:31UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:11RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:40UTSA 4th & 3 at RICE 3, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:40RICE 4th & 14 at UTSA 36, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 14 at UTSA 22, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:12UTSA 4th & 12 at RICE 37, up 13
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:04RICE 4th & 15 at UTSA 22, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:05UTSA 4th & 3 at RICE 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 4:11RICE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:11UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1FUMBLE
11 plays · 63 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
92.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 7 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+20
92.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 20 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
92.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
92.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+9
92.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 9 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
92.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
92.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+8
92.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 8 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
92.5%
Dalton Sturm run for 11 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
92.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 22 Jalen Rhodes fumbled, forced by Roe Wilkins, recovered by Rice Emmanuel EllerbeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 12 yds · 3:288% → 9%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
91.6%
Jordan Myers run for 6 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+5
91.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
91.6%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
91.6%
Jordan Myers run for no gain to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+10
91.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Robby Wells III for 10 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+34
91.3%
Sam Glaesmann run for a loss of 12 yards Sam Glaesmann fumbled, recovered by TexSA Marcus Davenport , return for 34 yds, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
91.5%
Jordan Myers run for 6 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+4
91.3%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
91.4%
Sam Glaesmann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
91.4%
Sam Glaesmann run for 6 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+3
91.3%
Sam Glaesmann run for 3 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+4
91.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+10
91.4%
Sam Glaesmann run for 10 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
91.3%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Samuel StewartSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+4
91.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
91.4%
Jack Fox punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Brady Jones at the TexSA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4FG
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:1591% → 91%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
90.7%
Tyrell Clay run for 8 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+4
90.8%
Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
90.8%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady JonesSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+73
90.8%
Tyrell Clay run for 73 yds to the Rice 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
91.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
91.2%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 6Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
91.2%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Marquez McNairSimilar
Q1 3:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
91.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 5 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q1 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
90.5%
Jared Sackett 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
90.2%
Jordan Myers run for 5 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
90.1%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
90.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
90.4%
Jack Fox punt for 47 yds, downed at the TexSA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
90.1%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+3
90.0%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+20
89.8%
Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Emmanuel Ellerbee) to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
90.2%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Jalen RhodesSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
90.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-5
90.0%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+10
89.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 10 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+2
89.9%
Yannis Routsas punt for 58 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 2 yds to the Rice 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7TD
13 plays · 96 yds · 5:2410% → 17%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
90.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 7 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+4
89.9%
Jordan Myers run for 4 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
89.9%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+9
89.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 9 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
89.8%
Sam Glaesmann sacked by Andrew Martel for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+1
90.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+24
90.2%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 24 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
89.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 8
50
-10
89.1%
Glaesmann, Sam sideline pass complete to Walter, Austin for 14 yards to the UTSA36 (Johnson,Cl), PENALTY RICE holding (Godber, Peter) 10 yards to the RICE40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 18
OWN 40
0
89.8%
Sam Glaesmann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 18
OWN 40
-5
90.0%
RICE Penalty, false start (Emmanuel Esukpa) to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 23
OWN 35
+15
90.2%
Glaesmann, Sam middle pass incomplete to Granson, Kylen, PENALTY UTSA personal foul (Gaines) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
50
+50
83.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 50 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:1485% → 82%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.9%
Dalton Sturm run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
84.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 16 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-9
85.9%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Roe Wilkins for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 35 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, intentional grounding (Dalton Sturm) to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 19
OWN 35
-2
84.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Tyrell Clay for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 33Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 21
OWN 33
+10
82.6%
Tyrell Clay run for 10 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
82.4%
Yannis Routsas punt for 42 yds, downed at the Rice 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
83.7%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
