Try the model
UAB

UAB 24 at Charlotte 25

CLT
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-3.9CLT 12.8%Nick Vogel 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 0 · Q3 10:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:25 · Nick Vogel 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 89Pregame prior−11.4Home team on offense−23.8Score differential−11.1Garbage-time factor−6.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Time remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:16: Hasaan Klugh run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley KICK) — CLT win probability +10.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:34: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 68 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley KICK) — CLT win probability +17.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. FG · Q4 6:27: Nigel Macauley 24 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +15.9 pts (now 55%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +14.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd for a TD Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Montgomery pass to Hasaan Klugh for Two-Point Conversion) — CLT win probability +63.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 8 of 11UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 1 at UAB 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.7%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00UAB 4th & 6 at CLT 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    70.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UAB 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:15CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:00UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:43CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:50UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:04CLT 4th & 7 at UAB 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    28.9%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:20CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:25UAB 4th & 1 at CLT 8, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.0%−2.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−8.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:25CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:07CLT 4th & 1 at UAB 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%−1.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−5.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:16UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:25UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 26, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%−2.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:11CLT 4th & 4 at UAB 25, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.5%−1.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−14.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:27CLT 4th & 4 at UAB 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−5.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.3%−20.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:27UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 38, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%−1.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:50CLT 4th & 14 at UAB 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−3.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−3.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:42UAB 4th & 7 at CLT 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:15UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:20UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:16CLT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:34CLT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
25.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 15 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
25.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-1
25.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Chris Montgomery for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+6
25.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
25.4%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
25.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+4
25.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 4 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-1
25.4%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
27.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Justin Walker for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+17
26.9%
Spencer Brown run for 17 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
26.9%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-1
26.8%
Jonathan Haden run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
27.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
27.1%
A.J. Erdely punt for 8 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3INT
12 plays · 62 yds · 0:0028% → 29%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
28.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
28.3%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to QUATTLEBAUM, M., PENALTY UAB holding (WILLIAMS, D.) 10 yards to the CHA40, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
28.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 28 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
29.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 8 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 2
OPP 24
-7
29.0%
Chris Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UAB 21 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Cameron Clark) to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+4
29.0%
Nate Mullen run for 4 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+5
28.8%
UAB Penalty, Defensive offside (Anthony Rush) to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
29.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+7
29.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
29.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
29.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 10Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+11
28.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted Darious Williams return for 11 yds to the UAB 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:3869% → 69%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
30.9%
ERDELY, A.J. pass incomplete to TURNER Jr., R., PENALTY CHA pass interference (IRVIN, Denzel) 15 yards to the UAB29, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
30.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Justin Walker for 2 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+7
30.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 7 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
30.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
30.1%
Donnie Lee run for 4 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
29.9%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
50
0
30.9%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
50
0
31.5%
Joel Dixon punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
33.3%
Kameron Duncan run for 3 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+18
32.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted Chris Woolbright return for 18 yds to the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
26.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 12 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.8%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
28.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
27.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
27.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Collin Lisa at the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
27.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 6 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+1
27.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
27.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Jonathan Haden, broken up by Quinton JordanSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+1
28.1%
Joel Dixon punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 23 , Nate Mullen returns for 1 yd to the Charl 31 CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
28.2%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
28.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
27.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to R.J. Tyler CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
27.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 51 yds, downed at the UAB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
27.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
27.8%
Donnie Lee run for 7 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+2
27.3%
Donnie Lee run for 2 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-5
27.7%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+4
28.6%
Joel Dixon punt for 42 yds , Nate Mullen returns for 4 yds to the Charl 34 CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
27.4%
Nate Mullen run for 4 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
27.6%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+27
27.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 27 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
29.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Chris Montgomery for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+6
28.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
29.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Uriah LeMaySimilar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
27.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:0373% → 82%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
27.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 11 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
26.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Sederian Copeland for 2 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Butler) to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+45
25.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Sederian Copeland for 45 yds to the Charl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
24.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 2 yds to the Charl 3 A.J. Erdely fumbled, forced by Jeff Gemmell, recovered by UAB A.J. ErdelySimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
18.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
19.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 6 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
20.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
20.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Aaron McAllisterSimilar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
