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MRSH

Marshall 14 at Charlotte 3

CLT
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Arthur Hart punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior−19.8Home team on offense−6.9Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:14: Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 11 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +9.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 5:20: Nigel Macauley 30 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +2.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:20: DAVIS, Keion rush for 3 yards to the MAR28 (DELUCA, Ben;HARRIS, Tyriq), PENALTY MAR holding off-setting, PENALTY CHA face mask off-setting, NO PLAY. — MRSH win probability +2.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:29: Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent Bostick — CLT win probability +2.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:05: Timeout CHARLOTTE, clock 03:05 — MRSH win probability +2.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 10MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:08CLT 4th & 2 at MRSH 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    18.7%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:31MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:37CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:01CLT 4th & 12 at MRSH 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:58MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:39MRSH 4th & 5 at CLT 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−3.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:39CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:58MRSH 4th & 5 at CLT 27, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    77.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 20 at CLT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−3.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:20CLT 4th & 3 at MRSH 12, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.3%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−5.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:20MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 43, up 11
    Close callPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:14CLT 4th & 14 at CLT 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:27MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:40CLT 4th & 15 at MRSH 15, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.9%−0.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:25MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:14MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.5%
Tyler King run for no gain to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
16.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
16.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
16.5%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
17.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 15 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
17.0%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Juwon Young and Artis Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+12
17.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 12 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
17.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
17.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
17.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+11
17.7%
Tyler King run for 11 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
17.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
17.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
17.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
17.8%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
18.7%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
18.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 6 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
18.6%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
18.7%
Workpeh Kofa run for 1 yd to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
18.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
18.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Benny LeMay, broken up by Ty TylerSimilar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
18.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:5880% → 82%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
19.6%
Keion Davis run for 9 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
19.3%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
19.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 14 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
18.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 37 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
18.7%
LEMAY, Benny rush for 6 yards to the CHA31 (GANT, Malik), PENALTY CHA holding (DRAKE, Darren) 10 yards to the CHA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+10
18.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 10 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
18.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted Chris Jackson return for 4 yds to the Marsh 38 Chris Jackson fumbled, forced by Uriah LeMay, recovered by Charl Nate Mullen , return for 21 yds to the Marsh 46 MARSHALL Penalty, IB (Nate Mullen) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
19.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 12
OPP 40
0
19.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Uriah LeMaySimilar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
19.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
19.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 18 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
19.2%
Tyler King run for 14 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
18.9%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-3
18.9%
Tyler King run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+10
19.4%
Chase Litton run for 10 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
19.0%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:0720% → 20%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
19.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 4 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
19.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+9
19.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 9 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
20.3%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
20.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+3
20.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 3 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
20.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 39 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for no gain to the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10MISSED FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:1780% → 79%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
20.3%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
20.3%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+11
20.3%
Keion Davis run for 11 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
19.6%
Keion Davis run for 7 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
19.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+8
19.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 8 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
19.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 13 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
20.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+10
20.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 10 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
20.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
20.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan Yurachek, broken up by Ben DeLucaSimilar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
20.9%
Kaare Vedvik 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
21.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
21.7%
Trent Bostick run for 3 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+6
21.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
21.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
21.3%
Tyler King run for 7 yds to the Marsh 39 Tyler King fumbled, forced by Ben DeLuca, recovered by Marsh Tyler KingSimilar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
20.6%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+8
20.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 8 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
20.5%
Tyler King run for 6 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+5
20.2%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
20.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Obi Obialo for 10 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
20.1%
Chase Litton run for 7 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 3
OPP 25
-5
20.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (Chase Litton) to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
20.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+3
20.4%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+4
21.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 4 yds to the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 5:1722% → 22%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
22.2%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
22.1%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
22.3%
Benny LeMay run for 13 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
23.2%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Cameron Clark) to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
22.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+4
22.2%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-9
21.7%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Ryan Bee for a loss of 9 yards to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 28
0
20.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:3879% → 89%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
21.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 6 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+14
20.6%
Tyler King run for 14 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
20.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 13 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
19.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Jordan Dowrey) to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+13
20.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 13 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
19.4%
Tyler King run for no gain to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+20
19.8%
Keion Davis run for 20 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
10.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 11 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:5413% → 18%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
13.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
13.4%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
13.8%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
14.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+42
13.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 42 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
15.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 8 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 2
OPP 11
0
15.7%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Marsh 11Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-1
15.3%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 12Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
17.8%
Nigel Macauley 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
16.9%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+8
16.8%
Tyler King run for 8 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
14.5%
DAVIS, Keion rush for 3 yards to the MAR28 (DELUCA, Ben;HARRIS, Tyriq), PENALTY MAR holding off-setting, PENALTY CHA face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
16.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 10 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
16.5%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
16.6%
Chase Litton run for 1 yd to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+7
16.4%
Keion Davis run for 7 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
16.7%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:3116% → 14%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
15.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 18 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
16.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+4
15.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
15.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Juwon YoungSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
14.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19FUMBLE
9 plays · 54 yds · 0:0085% → 87%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
15.4%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Marsh 5Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 5
-3
15.5%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 2Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+24
16.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 24 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
14.6%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
14.8%
Chase Litton run for 3 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+15
14.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Jeff Gemmell) to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
13.3%
Keion Davis run for 12 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
13.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+1
13.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 1 yd Keion Davis fumbled, forced by Tyriq Harris, recovered by Charl Tommy DoctorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0013% → 10%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
13.0%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass complete to BOSTICK, Trent for 33 yards to the MAR23, PENALTY CHA pass interference (BOSTICK, Trent) 15 yards to the CHA29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 25
OWN 29
0
11.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent Bostick, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 25
OWN 29
+1
11.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 1 yd to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 24
OWN 30
+10
10.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 10 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
10.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
10.1%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 4
OWN 19
0
10.0%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 19Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 4
OWN 19
-5
10.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Levi Brown) to the Marsh 14Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
10.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Keion DavisSimilar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 9
OWN 14
+7
10.8%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 38 yds , Nate Mullen returns for 7 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22MISSED FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:4912% → 9%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
11.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 22 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
14.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+13
13.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 13 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
14.2%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Nate Davis) to the Marsh 15Similar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
13.3%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Marsh 15Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
12.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent Bostick, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q4 6:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
10.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q4 4:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
9.1%
Nigel Macauley 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23END OF GAME
15 plays · 58 yds · 3:1292% → 97%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
8.2%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 20Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
7.9%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
7.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
7.5%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+23
5.3%
Keion Davis run for 23 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
4.7%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
2.9%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
3.0%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+15
3.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Butler) to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
3.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-1
3.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:14
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 11 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)
-9.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-3.1
FG · Q3 5:20
Nigel Macauley 30 yd FG GOOD
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com