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CLT

Charlotte 14 at Western Kentucky 45

WKU
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:39 · Arthur Hart punt for 48 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 179Pregame prior+1.2Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+32.0Garbage-time factor+11.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7Blowout margin+17.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:49: Aaron McAllister run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jackson VanSickle KICK) — CLT win probability +3.4 pts (now 17%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:52: Mike White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +2.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:57: Aaron McAllister run for 89 yds for a TD, (Jackson VanSickle KICK) — CLT win probability +3.1 pts (now 16%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:46: Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 20 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +3.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:39: Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 13 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +3.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 1:52CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:24WKU 4th & 1 at CLT 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:07WKU 4th & 10 at CLT 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:07CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:07WKU 4th & 16 at CLT 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:30CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 29, down 17
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 33, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:39WKU 4th & 4 at CLT 29, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:19CLT 4th & 20 at WKU 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:04WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 29, up 24
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:08CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 29, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:52WKU 4th & 1 at CLT 47, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.8%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:53CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 24, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:57CLT 4th & 18 at WKU 22, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:57WKU 4th & 6 at CLT 26, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:10CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 38, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:49WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 8, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:39CLT 4th & 22 at WKU 48, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CLT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:00WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:49CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:52WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:52WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:57CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:46WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:39WKU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:53WKU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
18 plays · 78 yds · 6:0087% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
87.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+5
87.3%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 5 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
87.3%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 5 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+8
87.3%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 8 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
87.3%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
87.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 13 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
87.3%
Mike White pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 7 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+4
87.3%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
87.3%
Quinton Baker run for 7 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
87.3%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+5
87.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 5 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
87.3%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 9 yds to the Charl 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
87.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Kylen TownerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
87.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the Charl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
87.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the Charl 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
87.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.8%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 8 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:1113% → 17%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
86.6%
Brooks Barden run for 2 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
86.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+9
86.7%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 9 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
86.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
86.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+27
86.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 27 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
86.1%
BARDEN, Brooks pass incomplete to QUATTLEBAUM, M. (GREENE, Drell), PENALTY WKU pass interference (GREENE, Drell) 13 yards to the WKU21, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
86.1%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Nate Mullen for 8 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+4
86.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
86.1%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the WKent 9Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
82.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jackson VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5784% → 86%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
83.7%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
83.8%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 7 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
83.8%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 8 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+2
84.2%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
86.1%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 59 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
85.4%
BARDEN, Brooks pass incomplete to FORD II, T.L., PENALTY WKU offside defense (OVERSTREET, D.) 5 yards to the CHA32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-3
85.0%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
85.6%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
85.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:2986% → 89%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
85.5%
Quinton Baker run for 15 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
86.0%
Mike White pass complete to Dalton Ponchillia for 15 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
86.1%
Nacarius Fant pass complete to Deon Yelder for 26 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
86.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+2
86.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
85.9%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
85.2%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
85.8%
FERBY, D'Andre rush for 1 yard to the CHA1 (BUTLER, Anthony), PENALTY WKU holding (DEANE, Mik'Quan) 10 yards to the CHA12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
85.8%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 10 yds to the Charl 2Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
85.8%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the Charl 2Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.7%
Mike White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
3 plays · 89 yds · 0:5513% → 16%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
87.5%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+89
84.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 89 yds for a TD, (Jackson VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1185% → 89%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
84.6%
Quinton Baker run for 8 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
85.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
84.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 4 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
84.9%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 18 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
85.6%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 25 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
85.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
89.1%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 20 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
87.7%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to R.J. TylerSimilar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
87.9%
Brooks Barden pass intercepted Juwan Gardner return for no gain to the Charl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2389% → 91%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
89.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Mik'Quan DeaneSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
89.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Dalton PonchilliaSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
88.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-Luper, broken up by Quinton JordanSimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
90.7%
Ryan Nuss 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
90.2%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
90.3%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 6 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
