Try the model
FIU

Florida International 17 at Middle Tennessee 37

MTSU
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-1.9MTSU 69.4%Jose Borregales 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q1 4:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:12 · Jose Borregales 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Home team on offense−0.9Pregame prior+18.3Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Time remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:03: Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +6.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:37: Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:02: Alex McGough run for 13 yds for a TD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +9.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:34: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 4 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +12.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:52: Tavares Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +8.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:41MTSU 4th & 4 at FIU 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:12FIU 4th & 5 at MTSU 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:12MTSU 4th & 3 at FIU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−0.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54FIU 4th & 19 at FIU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:18FIU 4th & 29 at MTSU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:02MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:50FIU 4th & 4 at MTSU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%−1.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:15MTSU 4th & 3 at FIU 13, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.8%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−5.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 1 at MTSU 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−2.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:51MTSU 4th & 6 at FIU 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:11MTSU 4th & 4 at FIU 23, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:57FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 44, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:54MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:03MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:37MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:02FIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:34FIU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:52MTSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
72.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for no gain to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
72.3%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
72.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Reed Blankenship at the MTnSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:0272% → 72%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
72.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Brad Anderson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
72.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+11
72.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Brad Anderson for 11 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
72.1%
John Urzua pass complete to Brad Anderson for 5 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+7
72.2%
Jocquez Bruce run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
72.2%
Jocquez Bruce run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+23
72.2%
John Urzua pass complete to Jocquez Bruce for 23 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
72.2%
Jocquez Bruce run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
72.2%
John Urzua pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+8
72.1%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 8 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
72.0%
Canon Rooker 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:2928% → 31%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.8%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
71.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
71.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-2
71.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+13
71.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
71.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+8
71.6%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+21
71.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 21 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
71.2%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to OWENS, Thomas (WARD, C.), PENALTY MT pass interference (WARD, C.) 10 yards to the MT17, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
71.2%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
71.2%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+1
71.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
69.4%
Jose Borregales 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:1870% → 75%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
70.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Shane Tucker for 8 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+6
70.4%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 6 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
70.2%
John Urzua pass complete to Brad Anderson for 5 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+12
70.8%
Brad Anderson run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
50
+4
71.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Brad Anderson for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
71.1%
Jocquez Bruce run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
70.9%
John Urzua pass complete to Jocquez Bruce for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+5
70.4%
John Urzua pass complete to Shane Tucker for 5 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
71.1%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 19 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
75.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Brad Anderson for 19 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
73.5%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+2
73.0%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
73.3%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
73.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for no gain to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 11
OWN 28
-8
74.0%
Alex McGough sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 19
OWN 20
+13
74.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 55 yds , Reed Blankenship returns for 13 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:4675% → 82%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
74.9%
Brad Anderson run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
75.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+15
74.7%
Brad Anderson run for no gain to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Wint) to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
75.4%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Emmanuel LubinSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
75.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
75.5%
URZUA, John pass complete to JOHNSON, Tyrese for 6 yards to the FIU17 (WILLIAMS, T.), PENALTY MT illegal procedure 5 yards to the FIU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
75.4%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Isiah UptonSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+15
75.1%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 15 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
75.5%
Tavares Thomas run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 2
OPP 5
0
75.5%
Tavares Thomas run for no gain to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+4
75.0%
Tavares Thomas run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.7%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
16 plays · 36 yds · 5:4520% → 16%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
80.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
80.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Mike MinterSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+10
80.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
80.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
80.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
79.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+8
80.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 8 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
79.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+20
80.0%
Alex McGough run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Khalil Brooks) to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
78.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 14
OPP 32
-8
79.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 8 yards to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 22
OPP 40
-7
83.6%
Alex McGough sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 29
OPP 47
0
84.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Reed Blankenship at the MTnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
83.5%
Brad Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+7
83.7%
Brad Anderson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
83.8%
Ty Lee run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2385% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.2%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
85.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 3 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.2%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+20
85.1%
John Urzua pass complete to CJ Windham for 20 yds CJ Windham fumbled, forced by Andrew Brown, recovered by MTnSt Ty Lee for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+37
85.8%
Brad Anderson run for 37 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
85.8%
Brad Anderson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.1%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:356% → 17%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
93.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 8 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+7
93.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 7 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+46
93.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 46 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
92.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 12 yds to the MTnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
92.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
83.3%
Alex McGough run for 13 yds for a TD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0088% → 86%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.6%
John Urzua pass complete to Jocquez Bruce for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
87.6%
Jocquez Bruce run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
87.0%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Brad AndersonSimilar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.4%
Matt Bonadies punt for 44 yds , Julian Williams returns for no gain to the FlaIn 27 Julian Williams fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Julian WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 2:4014% → 15%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
86.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 4 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
85.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 3 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+14
85.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 14 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
85.2%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
84.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+7
85.1%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
84.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
84.0%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
83.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
84.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:4289% → 94%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
88.5%
John Urzua pass complete to Shane Tucker for 11 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
89.4%
Brad Anderson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+20
89.2%
John Urzua pass complete to Shane Tucker for 20 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
89.6%
Brad Anderson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+9
89.5%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 9 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
89.5%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+5
89.5%
Terelle West run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
89.1%
Terelle West run for no gain to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q3 0:15
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
94.4%
Canon Rooker 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:416% → 20%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
93.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
93.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 5 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+14
93.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 14 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
93.4%
Alex McGough sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 46 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Alex McGough , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+6
93.4%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
93.5%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
93.4%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+31
92.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 31 yds to the MTnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
80.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 4 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:4286% → 97%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
86.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 25 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+14
86.1%
John Urzua pass complete to Ruben Garnett for 14 yds to the MIDDLETENN 38 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+23
88.1%
Brad Anderson run for 23 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
88.1%
Brad Anderson run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.0%
Tavares Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.1%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 10
OPP 0
0
95.4%
McGOUGH, Alex sacked for loss of 5 yards to the FIU20 (SANDERS, DJ), PENALTY FIU holding off-setting, PENALTY MT holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.1%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Jordan Ferguson return for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2597% → 99%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
97.1%
Terelle West run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-1
97.1%
Terelle West run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
97.0%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
98.9%
Canon Rooker 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.9%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
98.8%
Maurice Alexander run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-8
98.8%
Alex McGough sacked by DQ Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 29 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Kylan Stribling , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.2%
Jocquez Bruce run for no gain to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
99.2%
Jocquez Bruce run for no gain to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.1%
Will Mitchell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 4
OPP 23
0
99.0%
Will Mitchell run for no gain to the FlaIn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.3%
Maurice Alexander run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
99.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
99.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.3%
Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+6
99.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 6 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Pharoah McKeverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.6%
Will Mitchell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
99.6%
Will Mitchell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:34
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 4 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
-12.1
TD · Q3 12:37
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Canon Rooker KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q3 10:02
Alex McGough run for 13 yds for a TD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Jose Borregales KICK)
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com