Try the model
RICE

Rice 3 at Houston 38

HOU
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · TDECU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:47 · Davion Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Rice 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:32: Kyle Allen pass complete to Duke Catalon for 10 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK) — HOU win probability +0.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:30: Dillon Birden run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK) — HOU win probability +2.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:20: Duke Catalon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK) — HOU win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 10:01: Timeout RICE, clock 10:01 — HOU win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:40: Kyle Allen pass complete to John Leday for 7 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK) — HOU win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:03HOU 4th & 4 at RICE 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:55RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:29HOU 4th & 3 at RICE 3, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    89.5%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:40RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 19, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:07RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 40, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:15HOU 4th & 8 at RICE 29, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:33RICE 4th & 13 at HOU 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:33HOU 4th & 1 at RICE 1, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 11 at HOU 49, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:13HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 38, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:20RICE 4th & 18 at RICE 11, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:47HOU 4th & 5 at HOU 43, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:47RICE 4th & 12 at HOU 14, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:32HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:30HOU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:20HOU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:40HOU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:01HOU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
93.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 20 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
93.6%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+2
93.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 2 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
93.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
93.6%
Jack Fox punt for 46 yds , Collin Wilder returns for no gain to the Houst 9 Collin Wilder fumbled, recovered by Houst Collin WilderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 49 yds · 3:5493% → 92%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
93.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Keith Corbin for 3 yds to the Houst 12Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+3
93.1%
Duke Catalon run for 3 yds to the Houst 15Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+6
93.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 6 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
93.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Linell Bonner for 21 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
93.2%
HOUSTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 37Similar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+6
93.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to John Leday for 6 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+9
93.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Romello Brooker for 9 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
93.2%
Dillon Birden run for 3 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-9
93.2%
Kyle Allen sacked by Graysen Schantz for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 46Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 16
OWN 46
+12
93.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 12 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
92.3%
Dane Roy punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
92.1%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
92.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
92.2%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Justin BickhamSimilar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
92.2%
Jack Fox punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:5292% → 93%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
91.8%
Duke Catalon run for 4 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
91.9%
Duke Catalon run for 5 yds to the Houst 47Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
91.9%
Duke Catalon run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
50
+7
91.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to John Leday for 7 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-1
92.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Steven Dunbar for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+23
91.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to John Leday for 23 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
92.0%
Duke Catalon run for 11 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
92.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Duke Catalon for 10 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
92.1%
Samuel Stewart run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 10 Samuel Stewart fumbled, recovered by Houst Matthew AdamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5093% → 92%
Q1 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Duke Catalon for no gain to the Rice 10Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
92.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to John Leday for 3 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
92.4%
Kyle Allen pass complete to John Leday for 4 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q1 2:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
92.1%
Caden Novikoff 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
92.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass intercepted Payton Turner return for no gain to the Rice 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:4892% → 95%
Q1 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
92.4%
Dillon Birden run for 8 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.4%
Dillon Birden run for no gain to the Rice 1Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.5%
Dillon Birden run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:306% → 6%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
93.7%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Kylen Granson for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+7
93.8%
Cameron Montgomery run for 7 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 4
OWN 22
-2
93.8%
Sam Glaesmann sacked by Payton Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+3
94.2%
Jack Fox punt for 56 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for 3 yds to the Houst 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 2:2894% → 97%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
94.4%
Duke Catalon run for 4 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
94.4%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+19
94.3%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Linell Bonner for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
50
+12
94.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 12 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
94.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Keith Corbin for 11 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
95.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Linell Bonner for 6 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-5
95.0%
HOUSTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
95.0%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Romello BrookerSimilar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+25
94.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Linell Bonner for 25 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.6%
Duke Catalon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:194% → 3%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
96.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Parker Smith for 2 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+6
96.1%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 6 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+6
96.0%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 6 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.0%
Sam Glaesmann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
96.0%
Sam Glaesmann sacked by Jeremy Winchester for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+12
97.0%
Sam Glaesmann run for 12 yds to the Rice 42 Sam Glaesmann fumbled, forced by Ed Oliver, recovered by Houst Leroy GodfreySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:0597% → 99%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
97.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Linell Bonner for 12 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
97.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Linell Bonner for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 21 to John Leday for 11 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+11
97.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Alex Leslie for 11 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
97.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Linell Bonner for 3 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to John Leday for 7 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
98.7%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
98.7%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-5
98.8%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 19Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete, broken up by Terrell WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Jack Fox punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the Houst 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:3199% → 99%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
98.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 24 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
98.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Linell Bonner for 17 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
98.7%
Kyle Allen run for 6 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-1
98.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to John Leday for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 11Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+9
99.0%
Mulbah Car run for 9 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.0%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 3Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.4%
Kylen Granson run for 6 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-7
99.3%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+16
99.5%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Walter for 16 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
99.4%
Jackson Tyner run for 4 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Jack Fox punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the Houst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.4%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 16Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+2
99.4%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Houst 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17MISSED FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:45100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
99.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Linell Bonner for 32 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
99.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Mulbah Car for 12 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.5%
Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-8
99.5%
Kyle Allen sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+4
99.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
99.6%
Caden Novikoff 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:421% → 1%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.5%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+14
99.5%
Austin Walter run for 14 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Justin BickhamSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
99.5%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Jordan Myers for 15 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.5%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 7 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+11
99.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 11 yds to the Houst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
99.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 26Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 13
OPP 26
0
99.5%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
99.5%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+43
99.5%
Will Harrison 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 73 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Linell Bonner for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 25Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
Mulbah Car run for 10 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+18
99.7%
Mulbah Car run for 18 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+30
99.7%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Courtney Lark for 30 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.7%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Courtney LarkSimilar
Q3 8:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.7%
Kyle Postma run for 1 yd to the Rice 4Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.7%
Davion Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.7%
Davion Mitchell run for no gain to the Rice 1Similar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.7%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
99.7%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Patrick Carr for 4 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+3
99.7%
Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.7%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:040% → 0%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.8%
Jackson Tyner run for 2 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+7
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 7 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+2
99.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
99.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 10 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
99.8%
TRAMMELL, A. rush reverse for no gain to the RICE22 (EGBULE, Emeke), PENALTY RICE holding (GODBER, Peter) 10 yards to the RICE12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+13
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 13 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+27
99.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 27 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
99.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
50
+1
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Emmanuel Esukpa for 1 yd to the Houst 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the Houst 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 17Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+14
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Derek McLemore for 14 yds to the Houst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Houst 32Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Courtney Lark for 1 yd to the Houst 33Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Kyle Postma run for 5 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Dane Roy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nahshon Ellerbe at the Rice 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.9%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 18Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 11
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 11
OWN 18
-7
99.9%
Jackson Tyner sacked by Khalil Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 18
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 54 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for 3 yds to the Houst 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Houst 40Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Courtney LarkSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Dane Roy punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24FG
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:310% → 0%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+5
99.9%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 5 yds to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
99.9%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Jordan Myers for 15 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
99.9%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 24 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
99.9%
Jackson Tyner run for 14 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
100.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the Houst 19Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+7
100.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 7 yds to the Houst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
100.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Houst 12Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-2
100.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 14Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
100.0%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+31
100.0%
Will Harrison 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
100.0%
Davion Mitchell run for 8 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
100.0%
Davion Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Davion Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
Davion Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Rice 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:30
Dillon Birden run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 12:20
Duke Catalon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 7:40
Kyle Allen pass complete to John Leday for 7 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com