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SOU

Southern 17 at UTSA 51

UTSA
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadSOU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreSOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:18 · Yannis Routsas punt for 51 yds, downed at the Sthrn 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+12.9Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+26.3Blowout margin+11.7Garbage-time factor+14.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:07: Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 30 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — SOU win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:52: Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:18: Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 17 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:19: Dalton Sturm run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:48: Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 14 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4SOU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00SOU 4th & 8 at SOU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:07SOU 4th & 9 at SOU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:52SOU 4th & 15 at SOU 11, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18SOU 4th & 10 at SOU 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:19SOU 4th & 8 at SOU 37, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:48SOU 4th & 10 at SOU 47, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 48, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:43UTSA 4th & 3 at SOU 43, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:43SOU 4th & 16 at SOU 1, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:50UTSA 4th & 5 at SOU 11, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:50SOU 4th & 10 at SOU 25, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:37SOU 4th & 16 at UTSA 28, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:18UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 36, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:38SOU 4th & 1 at SOU 43, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:07UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:37UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:52UTSA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:18UTSA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:19UTSA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:48UTSA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:29UTSA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:43SOU Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:18SOU Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SOUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.6%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Randall MenardSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
98.6%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Jaylon Brinson) to the Sthrn 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+7
98.6%
Devon Benn run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Randall MenardSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Austin Summerbell punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:4799% → 98%
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
98.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+7
98.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 7 yds to the Sthrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
98.4%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 30 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Dillon BeardSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.4%
Devon Benn run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.4%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Jamar Washington, broken up by Jarrod Carter-McLinSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+7
98.4%
Murphy Nash punt for 31 yds , Brady Jones returns for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:2698% → 98%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
50
0
98.3%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 10
50
-1
98.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 11
OWN 49
-10
98.2%
Sturm middle pass complete to Campbell Jr. for 21 yards to the SU30 (D. Johnson), PENALTY UTSA holding (Beard) 10 yards to the UTSA39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 21
OWN 39
+23
98.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 23 yds to the Sthrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
98.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+17
98.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 17 yds to the Sthrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
98.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
98.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 5INT
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:352% → 2%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
98.2%
Darquez Lee pass complete to Randall Menard for 9 yds to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+1
98.1%
Devon Benn run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Jarmarqueza Mims run for no gain to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Devon BennSimilar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-5
98.1%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Jaylon Brinson) to the Sthrn 22Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+10
98.1%
Darquez Lee pass intercepted C.J. Levine return for 10 yds to the Sthrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:5898% → 99%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
98.1%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
98.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 9 yds to the Sthrn 18Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 1
OPP 18
-5
98.2%
Tyrell Clay run for a loss of 5 yards to the Sthrn 23Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+13
98.2%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Tyrell Clay for 13 yds to the Sthrn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
98.2%
Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 6Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
98.2%
Tyrell Clay run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 2Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.6%
Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
98.5%
Devon Benn run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 18Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 18
-5
98.5%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Devon Benn) to the Sthrn 13Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 13
OWN 13
-4
98.5%
Darquez Lee sacked by Marcos Curry for a loss of 4 yards to the Sthrn 9Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 17
OWN 9
+2
98.5%
Devon Benn run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 15
OWN 11
0
98.5%
Murphy Nash punt for 33 yds , Brady Jones returns for no gain to the Sthrn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:1299% → 99%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
98.6%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Kerry Thomas Jr.) to the Sthrn 49Similar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+5
98.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 44Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+20
98.6%
Dalton Sturm run for 20 yds to the Sthrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
98.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 17Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+17
99.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 17 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell BrownSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Jamar WashingtonSimilar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Randall MenardSimilar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Murphy Nash punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:2799% → 99%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+12
99.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 12 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.1%
Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 8
50
+2
99.1%
Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 48Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+8
99.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 8 yds to the Sthrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+30
99.1%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 30 yds to the Sthrn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.1%
Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.3%
Dalton Sturm run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Jarmarqueza Mims for no gain to the Sthrn 25Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.5%
G. McDaniel slant pass incomplete to Do. Brown, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Mosley) 10 yards to the SU35, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.5%
Devon Benn run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Jamar Washington run for no gain to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Dontrell BrownSimilar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Murphy Nash punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
