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BALL

Ball State 21 at Western Kentucky 33

WKU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:23 · Nathan Snyder punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior+5.0Home team on offense+9.8Garbage-time factor+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Score differential+0.5Time remaining+2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:16: Malik Dunner run for 5 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +15.4 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q4 14:52: Ryan Nuss 34 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +7.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:50: Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +42.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:38: Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WKU win probability +31.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:13: Jack Milas pass intercepted for a TD Joe Brown return for 34 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +10.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 9:03BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:43WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:28WKU 4th & 9 at BALL 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:28BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:39WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:46WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:52WKU 4th & 3 at BALL 17, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.2%−0.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−11.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:08BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:07WKU 4th & 27 at WKU 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−4.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:23BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 39, down 6
    Close callPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:52WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−2.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:13BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 11, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:03WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:27BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:19WKU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:16BALL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:50BALL Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−2.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:38WKU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.9%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:13WKU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
15 plays · 58 yds · 5:5777% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
77.2%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 4 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
77.2%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-10
77.2%
WHITE, Mike pass complete to JACKSON, Lucky for 23 yards to the BALL28 (ANDERSON, Lamar;PHILLIPS, A.), PENALTY WKU holding (SIMS, Jimmie) 10 yards to the WKU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+19
77.2%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 19 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
77.2%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
77.2%
Mike White pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 5 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+10
77.2%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 10 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
77.2%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+7
77.2%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 7 yds to the BalSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
77.2%
Mike White pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 9 yds to the BalSt 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+1
77.2%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
77.2%
Drew Eckels run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
77.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
77.8%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
77.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 21 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
77.1%
Malik Dunner run for 5 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
77.0%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
77.0%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 5
OPP 49
-5
77.3%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (Damon Singleton) to the BalSt 46Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
77.6%
Nathan Snyder punt for 33 yds, downed at the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
77.5%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
77.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
77.2%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
77.0%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds, downed at the BalSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 3:2623% → 27%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
77.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
76.9%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 41Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+41
77.2%
Jack Milas pass complete to Malik Dunner for 41 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
76.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Nolan Givan for 17 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.4%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5INT
9 plays · 57 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
74.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+11
74.1%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 11 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
74.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
74.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
74.5%
Cameron Echols-Luper run for 3 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+9
74.3%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
50
+34
75.1%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 34 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
75.4%
Mike White pass intercepted Damon Singleton return for 10 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:3027% → 28%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
72.7%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the BalSt 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+20
72.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 20 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
72.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Caleb Huntley for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+9
72.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-10
71.8%
MILAS, Jack pass complete to LACANARIA, C. for 6 yards to the BALL49 (KINCADE, Antwon), PENALTY BALL holding (BOOKER, Kadin) 10 yards to the BALL33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+13
73.1%
Jack Milas pass complete to Malik Dunner for 13 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
72.4%
Nathan Snyder punt for 39 yds, downed at the WKent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:1972% → 74%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
72.4%
Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
72.5%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+17
72.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 17 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
73.5%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
73.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon YelderSimilar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+9
72.6%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
74.1%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 25 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
74.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 4 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+4
74.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 2
OPP 16
-7
73.9%
Mike White sacked by Jaylin Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 23Similar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
73.5%
Ryan Nuss 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.9%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
73.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
72.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
73.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 31 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for no gain to the BalSt 31 BALL ST Penalty, targeting (Brandon Martin) to the BalSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:0975% → 82%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
75.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Josh MillerSimilar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
74.9%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 12 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
75.6%
Marquez Trigg run for 9 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+5
75.6%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to FANT, Nacarius, QB hurry by WADE, Romero, PENALTY BALL substitution infraction (THOMAS, Jaylin) 5 yards to the BALL21, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+19
75.6%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 19 yds to the BalSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
75.6%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the BalSt 2Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10FUMBLE
12 plays · 43 yds · 2:3320% → 20%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.1%
Malik Dunner run for 11 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
