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2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+8.6FIU 66.0%Jose Borregales 42 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 13 · Q3 8:55
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:55 · Jose Borregales 42 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior−10.5Home team on offense+11.4Garbage-time factor+5.8Score differential+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 7:49: Jose Borregales 22 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +9.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:55: Jose Borregales 42 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +8.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:25: Dontrell Hilliard run for 12 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +16.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:25: Zachary Block kickoff for 58 yds , Bryce Singleton return for 29 yds to the FLAINTL 36 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the FlaIn 26 — FIU win probability +6.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 13:07: Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +15.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 8:23TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:08TULN 4th & 5 at FIU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−3.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:08FIU 4th & 5 at TULN 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    32.0%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:49FIU 4th & 5 at TULN 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:49TULN 4th & 24 at FIU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    56.9%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:01TULN 4th & 3 at FIU 19, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.3%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    53.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−6.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:55FIU 4th & 10 at TULN 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−8.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:25FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 34, up 3
    Close callPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:31TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 30, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:07TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 10, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:06FIU 4th & 2 at TULN 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    79.9%−1.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−2.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:30FIU 4th & 5 at TULN 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−3.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:30TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:13TULN 4th & 8 at FIU 17, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:04FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:25TULN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:07FIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1INT
17 plays · 50 yds · 5:4126% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
25.8%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
25.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+15
25.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 15 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
25.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
25.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 6 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
25.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+9
25.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 9 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
25.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
25.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
-5
25.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+12
25.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 12 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
29.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-5
29.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 15
OPP 31
+4
28.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 4 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
28.9%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Parry Nickerson return for no gain to the Tulan 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
28.8%
Terren Encalade run for 19 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
28.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 13
OWN 36
-1
28.8%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+8
29.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+16
28.8%
Zachary Block punt for 46 yds , Tony Gaiter IV returns for 16 yds to the FLAINTL 41 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the FlaIn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 2:5230% → 36%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
29.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
30.0%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
30.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Parry NickersonSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+58
29.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 58 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
31.1%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the Tulan 7Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 0
OPP 7
-5
31.5%
GARDNER, Alex rush for 5 yards to the TLN2 (EDWARDS, B.;MARBLEY, R.J.), PENALTY FIU illegal formation 5 yards to the TLN12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
31.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q1 3:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
36.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 12 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:5665% → 66%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
35.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 8 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
34.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
34.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 30 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
33.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+9
33.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
33.4%
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
35.1%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
35.8%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
34.3%
Merek Glover 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5FG
17 plays · 78 yds · 6:1935% → 46%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
35.4%
Alex Gardner run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
35.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
36.2%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+15
36.7%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to PRICE, D'Vonte, PENALTY TLN pass interference (FRANKLIN, J.) 15 yards to the TLN41, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
37.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+3
36.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
36.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+7
35.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 7 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
37.1%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
37.0%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST down D'Vonte Price for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
37.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+8
37.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 8 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
37.1%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
37.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Pharoah McKeverSimilar
Q2 14:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
36.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Parry NickersonSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
46.1%
Jose Borregales 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
44.2%
BANKS, J. pass incomplete to ROBERTSON, J., PENALTY FIU pass interference (DAMES, Richard) 15 yards to the TLN45, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
43.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 4 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+22
42.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 7 yds to the FLAINTL 44 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
40.7%
Jonathan Banks run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+5
41.1%
Sherman Badie run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
41.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the FlaIn 43 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Tulan Jonathan BanksSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 24
OPP 43
0
45.7%
Zachary Block punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Tony Gaiter IV at the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7INT
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
48.1%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+38
48.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 38 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
51.0%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-5
50.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
48.4%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Tre Jackson return for no gain to the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 1:1753% → 48%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
47.1%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 7
50
+9
46.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
46.6%
BANKS, J. pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell, PENALTY FIU personal foul (MUHAMMAD, Brad) 15 yards to the FIU26, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
44.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
45.2%
Jonathan Banks run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+1
48.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 3
OPP 19
-6
51.7%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Bryce Canady for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0054% → 55%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
54.1%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
55.4%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0047% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.7%
Jonathan Banks run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
51.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
51.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
51.6%
Jonathan Banks pass intercepted Brad Muhammad return for 11 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:2056% → 66%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
55.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 2 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+11
55.9%
Alex Gardner run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
57.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
58.2%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 2
50
+6
57.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
58.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 19 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
58.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
58.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
57.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
66.0%
Jose Borregales 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3034% → 55%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.9%
Sherman Badie run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
64.9%
Sherman Badie run for 7 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
64.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 29 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
61.7%
Jonathan Banks run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+5
61.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
61.1%
Jonathan Banks run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
45.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 12 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
53.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
53.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+1
53.0%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
52.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Tulan 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
53.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
53.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+5
54.9%
Jonathan Banks run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
55.5%
Zachary Block punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:5156% → 82%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
55.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
56.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+22
57.6%
Alex McGough run for 22 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
60.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 9 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+7
62.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 7 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
62.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to D'Vonte Price, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+16
66.5%
Alex McGough run for 16 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
66.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 7 yds to the Tulan 3Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
79.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+3
79.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 5
OWN 7
+3
80.8%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
81.2%
Zachary Block punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tony Gaiter IV at the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
83.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 14 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
83.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
83.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+3
82.8%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
81.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0016% → 13%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
84.3%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Fermin Silva for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+3
86.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-8
87.0%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 27 Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Jermaine SheriffSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19FG
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:2391% → 97%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
90.5%
GARDNER, Alex rush for 1 yard to the TLN26 (JACKSON, Luke;SAMPLE, C.), PENALTY FIU holding (BUDWIG, Jordan) 10 yards to the TLN37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+1
90.2%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 19
OPP 36
0
91.5%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 19
OPP 36
+14
92.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 14 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
96.8%
Jose Borregales 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20DOWNS
15 plays · 52 yds · 2:174% → 2%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
95.1%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Jabril ClewisSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
95.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Brad MuhammadSimilar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+25
95.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 25 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.8%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Charles Jones IISimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+14
94.9%
Jonathan Banks run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Jabril ClewisSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
94.2%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Charles Jones IISimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+13
94.8%
Jonathan Banks run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
93.9%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Noah CurtisSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
94.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+2
94.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 2 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 8
OPP 17
-6
98.0%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Fermin Silva and Fred Russ for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.1%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
98.1%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+6
98.2%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 14
OWN 30
-2
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:25
Dontrell Hilliard run for 12 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q4 13:07
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
+15
FG · Q2 7:49
Jose Borregales 22 yd FG GOOD
+9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com