Try the model
LT

Louisiana Tech 22 at UAB 23

UAB
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Legion Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jonathan Barnes 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Stacy Keely Jonathan Barnes return for 3 yds to the LaTch 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:30: Nick Vogel 27 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +8.0 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:10: Kam McKnight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes PAT MISSED) — LT win probability +15.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:02: A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +28.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:32: J'Mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 42 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes PAT MISSED) — LT win probability +25.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:32: Timeout UAB, clock 03:32 — UAB win probability +12.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00LT 4th & 7 at LT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:49LT 4th & 9 at LT 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:49UAB 4th & 6 at LT 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:31LT 4th & 8 at UAB 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:30UAB 4th & 7 at LT 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−5.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:22LT 4th & 11 at LT 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:04UAB 4th & 1 at LT 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.9%−1.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−7.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:42LT 4th & 1 at LT 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:38UAB 4th & 8 at LT 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−7.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:38LT 4th & 14 at UAB 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:10UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−1.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:19LT 4th & 9 at LT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−3.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:29UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 13, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−7.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:49UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:45UAB Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:51LT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:10LT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:02UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−1.8
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:32LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
26.9%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
26.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jarred Craft for 4 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
26.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
26.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 38 yds, downed at the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:4128% → 31%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
27.7%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+8
27.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 8 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
27.8%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
27.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 7 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+6
27.7%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
27.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Lucious Stanley for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 33Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+29
27.7%
Spencer Brown run for 29 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
27.8%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the LaTch 3Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
31.3%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.4%
UAB Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
30.2%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-6
30.1%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 26Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
30.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+46
30.7%
Brady Farlow punt for 34 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 46 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:3533% → 37%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
32.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 3 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
36.7%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 2:4865% → 67%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
35.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 14 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
34.7%
Teddy Veal run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
34.5%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to VEAL, Teddy, PENALTY UAB pass interference (DIGGS, M.) 8 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
50
+12
34.4%
Marcus Gaines run for 12 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
34.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
34.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+13
34.8%
Boston Scott run for 13 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+14
34.3%
Boston Scott run for 14 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
32.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 16 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6MISSED FG
15 plays · 40 yds · 4:5535% → 39%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
34.9%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+5
35.5%
ERDELY, A.J. pass incomplete to WILSON, A., PENALTY LATECH offside 5 yards to the UAB43, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
35.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-5
35.6%
UAB Penalty, false start (Sederian Copeland) to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+4
35.0%
Carlos Stephens run for 4 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+12
34.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 12 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
35.7%
Carlos Stephens run for 2 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
35.7%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+4
35.4%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
35.8%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
35.8%
Carlos Stephens run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
39.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
38.6%
Nick Vogel 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:1863% → 63%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
37.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+6
37.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 6 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+4
36.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
36.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 18 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
35.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
35.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for 5 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+15
35.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for 15 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
34.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
34.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
35.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marcus GainesSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
37.1%
Jonathan Barnes 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0138% → 47%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
37.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 12 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
38.3%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
39.4%
Spencer Brown run for 13 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
39.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 11 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
40.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 15 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
40.1%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the LaTch 12Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
40.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Spencer Brown for 2 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
39.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
47.4%
Nick Vogel 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
43.8%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
43.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Garrison MitchellSimilar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-5
44.2%
SMITH, J'Mar pass complete to MCKNIGHT, K. for 26 yards to the UAB40, out-of-bounds (MITCHELL, G.), PENALTY LATECH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the LATECH29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
45.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marcus GainesSimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
46.2%
Brady Farlow punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:5649% → 52%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
48.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 7 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+11
49.4%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
50.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 9 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+14
50.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 14 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
51.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 9 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 23
0
51.1%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Ronnie Turner Jr.Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
50.2%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
52.2%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the LaTch 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1649% → 47%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
51.0%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
50.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 4 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
50.4%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
53.2%
Davan Dyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
54.4%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:2254% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
53.6%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
54.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to D.A. Williams for 11 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
55.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 8 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+15
55.9%
ERDELY, A.J. pass incomplete to WILSON, A., PENALTY LATECH personal foul 15 yards to the LATECH29, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
56.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Sederian CopelandSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
56.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 6 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-4
55.2%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 27 A.J. Erdely fumbled,Similar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
56.0%
Nick Vogel 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
52.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+11
50.8%
Jarred Craft run for 11 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
50.6%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 45 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+12
53.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 12 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+13
50.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 13 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
49.4%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to VEAL, Teddy, PENALTY LATECH face mask 15 yards to the LATECH45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 25
OWN 45
-6
52.2%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Garrett Marino for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 31
OWN 39
+7
52.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 7 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 24
OWN 46
+10
53.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 10 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
54.5%
Davan Dyer punt for 35 yds, downed at the UAB 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 42 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
59.6%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+10
60.2%
Spencer Brown run for 10 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
60.3%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+9
60.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 9 yds to the UAB 48 UAB Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+3
63.3%
Donnie Lee run for 3 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
63.3%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete, broken up by Keonatye GarnerSimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
62.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Sederian CopelandSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
60.5%
Kristian Cotton punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
16 plays · 85 yds · 6:0441% → 62%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
59.1%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
59.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+5
61.0%
SMITH, J'Mar sacked for loss of 13 yards to the LATECH3 (JONES, S.), PENALTY UAB offside (KEELY, S.) 5 yards to the LATECH21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+15
60.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 15 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
57.4%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
55.2%
Boston Scott run for 4 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
55.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Zach Cousar for 13 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
54.3%
SCOTT, Boston rush for 3 yards to the UAB37 (RUSH, A.), PENALTY UAB substitution infraction 5 yards to the UAB35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 5
OPP 35
0
51.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marcus GainesSimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+8
51.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 8 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
54.7%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+4
54.7%
Boston Scott run for 4 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
54.7%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to WATTS, Marlon, PENALTY UAB holding declined, PENALTY UAB pass interference (WILLIAMS, D.A.) 14 yards to the UAB2, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
54.8%
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.2%
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes PAT MISSED)Similar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-15
37.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kam McKnight) to the UAB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
50.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
53.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
50.1%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
48.6%
Joel Dixon punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0054% → 50%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
46.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 5 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-2
46.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 21Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-2
48.4%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Shaq Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 19 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+37
50.4%
Davan Dyer punt for 52 yds, downed at the UAB 29 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (James Jackson) to the UAB 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:4356% → 88%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
56.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line UAB Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 14
OWN 40
+7
52.9%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
56.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Ronnie Turner Jr., broken up by Aaron RobersonSimilar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+7
54.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to James Noble III for 7 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
57.8%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+17
57.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 17 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
59.2%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the LaTch 24Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+20
59.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 20 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
59.2%
Clay Templeton run for 3 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 2:3020% → 54%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
80.4%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
79.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marcus GainesSimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+10
81.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 10 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
78.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marlon Watts, broken up by Darious WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
79.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 12 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
76.9%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
51.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 42 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes PAT MISSED)Similar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
45.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:5662% → 60%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
61.6%
UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
62.1%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 3
OWN 18
-5
62.5%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 13Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 8
OWN 13
0
62.1%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 8
OWN 13
+41
60.4%
Joel Dixon punt for 41 yds , Teddy Veal returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:0845% → 30%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
55.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 19 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
52.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 23 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
49.9%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
49.9%
J'Mar Smith run for no gain to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+30
70.1%
Jonathan Barnes 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Stacy Keely Jonathan Barnes return for 3 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+29.9
TD · Q4 6:02
A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+28.9
TD · Q4 3:32
J'Mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 42 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes PAT MISSED)
-25.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com