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CLT

Charlotte 29 at Florida International 30

FIU
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:40 · Arthur Hart punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Julian Williams at the FlaIn 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Pregame prior+10.3Home team on offense−13.5Score differential−4.9Garbage-time factor−3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:51: Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jackson VanSickle KICK) — CLT win probability +26.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:43: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +11.6 pts (now 51%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:40: Alex McGough run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +14.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:43: Alex McGough run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — FIU win probability +19.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. FG · Q4 7:22: Jose Borregales 27 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +10.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:27FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 44, down 6
    Close callPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:11CLT 4th & 19 at CLT 49, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:14FIU 4th & 9 at CLT 39, down 5
    Close callPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    70.8%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:59FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 48, down 12
    Close callPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:56CLT 4th & 3 at FIU 31, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−1.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 3 at FIU 42, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−2.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:57CLT 4th & 4 at FIU 22, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.4%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−10.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:40CLT 4th & 10 at midfield, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:43CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 33, up 2
    Close callPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:22FIU 4th & 1 at CLT 10, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%−1.9
    88% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−22.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:22CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:00FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−1.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:41CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.2%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:32CLT 4th & 2 at FIU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−13.6
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−27.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:27CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:42CLT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:11FIU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:59CLT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:51CLT Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:43FIU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:40FIU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:43FIU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    52.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
78.4%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
78.4%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
78.4%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
78.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:5322% → 23%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
78.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
78.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 6 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+41
78.2%
Benny LeMay run for 41 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
78.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.3%
Hasaan Klugh 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed), (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q1 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
77.3%
Arthur Hart pass incomplete to Michael HolmesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
77.5%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
77.6%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
77.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
77.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:0523% → 26%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
76.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 12 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
76.7%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+63
76.8%
Benny LeMay run for 63 yds to the FlaIn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
76.5%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for 3 yds for a TD, (Jackson VanSickle PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:3175% → 76%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
74.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+12
74.6%
Alex McGough run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
74.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
75.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
75.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
74.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
75.8%
Thomas Owens pass complete to Julian Williams for 35 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.7%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
74.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 11 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
74.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+23
74.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 33 yds to the FLAINTL 32 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
74.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
74.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-11
74.3%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Treyvon Williams and Jordan Guest for a loss of 11 yards to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 19
OWN 49
0
75.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
73.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
73.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
73.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+28
73.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 28 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
74.6%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
74.5%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
74.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
73.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:1328% → 37%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
71.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 14 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
71.4%
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+4
70.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
70.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
70.9%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
50
+12
70.9%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to BOSTICK, Trent, PENALTY FIU pass interference (BROWN, Isaiah) 12 yards to the FIU38, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
70.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 15 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
62.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 23 yds for a TD, (Jackson VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
64.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
64.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+5
64.5%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
64.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
64.6%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-1
64.9%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
64.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10TD
18 plays · 89 yds · 7:0540% → 68%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
60.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 9 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+30
59.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
50
0
59.1%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 10
50
+12
59.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
59.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 9 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-2
59.0%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-10
59.4%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to BOSTICK, Trent, PENALTY CHA holding (CLARK, Cameron) 10 yards to the FIU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+5
59.7%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+5
59.9%
HART, Arthur punt 36 yards to the FIU0, touchback, PENALTY FIU roughing the kicker (GUEST, Jordan) 5 yards to the FIU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+4
60.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
59.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-10
59.1%
LEMAY, Benny rush for 7 yards to the FIU20 (JOHNSON, Tyree), PENALTY CHA holding (GERMAN, Eugene) 10 yards to the FIU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+20
59.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 5 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Andrew Brown) to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
59.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+6
59.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
59.0%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
59.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
32.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jackson VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 2:0840% → 51%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.7%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
40.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 5 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
40.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 17 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
42.4%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+7
40.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 7 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+5
40.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 5 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
41.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 14 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
41.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
41.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+8
40.3%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
39.7%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
51.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12KICKOFF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
45.1%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+6
44.8%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
47.4%
Benny LeMay run for 15 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
45.9%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
46.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+8
46.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 8 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
45.8%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
46.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+9
46.7%
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
47.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Julian Williams at the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
42.3%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+7
42.5%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
42.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-5
43.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
42.5%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
41.4%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Juwan Foggie return for no gain to the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2665% → 74%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
35.1%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
35.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent Bostick, broken up by Niko GonzalezSimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+3
35.8%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
26.4%
Jackson VanSickle 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1730% → 49%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.7%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+51
29.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 51 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
33.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Denzel IrvinSimilar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+13
33.3%
Alex Gardner run for 13 yds to the Charl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
33.9%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
48.5%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
40.5%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
40.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+14
41.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 14 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
39.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+4
40.7%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+13
39.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
50
0
37.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
50
0
37.2%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 10
50
0
38.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark Quattlebaum, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 10
50
0
40.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Julian Williams at the FlaIn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 94 yds · 3:5834% → 60%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
33.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+55
34.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 55 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
41.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
39.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+6
37.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
39.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-5
39.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+7
39.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 7 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
59.6%
Alex McGough run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
48.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
48.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 6 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
48.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 7 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
47.4%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
49.7%
Arthur Hart punt for 36 yds, downed at the FlaIn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20FG
6 plays · 59 yds · 3:1654% → 69%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+38
53.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 38 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
61.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 12 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
61.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+4
61.0%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
58.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 10Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+27
68.5%
Jose Borregales 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.0%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
63.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Bryce CanadySimilar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
65.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5768% → 67%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
68.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Ed RolleSimilar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
67.5%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+1
66.5%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
66.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 56 yds, downed at the Charl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23MISSED FG
16 plays · 67 yds · 4:2035% → 36%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
65.4%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 3Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+20
65.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 20 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
63.5%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+11
63.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 11 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
61.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
59.0%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
58.9%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-5
64.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+21
68.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 21 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
57.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to R.J. TylerSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
58.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 5 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
57.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+48
64.0%
Nigel Macauley 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
80.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:51
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jackson VanSickle KICK)
-26.9
TD · Q4 12:43
Alex McGough run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+19.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com