79.5%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the BalSt 37Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
79.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+12
81.8%
Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 12 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
80.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
80.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
80.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 8 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 2
OPP 32
-1
79.1%
Jack Milas sacked by Evan Sayner for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+1
80.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the WKent 32 Caleb Huntley fumbled, forced by Joel Iyiegbuniwe, recovered by WKent Joel IyiegbuniweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
82.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
82.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon Yelder, broken up by Lamar AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
82.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
81.6%
Jake Collins punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
82.5%
Malik Dunner run for 7 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.5%
Malik Dunner run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+9
80.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 37 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 9 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
80.0%
Malik Dunner run for 4 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
80.2%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0083% → 81%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
83.4%
Jakairi Moses run for 7 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
83.6%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+1
82.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-8
83.6%
Mike White sacked by Antonio Phillips for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 41 Mike White fumbled, recovered by WKent Mike White , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+8
82.9%
Mike White pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 8 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
82.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
81.4%
Jake Collins punt for 50 yds, downed at the BalSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
83.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 5Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 5
0
83.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Khalil Newton, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+6
84.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+23
82.9%
Jack Milas pass intercepted Drell Greene return for 8 yds to the BalSt 19 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Julien Lewis) to the BalSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
85.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+14
85.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 14 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
85.0%
Jakairi Moses run for no gain to the BalSt 14Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
85.0%
Mike White pass intercepted, touchback. Bryce Cosby return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5517% → 36%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
83.3%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the BalSt 21Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+17
83.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 17 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
82.4%
Jack Milas run for 6 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
81.7%
Malik Dunner run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
50
+24
81.1%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 24 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
79.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Antwan Davis for 10 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
79.7%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+11
79.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Cody Rudy for 11 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
64.3%
Malik Dunner run for 5 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:2473% → 81%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
72.7%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+20
71.6%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 20 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
74.1%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 39Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+15
73.8%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 15 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
75.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
75.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
73.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon Yelder, broken up by Damon SingletonSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
80.7%
Ryan Nuss 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:4426% → 19%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
74.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+1
78.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 25Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Antwan Davis, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+22
80.7%
Nathan Snyder punt for 39 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 22 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -17 yds · 0:0085% → 81%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-11
85.0%
Mike White sacked by Verenzo Holmes for a loss of 11 yards to the WKent 42 Mike White fumbled, recovered by WKent Matt Nord , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 26
OWN 42
+2
83.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 24
OWN 44
-3
82.6%
Mike White sacked by Anthony Winbush for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 27
OWN 41
0
81.3%
Jake Collins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:4519% → 18%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
81.2%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 9 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+2
81.0%
Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
81.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 7 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+5
80.4%
Malik Dunner run for 5 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
80.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Antwan Davis, broken up by Chris JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
81.4%
Malik Dunner run for 5 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
80.2%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
81.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
88.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+7
88.0%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 7 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
88.0%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
87.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
87.0%
Jake Collins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:0417% → 64%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
83.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Antwan Davis for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 1
50
+30
81.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 30 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
79.2%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Hassan Littles, broken up by Masai WhyteSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+16
79.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Antwan Davis for 16 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
79.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the WKent 3Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
36.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:1254% → 95%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
53.7%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 11 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
54.5%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 5 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
58.9%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
58.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 9 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
60.4%
Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+27
60.2%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 27 yds to the BalSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
63.3%
Mike White pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 10 yds to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.9%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2513% → 2%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
87.4%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
87.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+34
97.8%
Jack Milas pass intercepted for a TD Joe Brown return for 34 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
97.8%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Demetrius CainSimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
97.8%
Jack Milas run for 1 yd to the BalSt 11Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
97.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 9
OWN 11
0
97.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:50
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)
-42.9
TD · Q4 1:38
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+31.6
TD · Q3 2:16
Malik Dunner run for 5 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)
-15.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com