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CCU

Coastal Carolina 23 at UAB 30

UAB
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-4.8UAB 78.8%Evan Rabon 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 16 - HOME 23 · Q4 8:56
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:56 · Evan Rabon 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense+8.9Garbage-time factor+1.5Pregame prior+1.0Score differential+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:18: Spencer Brown run for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel PAT BLOCKED) — UAB win probability +7.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:57: Carlos Stephens run for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +11.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:58: Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD, (C. Jones Run For Two-point Conversion) — CCU win probability +12.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:54: Spencer Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +8.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:19: Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +14.7 pts (now 19%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:37CCU 4th & 8 at UAB 30, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:16UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:22UAB 4th & 1 at CCU 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%−0.8
    86% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:58CCU 4th & 8 at UAB 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:52CCU 4th & 6 at UAB 12, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−6.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:27UAB 4th & 2 at CCU 4, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−6.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:17CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 46, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:53UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:42CCU 4th & 8 at UAB 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−8.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:56CCU 4th & 7 at UAB 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:51UAB 4th & 18 at UAB 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−6.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:26CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:24UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:37UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:18UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:57UAB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:58CCU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    18.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:54UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:19CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:2357% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
56.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 8 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+8
56.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jonathan Haden for 8 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
56.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
56.7%
Jonathan Haden run for 2 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
56.7%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+19
56.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 19 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
56.7%
James Noble III run for 2 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+11
56.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 11 yds to the CCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
56.7%
BROWN, S. rush for loss of 2 yards to the COASTAL14 (Howard, Amir), PENALTY COASTAL substitution infraction 5 yards to the COASTAL7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+7
58.6%
A.J. Erdely run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
58.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 10 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
58.0%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 1 yd to the CCaro 36Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
58.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the CCaro 37Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+12
58.1%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 12 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
57.8%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Chris Jones for 19 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-7
57.6%
Alex James run for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 17
OPP 39
+10
57.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 10 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 7
OPP 29
-1
57.8%
Tyler Keane sacked by Teko Powell for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 8
OPP 30
0
58.0%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Omar Black, broken up by Darious WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
60.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+11
60.8%
Carlos Stephens run for 11 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
61.1%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the UAB 45 A.J. Erdely fumbled,Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
60.9%
Carlos Stephens run for no gain to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+4
60.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+46
60.3%
Joel Dixon punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chris Jones at the COASTALCAR 9 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (4 Yards) to the CCaro 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
61.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the CCaro 6Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 9
OWN 6
-5
61.5%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 1Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 14
OWN 1
0
61.9%
Tyler Keane pass intercepted Fitzgerald Mofor return for no gain to the CCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:0463% → 66%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
63.0%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the CCaro 21Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
63.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+9
62.6%
A.J. Erdely run for 9 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+1
62.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
63.0%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the CCaro 11Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
70.1%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
65.9%
Preston Carey return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:1836% → 36%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.2%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
64.2%
Alex James run for 1 yd to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Garrett Marino) to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
63.6%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Osharmar Abercrombie, broken up by Mar'Sean DiggsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
63.7%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Osharmar Abercrombie for 12 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
63.1%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
63.3%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Omar Black, broken up by Broderick ThomasSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
63.8%
Tyler Keane pass intercepted Mar'Sean Diggs return for no gain to the UAB 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
64.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-1
64.4%
James Noble III run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 13
0
63.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
63.4%
Joel Dixon punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8FG
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:2436% → 34%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.8%
Dalton Demos run for no gain to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
63.8%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+8
64.6%
Dalton Demos run for 8 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
63.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+1
63.5%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the UAB 22Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
68.1%
Dalton Demos pass incomplete to Marcus OutlowSimilar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
66.5%
Evan Rabon 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5836% → 32%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
64.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 7 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 3
OPP 9
0
64.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 3
OPP 9
-3
65.2%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
67.8%
Evan Rabon 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 6:2569% → 76%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
68.5%
Jonathan Haden run for 2 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
68.3%
Jonathan Haden run for 3 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
68.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
68.7%
James Noble III run for 1 yd to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+8
68.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 8 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
69.3%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
70.0%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
69.3%
Jonathan Haden run for 6 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+30