99.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 19 yds to the Sthrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
99.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 16 yds to the Sthrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.5%
Dalton Sturm sacked by Aaron Tiller for a loss of 5 yards to the Sthrn 36Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+20
99.5%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 20 yds to the Sthrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 14Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
99.5%
Dalton Sturm pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
99.6%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 14 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Devon Benn run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
99.7%
Glendon McDaniel run for 14 yds to the Sthrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
99.7%
Glendon McDaniel sacked by Josiah Tauaefa and Les Maruo for a loss of 6 yards to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+6
99.7%
Devon Benn run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Dontrell BrownSimilar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Murphy Nash punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.7%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 5 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-5
99.7%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 21Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+21
99.7%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 21 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.7%
Dalton Sturm run for 12 yds to the Sthrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
99.7%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 19 yds to the Sthrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
99.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 16 yds to the Sthrn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 11 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
99.8%
Bryce Rivers pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 21 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
99.8%
Bryce Rivers sacked by Joe Davis for a loss of 15 yards to the TexSA 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 32
+11
99.7%
Bryce Rivers pass complete to Brett Winnegan for 11 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
Bryce Rivers pass complete to Brett Winnegan for 5 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Yannis Routsas punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 17INT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.8%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Jamar Washington for 2 yds to the Sthrn 24Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+24
99.8%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Jamar Washington for 24 yds to the Sthrn 48 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.8%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Jamar Washington for 6 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+6
99.7%
Devon Benn run for 6 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.7%
Devon Benn run for 1 yd to the TexSA 39Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
99.7%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Randall MenardSimilar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+6
99.8%
Glendon McDaniel pass intercepted Andrew Martel return for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 41 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (La'Kel Bass) to the TexSA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18INT TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
99.8%
Brett Winnegan run for 12 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.8%
Brett Winnegan run for 12 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.8%
Brett Winnegan run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+61
99.8%
Bryce Rivers pass intercepted for a TD Danny Johnson return for 61 yds for a TD UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined, (Cesar Barajas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 7 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+9
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 49Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+5
99.8%
Bryce Rivers pass complete to Larry Stephens for 5 yds to the Sthrn 44Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+1
99.8%
Bryce Rivers pass complete to B.J. Daniels for 1 yd to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Yannis Routsas punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Danny Johnson at the Sthrn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.9%
Tevin Horton run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Tevin HortonSimilar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 9
OWN 8
-7
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel sacked by Marcos Curry and Les Maruo for a loss of 7 yards to the Sthrn 1Similar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 16
OWN 1
+4
99.9%
Murphy Nash punt for 32 yds , Matt Guidry returns for 4 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 21Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+5
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 14Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Bryce Rivers pass incomplete, broken up by Demerio HoustonSimilar
Q3 1:50
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
99.9%
Jared Sackett 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Cameron MackeySimilar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel run for a loss of 3 yards to the Sthrn 22 Glendon McDaniel fumbled, recovered by Sthrn Glendon McDanielSimilar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 25Similar
Q3 1:50
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Murphy Nash punt for 38 yds , Matt Guidry returns for no gain to the TexSA 33 Matt Guidry fumbled, recovered by Sthrn Elijah AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 23FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Dillon Beard for 9 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Devon Benn run for 2 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-6
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel sacked by Morris Joseph Jr. and Les Maruo for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Randall Menard for 4 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 24
-4
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel sacked by Marcos Curry for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+45
99.9%
Cesar Barajas 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 6 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Brett Winnegan run for 3 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Bryce Rivers pass intercepted Jordan Williams return for 4 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 25INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.9%
Darquez Lee pass complete to Jamar Washington for 7 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Tevin Horton run for 6 yds to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
T. Horton rush over left tackle for 1 yard to the UTSA22 (Hickey), PENALTY UTSA offside defense (Booker-Brown) 5 yards to the UTSA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 5
OPP 18
-10
99.9%
D. Benn rush left for loss of 1 yard to the UTSA19 (Curry;Philistin), PENALTY SU holding (C. Baker) 10 yards to the UTSA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Darquez Lee pass complete to Tevin Horton for 4 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Darquez Lee pass intercepted Anthony Hickey return for no gain to the TexSA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Bryce Rivers run for no gain to the TexSA 24 Bryce Rivers fumbled, recovered by Sthrn Danshawn JenkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 27TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:150% → 0%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Randall MenardSimilar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Tevin Horton run for 24 yds for a TD, (Cesar Barajas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Yannis Routsas punt for 51 yds, downed at the Sthrn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 29PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 5:210% → 0%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Tevin Horton run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 17Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+5
100.0%
Tevin Horton run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 22Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Tevin Horton run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Tevin Horton run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
Tevin Horton run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Tevin Horton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+8
99.9%
Tevin Horton run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Tevin Horton run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Murphy Nash punt for 50 yds, downed at the TexSA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:18
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 17 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 2:52
Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 9:19
Dalton Sturm run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com