83.9%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus DavenportSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+3
84.5%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
85.0%
Jack Fox punt for 50 yds , Brady Jones returns for no gain to the TexSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:4484% → 83%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
84.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 11 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
85.2%
Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
85.3%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-6
84.9%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 11
OWN 42
+2
83.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 53 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 2 yds to the Rice 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
86.2%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
82.7%
Jordan Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+20
82.9%
Sam Glaesmann pass intercepted Clayton Johnson return for 10 yds to the TexSA 33 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (C.J. Levine) to the TexSA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:4885% → 90%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
84.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 7 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+26
85.0%
Greg Campbell Jr. run for 26 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
85.4%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+26
90.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 26 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.1%
Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
89.0%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Austin Walter for 3 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-4
89.2%
Miklo Smalls sacked by Kevin Strong Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+4
89.9%
Jack Fox punt for 39 yds , Brady Jones returns for 4 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:1890% → 93%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
89.9%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 19 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
90.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Dannon Cavil for 5 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-5
90.2%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Reed Darragh) to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+12
90.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 12 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
90.4%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+22
90.4%
Dalton Sturm run for 22 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
90.4%
Tyrell Clay run for no gain to the Rice 8Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
90.4%
Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.9%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Shaq WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
93.1%
Jared Sackett 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:408% → 7%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
92.0%
Jordan Myers run for 7 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+37
91.3%
Sam Glaesmann run for 37 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-14
90.1%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 14 yards to the TexSA 46Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 24
OPP 46
+12
91.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 12 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 12
OPP 34
-2
91.3%
Jordan Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 14
OPP 36
+18
92.2%
Sam Glaesmann run for 18 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
90.0%
Sam Glaesmann run for 5 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
90.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 2
OPP 10
-10
90.7%
Esukpa, E. rush left for 5 yards to the UTSA5 (Austin III;Johnson,Cl), PENALTY RICE holding (Dill, Joseph) 10 yards to the UTSA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 20
-2
91.8%
Sam Glaesmann sacked by Marcus Davenport for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+7
93.2%
Sam Glaesmann run for 7 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 48 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-8
95.0%
Clay,T rush up middle for 16 yards to the UTSA31 (Ellerbee, E.;Ibe, J.T.), PENALTY UTSA holding (Pratt) 8 yards to the UTSA7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 18
OWN 7
+17
94.9%
Dalton Sturm run for 17 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+2
95.1%
Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
95.1%
Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+4
95.1%
Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+33
95.0%
Dalton Sturm run for 33 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
95.5%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+5
95.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 12
OPP 37
0
95.2%
Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
94.7%
Yannis Routsas punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:036% → 3%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
94.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 17 yds to the Rice 33 RICE Penalty, illegal block (Aaron Cephus) to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 3
OWN 23
+5
93.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+55
93.6%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 55 yds to the TEXASSAN 17 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
91.8%
Miklo Smalls run for 2 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+3
91.8%
Miklo Smalls pass complete to Jordan Myers for 3 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 5
OPP 12
-10
96.1%
Esukpa, E. rush right for 12 yards to the UTSA0, clock 06:04, PENALTY RICE holding (Pierce, Sam) 10 yards to the UTSA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 15
OPP 22
0
96.3%
Miklo Smalls pass incomplete to Emmanuel EsukpaSimilar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 15
OPP 22
-6
96.7%
Miklo Smalls sacked by Marcus Davenport for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:4797% → 98%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
97.0%
Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+31
96.9%
Tyrell Clay run for 31 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
97.2%
Rhodes rush right for 7 yards to the RICE30 (Ellerbee, E.), PENALTY UTSA holding (Pratt) 10 yards to the RICE47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 20
OPP 47
-2
97.1%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 22
OPP 49
+3
97.1%
Tyrell Clay run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 19
OPP 46
+16
98.0%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 16 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 3
OPP 30
0
98.0%
Yannis Routsas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Miklo Smalls pass intercepted Clayton Johnson return for no gain to the TexSA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.0%
Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
98.0%
Tyrell Clay run for 14 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
98.2%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Josh Stewart) to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 15
OWN 36
-1
98.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 16
OWN 35
-2
98.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:11
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 50 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
-7.1
TD · Q3 12:11
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 26 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
+4.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:11
Timeout RICE, clock 06:11
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com