69.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 30 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
70.7%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+7
70.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 7 yds to the CCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
70.7%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre Wilson, broken up by Preston CareySimilar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
70.7%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the CCaro 12Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+8
69.8%
A.J. Erdely run for 8 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+21
75.8%
Nick Vogel 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
74.8%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Chris Jones, broken up by Chris WoolbrightSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
75.2%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+4
75.7%
Alex James run for 4 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 6
OWN 46
-5
76.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
74.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 17 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
73.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Alex James for 3 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+17
73.6%
Tyler Keane pass intercepted Tevin Crews return for 17 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:4278% → 89%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
77.7%
Collin Lisa pass complete to A.J. Erdely for 3 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+26
88.9%
Carlos Stephens run for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 5:5415% → 28%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
85.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 10 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
84.8%
Chris Jones run for 9 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
83.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
84.1%
Dalton Demos run for 10 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
83.6%
Dalton Demos run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 48Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+9
84.4%
Dalton Demos pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 9 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+2
83.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
83.2%
Malcolm Williams run for 10 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
85.1%
Dalton Demos run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+15
84.8%
Malcolm Williams run for 15 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
84.8%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 13 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.2%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD, (C. Jones Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
77.7%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-10
77.4%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Silas Kelly and Tarron Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the UAB 13Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 18
OWN 13
+7
76.3%
Carlos Stephens run for 7 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 11
OWN 20
+24
75.7%
Joel Dixon punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 35 for a 1ST down , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for 24 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:1526% → 22%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
74.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 10 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
73.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
74.1%
Shane Johnson run for 2 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
75.7%
Dalton Demos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
78.2%
Evan Rabon 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:4280% → 82%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
79.9%
Jonathan Haden run for 7 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
80.4%
James Noble III run for 4 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
80.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to James Noble IIISimilar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
79.9%
James Noble III run for 9 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
80.8%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
81.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Ronnie Turner Jr.Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
81.6%
James Noble III run for no gain to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+1
80.2%
A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+14
82.4%
Joel Dixon punt for 39 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for 14 yds to the COASTALCAR 38 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the CCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19FG
16 plays · 67 yds · 5:5417% → 21%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
82.8%
Dalton Demos run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 14Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+5
83.3%
Dalton Demos run for 5 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+20
84.4%
Dalton Demos run for 20 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
80.9%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
82.0%
Dalton Demos pass incomplete, broken up by Teko PowellSimilar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+16
83.4%
Dalton Demos pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 16 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
79.3%
Dalton Demos run for 5 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
78.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-5
79.2%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+25
83.6%
Jacqez Hairston run for 25 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
81.1%
Dalton Demos pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-2
81.6%
Jacqez Hairston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 21Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+5
83.5%
Dalton Demos run for 5 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
78.8%
Evan Rabon 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0085% → 83%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
85.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
84.7%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-8
84.0%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Marcus Williamson for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 18
OWN 14
+9
83.4%
Joel Dixon punt for 52 yds , Chris Jones returns for 9 yds to the CCaro 23 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the CCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
83.3%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 23Similar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+7
84.7%
Ky'Jon Tyler run for 7 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
83.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
83.7%
Dalton Demos pass incomplete to Omar BlackSimilar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+4
84.9%
Derambez Drinkard punt for 35 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 4 yds to the UAB 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:0089% → 99%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
89.2%
James Noble III run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+16
89.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 16 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
90.4%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+15
90.3%
ERDELY, A.J. pass incomplete to TURNER Jr., R. (Hears, Dontay), PENALTY COASTAL pass interference (Hears, Dontay) 15 yards to the COASTAL30, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+12
88.6%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (5 Yards) to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
90.6%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the CCaro 3Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.8%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:353% → 19%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.2%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Alex James for 11 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
96.3%
Keane, Tyler pass incomplete to Jones, Chris, PENALTY COASTAL IF off-setting, PENALTY UAB offside off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+37
97.0%
Alex James run for 37 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
96.3%
Keane, Tyler pass incomplete to Jones, Chris, PENALTY UAB pass interference (WILLIAMS, D.A.) 15 yards to the UAB12, 1ST DOWN COASTAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
96.3%
Keane, Tyler pass incomplete to Jones, Chris, PENALTY UAB pass interference (WILLIAMS, D.A.) 10 yards to the UAB2, 1ST DOWN COASTAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5596% → 98%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
95.9%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
98.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
97.7%
Joel Dixon punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
88.7%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
89.8%
Tyler Keane run for 9 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:19
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q3 6:58
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD, (C. Jones Run For Two-point Conversion)
-12.6
TD · Q3 12:57
Carlos Stephens run for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com