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LT

Louisiana Tech 23 at Western Kentucky 22

WKU
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:02 · Jonathan Barnes kickoff for 44 yds , Nacarius Fant return for no gain to the WKent 47 , Marcus Ward return for 26 yds to the WKent 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:29: Quinton Baker run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +9.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:28: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 87 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +9.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:13: Jakairi Moses run for 19 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +15.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:08: Kam McKnight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +24.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 0:02: Jonathan Barnes 21 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +53.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 3 at LT 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    63.2%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:50LT 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:08LT 4th & 7 at WKU 16, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:29LT 4th & 13 at LT 25, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:07WKU 4th & 5 at LT 42, up 12
    Close callPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:28WKU 4th & 8 at LT 47, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:21LT 4th & 5 at WKU 19, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−1.8
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00LT 4th & 10 at LT 32, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−2.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:32WKU 4th & 9 at LT 12, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−10.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:32LT 4th & 4 at WKU 48, down 2
    Close callPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00LT 4th & 7 at LT 28, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:45WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 38, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:17LT 4th & 11 at LT 23, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:02WKU 4th & 13 at WKU 48, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−1.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:28WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 33, up 2
    Close callPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:03WKU 4th & 12 at WKU 14, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−11.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 4:57WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:29WKU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:28LT Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:13WKU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:08LT Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.0%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.5%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
65.5%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 10 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
65.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 7 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+9
65.5%
Mike White pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 9 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
65.5%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
65.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 2 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+2
65.5%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 2 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
65.5%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the LaTch 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
64.8%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
64.9%
Jarred Craft run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 2
50
0
64.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jarred CraftSimilar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 2
50
0
64.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:3565% → 69%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
65.1%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 9 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
65.4%
Quinton Baker run for 5 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
65.2%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 5 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+7
65.6%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 7 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
65.6%
Mike White pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 6 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+16
65.8%
Quinton Baker run for 16 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
65.9%
Jahcour Pearson run for 17 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
65.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
65.9%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 6 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+5
65.7%
Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.3%
Mike White run for 4 yds for a TD, (D. Yelder Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:4932% → 35%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
68.3%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
68.1%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
68.0%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
67.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 14 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
67.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 2 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+5
67.8%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+12
67.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 12 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
67.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jarred Craft for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 21Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
67.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+5
68.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 5 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
65.3%
Jonathan Barnes 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:3966% → 77%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
65.8%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
65.6%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 6 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+7
65.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 7 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
66.5%
Marquez Trigg run for 11 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
67.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
66.8%
Mike White pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+9
66.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 9 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
67.1%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+34
67.0%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 34 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.7%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
74.1%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the LaTch 15Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+13
74.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 13 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
73.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
73.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-8
73.8%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Joel Iyiegbuniwe and DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
74.6%
Brady Farlow punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
78.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+14
77.9%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 14 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
78.4%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+1
78.4%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
77.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
77.2%
Jake Collins punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:4124% → 33%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
76.4%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+87
67.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 87 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
69.2%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
69.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+20
68.3%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 20 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
70.8%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
70.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
69.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
68.3%
Jake Collins punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 3:4633% → 35%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
67.3%
Jarred Craft run for 21 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
66.5%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
65.8%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
66.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 8 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
64.7%
Boston Scott run for 4 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-1
64.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+11
64.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 11 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
63.2%
SMITH, J'Mar rush for no gain to the WKU38 (IYIEGBUNIWE, J.), PENALTY LATECH holding off-setting, PENALTY WKU face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
64.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 14 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
63.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+1
66.4%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
68.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
63.0%
Jonathan Barnes 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
65.2%
BARNES, J. kickoff 43 yards to the WKU22, FANT, Nacarius return to the WKU33 (JACKSON, James), PENALTY LATECH offside 5 yards to the LATECH30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
66.2%
Quinton Baker run for 9 yds to the WKent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
64.4%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-1
64.6%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+11
65.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 11 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
63.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
64.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
65.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
66.3%
Brady Farlow punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:0666% → 66%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
65.7%
Quinton Baker run for 7 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+8
67.8%
Quinton Baker run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
50
-7
68.2%
Mike White sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+18
66.0%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 18 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
68.5%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+10
68.4%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 10 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
69.1%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+12
69.1%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 12 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
69.1%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-3
69.1%
Jahcour Pearson run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
68.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Marquez TriggSimilar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+30
66.1%
Ryan Nuss 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0036% → 37%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
64.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 15 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
63.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
63.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 8 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
61.3%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
60.8%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
60.3%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-1
60.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jarred Craft for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
63.0%
Brady Farlow punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:4265% → 85%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
64.6%
Quinton Baker run for 9 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+4
66.8%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
65.2%
Quinton Baker run for 6 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-5
67.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Deon Yelder) to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+25
65.4%
Mike White pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 10 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Jaylon Ferguson) to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
68.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+10
69.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 10 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
69.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+19
85.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 19 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:1317% → 16%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
81.3%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
82.2%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
83.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
84.3%
Brady Farlow punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0085% → 83%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
84.6%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
83.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
82.9%
Jake Collins punt for 38 yds, downed at the LaTch 24Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
82.8%
Mike White sacked by Jordan Bradford for 0 yards to the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3316% → 13%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
83.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnightSimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-1
83.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
86.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
86.6%
Brady Farlow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0086% → 83%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
85.6%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
85.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+6
84.9%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 6 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
86.2%
Mike White pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
86.2%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-6
85.2%
Mike White sacked by Brandon Durman for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
83.2%
Jake Collins punt for 43 yds , Teddy Veal returns for no gain to the LaTch 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 2:0613% → 44%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
87.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marlon Watts, broken up by DeAndre FarrisSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+12
87.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 12 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+25
86.6%
Jarred Craft run for 25 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
83.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+38
84.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 38 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
80.7%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to GAINES, Marcus, PENALTY WKU personal foul 8 yards to the WKU8, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
80.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnight, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
80.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 6 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.8%
Kam McKnight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4071% → 70%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
70.5%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
72.7%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
69.6%
Mike White pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 2 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
70.4%
Jake Collins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0034% → 40%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
66.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+16
66.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jarred Craft for 16 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
63.4%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
60.5%
J'Mar Smith pass intercepted Joe Brown return for no gain to the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2874% → 75%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
74.3%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
73.7%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-5
71.9%
Mike White sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
75.4%
Jake Collins punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 38 , Teddy Veal returns for no gain to the LaTch 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 1:5333% → 95%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
67.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+18
67.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 18 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
60.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 18 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
55.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+18
56.8%
Jarred Craft run for 9 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (9 yards) (Evan Sayner) to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
55.8%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
55.8%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
5.1%
Jonathan Barnes 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:02
Jonathan Barnes 21 yd FG GOOD
-53.6
TD · Q4 6:08
Kam McKnight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-24.9
TD · Q3 0:13
Jakairi Moses run for 19 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
+15.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com