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KENT

Kent State 0 at Marshall 21

MRSH
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:04 · Derek Adams punt for 42 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior+13.7Home team on offense+6.7Score differential+1.7Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 11:50: Justin Rankin run for 25 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST down — KENT win probability +3.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:06: Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 5 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:46: Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 20 — MRSH win probability +4.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:04: BOLLAS, George pass complete to CARRIGAN, Mike for 11 yards to the MAR25 (HANCOCK, Chase;JOHNSON, Nazeeh), PENALTY KENT illegal block (SHINSKY, Connor) 15 yards to the KENT49, NO PLAY. — MRSH win probability +3.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:03: Chase Litton run for 14 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) — MRSH win probability +5.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8KENT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MRSH 4th & 2 at KENT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:13KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:45MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:27KENT 4th & 1 at MRSH 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.9%−0.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:06KENT 4th & 5 at MRSH 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.9%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:06MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:29KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:00MRSH 4th & 13 at MRSH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:53KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:10MRSH 4th & 1 at KENT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−1.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    72.0%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:46MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 28, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:04KENT 4th & 21 at MRSH 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−2.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:41MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 44, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:48MRSH 4th & 12 at KENT 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:26KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−2.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:03KENT 4th & 11 at MRSH 36, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:08KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 23, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q2 0:06MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 7:03MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:08MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
82.6%
Keion Davis run for 12 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
82.6%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+22
82.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 22 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
82.6%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
82.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+4
82.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 4 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+11
82.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 11 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
82.6%
Marcel Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
82.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 3 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+2
82.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 2 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
82.6%
Anthony Anderson run for no gain to the KntSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
81.2%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
81.1%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-1
81.2%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 8
OWN 36
-8
81.4%
Derek Adams punt for 53 yds , Trey Rodriguez returns for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:0780% → 80%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+16
80.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 16 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
80.5%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
80.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 6 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
79.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan Yurachek, broken up by Jim JonesSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 4
OWN 25
-2
79.6%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 54 yds , Raymond James returns for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:2320% → 23%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+23
79.7%
Nick Holley run for 23 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
79.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (Ryan Bee) to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 5
OWN 47
+6
79.0%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
79.0%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+15
79.0%
Mike Carrigan run for 15 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
78.8%
Justin Rankin run for 12 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
78.7%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
78.7%
George Bollas run for 4 yds to the Marsh 10Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
78.9%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
77.2%
Kesean Gamble run for no gain to the Marsh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5INT
12 plays · 60 yds · 1:2278% → 80%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
78.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 11 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
78.5%
Trey Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+9
78.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 9 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
78.1%
Trey Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
78.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+9
77.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 9 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
78.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
50
-8
79.2%
Trey Rodriguez run for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+11
78.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 11 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
79.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 13 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
79.5%
Trey Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
79.5%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Demetrius Monday return for 5 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:4424% → 25%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
75.7%
Justin Rankin run for 25 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
74.5%
Kavious Price run for 24 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
74.0%
George Bollas run for no gain to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
74.1%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+5
74.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (Ryan Bee) to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
74.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Brandon DraytonSimilar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
74.7%
Shane Hynes 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
76.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 1 yd to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
76.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel Williams, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 5
OWN 0
0
75.3%
VEDVIK, Kaare punt 56 yards to the KENT14, downed, PENALTY KENT face mask off-setting, PENALTY MAR face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
75.3%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 29 , Raymond James returns for 3 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
74.1%
George Bollas run for no gain to the KntSt 29Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
74.4%
Raekwon James run for no gain to the KntSt 29Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+15
75.0%
George Bollas run for 15 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
72.9%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-10
72.7%
JAMES, Raekwon rush for no gain to the KENT49 (ALLEN, Rodney;HANCOCK, Chase), PENALTY KENT illegal block (WHITE, Kris) 10 yards to the KENT39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 15
OWN 39
0
74.1%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+2
74.6%
George Bollas run for 2 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 13
OWN 41
+20
75.2%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds , Trey Rodriguez returns for 20 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0076% → 73%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
75.7%
LITTON, Chase pass complete to BRADY, Tyre for 35 yards to the KENT25, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MAR holding (MOLLETTE, Alex) 10 yards to the MAR30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+7
74.4%
Keion Davis run for 7 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
74.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
73.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
73.1%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the KntSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
71.2%
George Bollas run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 25 George Bollas fumbled, recovered by KntSt George BollasSimilar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.4%
George Bollas run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
72.1%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:53
