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FIU

Florida International 13 at Rice 7

RICE
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Stone Wilson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Home team on offense−11.7Garbage-time factor−4.7Pregame prior−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.5Score differential−3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:39: Jackson Tyner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Haden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +8.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Jose Borregales 44 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +7.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:04: Alex Gardner run for 17 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST down — FIU win probability +11.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:14: Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 16 — FIU win probability +12.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:06: Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 13 — FIU win probability +11.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00RICE 4th & 5 at FIU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:41FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:58RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:13RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:40FIU 4th & 6 at RICE 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    46.7%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:20RICE 4th & 11 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:00FIU 4th & 6 at RICE 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−8.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:00RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:31FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−1.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 28 at RICE 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−4.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−1.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:07RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.8%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:07RICE 4th & 16 at RICE 41, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−5.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:56FIU 4th & 19 at FIU 8, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−7.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:13RICE 4th & 11 at FIU 11, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.2%
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    12.6%−9.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−13.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:57FIU 4th & 13 at FIU 8, up 6
    Numbers favored punt by 3.4 ptsWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%−3.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:54FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:39RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
45.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
45.6%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
45.6%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Nahshon Ellerbe for 11 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
45.6%
Austin Trammell run for 3 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+8
45.6%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 8 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
45.6%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Lance WrightSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
45.6%
Jordan Myers run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
45.6%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
45.6%
Jack Fox punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:5553% → 53%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
46.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 8 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
46.4%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
46.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Brandon Douglas-DotsonSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
46.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+10
46.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 10 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
46.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by J.T. IbeSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
46.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-8
46.5%
Alex McGough sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
47.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds , Nahshon Ellerbe returns for no gain to the Rice 44 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Isaiah Brown) to the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
47.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+12
47.7%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 12 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
48.3%
RICE Penalty, false start (Trey Martin) to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 15
OWN 36
-8
47.8%
Jackson Tyner sacked by Jermaine Sheriff for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 23
OWN 28
0
47.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for no gain to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 23
OWN 28
+20
47.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 20 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 3
OWN 48
-5
48.0%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+3
47.7%
Jack Fox punt for 44 yds , Tony Gaiter IV returns for 3 yds to the FlaIn 20 Tony Gaiter IV fumbled, forced by Garrett Grammer,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:5552% → 59%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
48.2%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
48.2%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+10
48.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 10 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
48.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+24
48.1%
Alex McGough run for 24 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
47.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+19
47.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 4 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Martin Nwakamma) to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
46.6%
Alex McGough run for 11 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
46.6%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
41.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 8 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1543% → 55%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
43.3%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
43.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+10
43.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 10 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
44.6%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Brad MuhammadSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-3
44.5%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 13
OWN 45
0
43.1%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 13
OWN 45
+15
42.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Treyvon Williams) to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
45.0%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
45.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+14
44.9%
Jackson Tyner run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
45.9%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+17
45.9%
Parker Smith pass complete to Jackson Tyner for 17 yds to the FlaIn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
54.6%
Jackson Tyner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Haden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0051% → 53%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
49.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-2
49.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+14
50.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 14 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
48.6%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+7
47.5%
Alex McGough run for 7 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
47.1%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Justin Bickham return for no gain to the Rice 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
51.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 3Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 12
OWN 3
0
51.6%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Lance Wright, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 12
OWN 3
+1
50.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 4Similar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 11
OWN 4
+5
50.2%
Jack Fox punt for 49 yds , Tony Gaiter IV returns for 5 yds to the Rice 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
46.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 9 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+3
46.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 3 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
46.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-1
45.4%
Alex McGough sacked by Parker Hanusa for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
46.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce Singleton, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+2
48.0%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
53.4%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
52.9%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 6 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+15
53.6%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 15 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
55.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
55.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
55.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 6
OPP 45
-5
53.8%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 11
50
0
52.2%
Jack Fox punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tony Gaiter IV at the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 0:4950% → 59%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+23
49.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 23 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
48.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 18 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
46.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
46.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+22
47.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 22 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+44
40.7%
Jose Borregales 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:0056% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.9%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
43.7%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+37
44.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 37 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
40.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 10 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
40.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
40.6%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
41.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
36.9%
Jose Borregales 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
39.3%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen Granson, broken up by Sage LewisSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
39.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 16Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+9
38.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 9 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.6%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
39.9%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Trammell for 7 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
40.1%
Samuel Stewart run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
39.9%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Walter for 2 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
39.3%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+12
38.0%
Jack Fox punt for 47 yds , Tony Gaiter IV returns for 12 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
34.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+10
35.6%
Alex Gardner run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
33.3%
Alex McGough sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 20
OWN 28
0
36.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for no gain to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+13
36.9%
Alex Gardner run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
35.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14INT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0038% → 42%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
37.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
38.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 9 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
38.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 12 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
41.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+7
39.1%
Austin Walter run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
41.5%
Jackson Tyner pass intercepted Brad Muhammad return for no gain to the FlaIn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:0470% → 68%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
29.8%
Alex Gardner run for 17 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
28.9%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+5
28.8%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+4
29.5%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
28.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex Gardner, broken up by Emmanuel EllerbeeSimilar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
28.9%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-10
27.9%
Alex McGough sacked by Christian Bertrand for a loss of 10 yards to the Rice 42 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Alex Gardner , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 28
OPP 42
0
31.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
34.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+1
35.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+13
33.9%
Jackson Tyner run for 13 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
36.1%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 10 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
36.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
38.7%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Niko GonzalezSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+6
35.9%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 6 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+2
36.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
40.0%
Jackson Tyner sacked by Newton Salisbury for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+8
36.5%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Jordan Myers for 8 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-8
38.2%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 16
OWN 41
0
33.4%
Jack Fox punt for 42 yds, downed at the FlaIn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:1879% → 78%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
20.8%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 11
OWN 16
-1
21.4%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 12
OWN 15
-7
20.5%
Alex McGough sacked by Roe Wilkins for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 19
OWN 8
+5
21.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 48 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 5 yds to the Rice 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 3:5128% → 18%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
27.6%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Walter for 8 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+8
29.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
31.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+15
30.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Newton Salisbury) to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
31.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+9
31.5%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 9 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
31.5%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
29.9%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
23.1%
Jackson Tyner run for no gain to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
0
18.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · -6 yds · 0:0993% → 93%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
6.9%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+2
6.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+5
6.6%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 1
OWN 20
-5
6.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 6
OWN 15
-7
6.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (-7 Yards) to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 13
OWN 8
-3
7.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:14
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 16
-12.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:04
Alex Gardner run for 17 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST down
-11.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:06
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 13
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com