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WKU

Western Kentucky 15 at UTEP 14

UTEP
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:41 · Brady Viles 34 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior−34.9Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:49: Zack Greenlee pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 15 yds for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK) — UTEP win probability +9.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:22: Zack Greenlee run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK) — UTEP win probability +13.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:24: Mike White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +12.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:01: Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the WKent 29 — WKU win probability +15.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:53: Timeout UTEP, clock 01:53 — WKU win probability +6.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:32WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:41UTEP 4th & 11 at WKU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:41WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:40UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:08WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:45WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:19WKU 4th & 6 at UTEP 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−1.8
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 46, up 6
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:43UTEP 4th & 9 at WKU 29, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−10.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00WKU 4th & 13 at WKU 37, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−4.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:48UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 14, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−5.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:13WKU 4th & 11 at UTEP 36, up 1
    Close callPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:25UTEP 4th & 4 at midfield, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:06WKU 4th & 23 at WKU 15, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−15.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:01UTEP 4th & 8 at WKU 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−15.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−28.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 10:14WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:49UTEP Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:22UTEP Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:24WKU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:2888% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
12.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+11
12.5%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 11 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
12.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 5 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+5
12.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
12.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
12.5%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+4
12.5%
Mike White run for 4 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+1
14.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:4614% → 17%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
50
+5
14.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to David Lucero for 5 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
14.4%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+10
14.3%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 10 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
14.4%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 8 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+9
14.4%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 9 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
14.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Augie Touris for 5 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-5
14.4%
Zack Greenlee run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 16 Zack Greenlee fumbled, recovered by UTEP Zack GreenleeSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
14.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
16.5%
Brady Viles 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
16.4%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
16.4%
Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
16.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 7 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
16.2%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 6 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
16.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
16.0%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
16.4%
Jake Collins punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
18.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 7 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 3
OWN 20
-10
18.1%
GREENLEE, Zack rush for 9 yards to the UTEP29, out-of-bounds (KEY, Devon), PENALTY UTEP holding (TULEY-TILLMAN,L) 10 yards to the UTEP10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 13
OWN 10
-1
17.9%
Quadraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 9Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 14
OWN 9
+2
17.5%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 12
OWN 11
-2
17.4%
Alan Luna punt for 52 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 35 Cameron Echols-Luper fumbled, recovered by WKent Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
18.7%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
18.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+2
19.3%
Mike White pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 2 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
19.4%
Jake Collins punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
20.2%
Kevin Dove run for 6 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 17
-1
20.3%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 16
-5
19.8%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
19.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
19.5%
Alan Luna punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the UTEP 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:5281% → 85%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
19.4%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 6 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
19.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
19.4%
Cameron Echols-Luper run for 3 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
19.1%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+10
18.9%
Mike White run for 10 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
18.9%
Jakairi Moses run for no gain to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+13
19.1%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 13 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
15.1%
Mike White run for 5 yds for a TD, (Drew Eckels pass to Deon Yelder for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:2516% → 28%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
16.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to David Lucero for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
16.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to David Lucero for 8 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
16.7%
Zack Greenlee run for 11 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
17.4%
Kevin Dove run for no gain to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
17.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+18
16.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Kevin Dove for 3 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
17.9%
Kevin Dove run for 11 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
18.4%
Kevin Dove run for 1 yd to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+10
18.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 10 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
28.1%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 15 yds for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:0477% → 74%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.2%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
23.0%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
24.1%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside (Kalon Beverly) to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
24.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
25.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+35
26.3%
Jake Collins punt for 38 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 35 yds to the UTEP 40 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Kalon Beverly) to the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 1:2329% → 43%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+31
28.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 31 yds to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
29.8%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
43.2%
Zack Greenlee run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 1:0361% → 61%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
39.4%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 9 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
37.2%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 5 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
37.9%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 10 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
36.5%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 21 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
34.2%
Mike White sacked by Alvin Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+10
38.9%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 10 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
36.5%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
38.8%
Ryan Nuss 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
42.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.6%
Zack Greenlee run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
41.6%
Kevin Dove run for 3 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
40.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Erik Brown for 8 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
43.0%
Kevin Dove run for 9 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
-2
44.0%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
42.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to David Lucero, broken up by Masai WhyteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
41.2%
Alan Luna punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 3:5357% → 71%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
43.1%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 11 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
42.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
40.7%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 4 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
40.4%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
41.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
41.9%
UTEP Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Sani Buckingham) to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
39.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
39.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+11
41.3%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 11 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
38.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+26
37.6%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 26 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
39.4%
WHITE, Mike pass complete to ECHOLS-LUPER, C for 3 yards to the UTEP0, clock 08:18, PENALTY WKU illegal formation 5 yards to the UTEP8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 0
OPP 8
-5
39.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 13Similar
Q3 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
41.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
40.6%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.6%
Mike White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:4133% → 37%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
33.2%
Kevin Dove run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
33.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Kevin Dove for 4 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
34.2%
Kevin Dove run for 9 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
36.2%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+10
36.3%
Zack Greenlee run for 10 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
37.4%
Joshua Fields run for 7 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+9
37.5%
Zack Greenlee run for 9 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
38.8%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the WKent 29Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
38.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
36.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q3 1:43
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
36.5%
Brady Viles 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4365% → 62%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
34.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 11 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
32.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-1
32.2%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-8
32.5%
Mike White sacked by Dedrick Simpson for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
37.6%
Jake Collins punt for 48 yds, downed at the UTEP 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
36.3%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 13Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+1
36.2%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
34.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
33.5%
Alan Luna punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
34.7%
Jakairi Moses run for no gain to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
35.2%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 7 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+21
33.3%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 21 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
30.8%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
32.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
33.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
36.8%
Jake Collins punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
39.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Erik Brown for 24 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
44.2%
Zack Greenlee run for 4 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-8
45.0%
DOVE, Kevin rush for 21 yards to the WKU31 (BROWN, Joe), PENALTY UTEP holding (HERNANDEZ, Will) 8 yards to the UTEP40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+10
40.5%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Warren Redix for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 4
50
0
44.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Warren Redix, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 4
50
0
41.4%
Alan Luna punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · -5 yds · 1:3764% → 60%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
36.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
36.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Xavier Lane) to the WKent 17Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-4
37.4%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 13Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 17
OWN 13
0
39.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 17
OWN 13
+15
40.7%
UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Dedrick Simpson) to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
34.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-3
34.1%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-14
37.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Jimmie Sims) to the WKent 15Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 23
OWN 15
0
38.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon Yelder, broken up by Michael LewisSimilar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 23
OWN 15
0
39.7%
Jake Collins punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:0246% → 50%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
46.2%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
49.1%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Erik Brown, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+10
46.6%
Zack Greenlee run for 10 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
50.3%
Kevin Dove run for 23 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
52.6%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
52.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+4
48.3%
Kevin Dove run for 4 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
50.0%
Brady Viles 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · 24 yds · 1:0165% → 82%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
34.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-1
27.7%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+11
28.7%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 11 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
23.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 9 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
17.3%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-1
18.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-18.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:01
Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the WKent 29
-15.5
TD · Q2 1:22
Zack Greenlee run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK)
+13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com