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+44
72.9%
Derek Adams punt for 44 yds , Trey Rodriguez returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11TD
18 plays · 71 yds · 2:0973% → 82%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
73.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
73.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel Williams, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+10
72.0%
LITTON, Chase pass complete to YURACHEK, Ryan for 2 yards to the MAR31 (HINES, Elvis), PENALTY KENT holding (HINES, Elvis) 10 yards to the MAR39, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
74.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+19
74.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 19 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
75.6%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
75.7%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
74.7%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
73.7%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
75.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+20
75.4%
Chase Litton run for 10 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Theo Eboigbe) to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
75.5%
TEAM pass incomplete, PENALTY KENT offside 5 yards to the KENT5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan Yurachek, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Jim JonesSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 5 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
82.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13INT
14 plays · 59 yds · 0:0020% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.5%
Myles Washington run for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.6%
Raekwon James run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
80.8%
George Bollas pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 10 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
79.4%
George Bollas run for 13 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
78.4%
Mike Carrigan run for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 45
0
80.2%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Raekwon James, broken up by Brandon DraytonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+17
80.7%
George Bollas pass complete to Kavious Price for 17 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
78.4%
Myles Washington run for 7 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
77.0%
Myles Washington run for 1 yd to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
78.2%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+15
79.5%
BOLLAS, George pass incomplete to CARRIGAN, Mike, QB hurry by HANCOCK, Chase, QB hurry by COUCH, Marquis, PENALTY MAR pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 15 yards to the MAR15, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
77.0%
George Bollas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 16 George Bollas fumbled, recovered by KntSt George BollasSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+47
77.4%
George Bollas pass intercepted Chris Jackson return for 32 yds to the Marsh 0 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal block (Artis Johnson) to the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
82.3%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 20Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+8
82.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyler King for 8 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
82.0%
Tyler King run for no gain to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+16
81.1%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 45 yds , Raymond James returns for 16 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
78.7%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
78.0%
George Bollas run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 3
50
+19
77.7%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for 19 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
76.0%
Kavious Price run for no gain to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-5
76.1%
George Bollas sacked by Ryan Bee for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 15
OPP 36
-15
79.7%
BOLLAS, George pass complete to CARRIGAN, Mike for 11 yards to the MAR25 (HANCOCK, Chase;JOHNSON, Nazeeh), PENALTY KENT illegal block (SHINSKY, Connor) 15 yards to the KENT49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 30
OWN 49
+9
80.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 9 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 21
OPP 42
0
80.9%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
83.0%
Chase Litton run for 1 yd to the Marsh 21Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
82.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+5
82.0%
KENT ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Jordan Robinson) to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
82.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 9 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
83.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 9 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
84.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Willie Johnson, broken up by Jerrell FosterSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
84.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+9
82.9%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 42 yds , Raymond James returns for 9 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3519% → 15%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
81.1%
George Bollas sacked by Damien Dozier for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 17Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+4
83.3%
George Bollas run for 4 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 12
OWN 21
-1
84.1%
George Bollas sacked by Nazeeh Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 20
-2
84.7%
Derek Adams punt for 53 yds , Trey Rodriguez returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
87.8%
Tyler King run for 21 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
88.8%
Tyler King run for 15 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
89.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Jerrell FosterSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-2
89.2%
Tyler King run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
88.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
87.1%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the KntSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2114% → 11%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
85.6%
George Bollas run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 6Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 11
OWN 6
-1
85.8%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 5Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 12
OWN 5
0
89.0%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 12
OWN 5
-9
89.3%
Derek Adams punt for 48 yds , Trey Rodriguez returns for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:0490% → 97%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
90.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 7 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-5
90.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Levi Brown) to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
90.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 6 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+29
89.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tyre Brady for 29 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
91.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
91.2%
Tyler King run for 8 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+5
90.6%
Anthony Anderson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
91.4%
Tyler King run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 14Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 12
OPP 14
0
91.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Jerrell FosterSimilar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 12
OPP 14
+14
97.1%
Chase Litton run for 14 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+40
96.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Trey Harrell for 40 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
95.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Justin Rankin for 6 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-2
95.2%
Dustin Crum sacked by Ryan Bee for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 6
OPP 31
-5
95.7%
Dustin Crum sacked by Davon Durant for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 11
OPP 36
-4
96.0%
Dustin Crum sacked by Damien Dozier for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:3998% → 100%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
97.7%
Tyler King run for 7 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
97.7%
Tyler King run for 6 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
97.7%
Tyler King run for 8 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+4
97.7%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
97.8%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the KntSt 34Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+5
98.5%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+29
99.7%
Tyler King run for 29 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK) KENT ST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.8%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-3
99.8%
Dustin Crum sacked by Damien Dozier for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 10
OWN 23
+16
99.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 16 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:06
Chase Litton pass complete to Marcel Williams for 5 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q4 7:03
Chase Litton run for 14 yds for a TD, (Kaare Vedvik KICK)
+5.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 9:46
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 20
+4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com