90.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:0591% → 91%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
91.3%
Quinton Baker run for 6 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Denzel Irvin) to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
91.6%
WHITE, Mike pass complete to FERBY, D'Andre for 18 yards to the CHA30 (HIGHSMITH, Alex), PENALTY WKU illegal motion (SLOAN, Jacquez) 5 yards to the WKU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+12
91.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 12 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+13
91.6%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 13 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
91.6%
Quinton Baker run for 8 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+11
91.6%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 11 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-21
91.6%
Nacarius Fant sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 21 yards to the Charl 30 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, intentional grounding (Nacarius Fant) to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 30
+10
91.6%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 10 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+4
91.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 4 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q2 2:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
91.4%
Ryan Nuss 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:379% → 9%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.9%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
91.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 9 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
90.5%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+15
90.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WESTERNKY 41 CHARLOTTE Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Charl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 0:4494% → 97%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
93.5%
Quinton Baker run for 13 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
93.6%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 9 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+9
93.4%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 9 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
96.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 13 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.0%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
95.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
95.3%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Trent Bostick, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
95.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
96.4%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 9 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
96.4%
Quinton Baker run for 6 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+24
96.5%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 24 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
96.5%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 7 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 3
OPP 28
-1
96.5%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
96.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
96.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Robert CheatemSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.3%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Trent Bostick for 6 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
96.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 6 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
96.3%
Brooks Barden pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 6 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
96.2%
Brooks Barden run for 5 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
96.2%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+7
96.3%
Brooks Barden pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 7 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+14
96.2%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 14 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
95.8%
Brooks Barden run for 5 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
95.7%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 5
OPP 25
-15
96.0%
BARDEN, Brooks pass complete to QUATTLEBAUM, M. for 11 yards to the WKU14, PENALTY CHA pass interference (BOSTICK, Trent) 15 yards to the WKU40, NO PLAY, QB hurry by OVERSTREET, D..Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 20
OPP 40
0
96.5%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Nate Mullen, broken up by Ben HoltSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
96.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 36 yds, downed at the WKent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+17
97.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Stedman Lucas) to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
97.8%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
97.8%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
97.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Jakairi MosesSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
97.6%
Jake Collins punt for 51 yds, downed at the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.9%
Kameron Duncan run for 3 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
97.9%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 6 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
97.8%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
97.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 51 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 2 yds to the WKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:5998% → 100%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
98.4%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 12 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
98.4%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+11
98.4%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 11 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.5%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
98.5%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 4 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
98.5%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+1
98.4%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
98.5%
Mike White pass complete to Devin Nixon for 7 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+39
99.8%
Mike White pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 39 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
99.8%
Kameron Duncan run for 1 yd to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
Kameron Duncan run for 2 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+1
99.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 40 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 54 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Drew Eckels run for 10 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 2 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 5 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
99.9%
Drew Eckels run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+35
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 35 yds Kyle Fourtenbary fumbled, forced by Ben DeLuca, recovered by Charl Ben DeLucaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23MISSED FG
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+77
99.9%
Brooks Barden run for 77 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
99.9%
MCALLISTER, A. rush for 1 yard to the WKU13 (WARD, Marcus), PENALTY CHA holding (CLARK, Cameron) 10 yards to the WKU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the WKent 23Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 19
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the WKent 22Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 18
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 18
OPP 22
+4
99.9%
Jackson VanSickle 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Julien Lewis Ben Holt return for 4 yds to the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+19
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 19 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
99.9%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by Ben DeLucaSimilar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 6
OPP 26
-4
99.9%
Drew Eckels sacked by Zach Duncan for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 30 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Kameron Duncan run for 4 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Kameron Duncan run for 1 yd to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Kameron Duncan run for 3 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the WKent 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
99.9%
DeAngelo Malone pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 6 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 4
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Carson Jordan run for no gain to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 4
OWN 12
-4
99.9%
DeAngelo Malone pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 8Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 8
OWN 8
+4
100.0%
Jake Collins punt for 32 yds , Nate Mullen returns for 4 yds to the WKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Joe Thompson pass incomplete to Uriah LeMay, broken up by Dionte RuffinSimilar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-7
100.0%
Joe Thompson sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 17
OPP 43
-5
100.0%
Joe Thompson sacked by Demetrius Cain for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 22
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:46
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 20 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q1 3:49
Aaron McAllister run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jackson VanSickle KICK)
-3.4
TD · Q2 0:39
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 13 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com