20.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 50 yds, downed at the UAB 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:5282% → 82%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
18.3%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 8Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+6
18.4%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+3
18.1%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:3582% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
17.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 11 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
16.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 15 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
16.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 7 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+8
16.5%
Donnie Lee run for 8 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
16.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 11 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
16.3%
A.J. Erdely run for 2 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-1
16.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+8
16.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 8 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+25
12.8%
Nick Vogel 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
13.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 27 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (T.L. Ford II) to the Charl 17Similar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+3
13.6%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
13.5%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
13.5%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
13.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 39 yds , Andre Wilson returns for no gain to the UAB 35 Andre Wilson fumbled, recovered by Charl Alex HighsmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
12 plays · 35 yds · 4:5115% → 24%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
15.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 6 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
15.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-10
15.0%
KLUGH, Hasaan rush for 2 yards to the UAB24, out-of-bounds (DAWKINS, W.), PENALTY CHA holding (TYLER, R.J.) 10 yards to the UAB36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+10
14.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 10 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 8:07
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+12
15.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 12 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
15.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+5
14.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 7
OPP 11
-10
13.7%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass complete to MCALLISTER, A. for 11 yards to the UAB0, clock 04:07, PENALTY CHA holding (GERMAN, Eugene) 10 yards to the UAB21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 17
OPP 21
+2
12.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+10
12.2%
MACAULEY, Nigel field goal attempt from 36 GOOD, clock 03:25, PENALTY UAB personal foul (GARCIA-WILLIAMS) 10 yards to the UAB9, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
13.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
24.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
20.3%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+1
20.1%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+5
21.2%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
20.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 1 yd to the UAB 26 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Marquavis Gibbs) to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
18.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
18.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
18.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+17
20.4%
Joel Dixon punt for 37 yds , Nate Mullen returns for 17 yds to the CHARLOTTE 40 CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block (JT Starr) to the Charl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:1319% → 18%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
18.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 1 yd to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-5
18.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Cameron Clark) to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+16
18.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 16 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
19.4%
Kameron Duncan run for 1 yd to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
19.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
18.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for no gain to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
17.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
17.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-3
17.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jonathan Haden for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+12
18.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jonathan Haden for 12 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+41
18.5%
Joel Dixon punt for 41 yds , Nate Mullen returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
36.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 68 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:0069% → 71%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
31.5%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
29.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+26
29.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Spencer Brown for 12 yds Spencer Brown fumbled, forced by Ben DeLuca, recovered by Charl Ben DeLuca , return for 26 yds to the UAB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23FG
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:5644% → 55%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
44.1%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
44.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+4
41.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+13
41.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 13 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
47.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+2
47.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 2 yds Trent Bostick fumbled, forced by Mar'Sean Diggs, recovered by CharlSimilar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
39.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent Bostick, broken up by Darious WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
55.4%
Nigel Macauley 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
44.9%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
43.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 2 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
43.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Spencer Brown for no gain to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+10
47.4%
Joel Dixon punt for 36 yds , Nate Mullen returns for 10 yds to the Charl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0056% → 52%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
55.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 23 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
60.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 2
OPP 33
-4
62.1%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 35 Aaron McAllister fumbled, recovered by Charl Aaron McAllisterSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 4
OPP 35
-10
59.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for no gain to the UAB 35 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (R.J. Tyler) to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
54.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
51.7%
Arthur Hart punt for 33 yds, downed at the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
48.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 9 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+27
46.5%
James Noble III run for 27 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
42.3%
James Noble III run for 3 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
41.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Jonathan HadenSimilar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
42.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin Lisa, broken up by Quinton JordanSimilar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
47.6%
Joel Dixon punt for 43 yds, downed at the Charl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
54.1%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+6
53.4%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 28TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
40.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 6 yds to the Charl 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+1
40.5%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the Charl 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+5
42.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
40.5%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Charl 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+9
40.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 9 yds to the Charl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 29TD
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 87%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
24.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the UAB 24Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+13
21.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 13 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
28.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the UAB 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
28.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Chris MontgomerySimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+3
23.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 3 yds to the UAB 7Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+6
23.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd for a TD Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Montgomery pass to Hasaan Klugh for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd for a TD Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Montgomery pass to Hasaan Klugh for Two-Point Conversion)
+63.9
TD · Q4 10:34
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 68 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley KICK)
+17.8
FG · Q4 6:27
Nigel Macauley 24 yd FG GOOD
+15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com