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2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadBCU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreBCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFUMBLEEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:15 · Javaunie Francis punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlAtl 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+23.1Home team on offense+27.8Score differential+24.4Blowout margin+12.0Garbage-time factor+7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:53: Daniel Parr run for 9 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +0.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:57: Daniel Parr pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +1.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:06: Daniel Parr run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +4.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:55: BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Todney Evans) to the FlAtl 25 — FAU win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:15: Devin Singletary run for 19 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8BCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 9:29BCU 4th & 12 at FAU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:57BCU 4th & 6 at BCU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52BCU 4th & 11 at BCU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:19FAU 4th & 1 at BCU 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.8%−0.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:06BCU 4th & 25 at BCU 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:39FAU 4th & 7 at BCU 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:23BCU 4th & 15 at BCU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00BCU 4th & 11 at BCU 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:15BCU 4th & 5 at BCU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:42FAU 4th & 7 at BCU 28, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:42BCU 4th & 2 at BCU 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:12FAU 4th & 2 at BCU 44, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 6 at BCU 37, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:14BCU 4th & 18 at BCU 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:04FAU 4th & 4 at BCU 35, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:02BCU 4th & 2 at BCU 43, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:56FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 32, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:59BCU 4th & 1 at BCU 34, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:53FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:57FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:06FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:15FAU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:29FAU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 81 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+22
92.6%
Daniel Parr pass complete to DeAndre McNeal for 22 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
92.6%
Kamrin Solomon run for 12 yds to the BthCk 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
92.6%
Daniel Parr run for 8 yds to the BthCk 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+15
92.6%
Devin Singletary run for 15 yds to the BthCk 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
92.6%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 8 yds to the BthCk 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+14
92.6%
Devin Singletary run for 14 yds Devin Singletary fumbled, forced by Diquan Richardson, recovered by BthCk Trenton BridgesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:568% → 9%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
92.2%
Michael Jones run for 4 yds to the BthCk 24Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
92.2%
Michael Jones run for 2 yds to the BthCk 26Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+7
92.2%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Frank Brown for 7 yds to the BthCk 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
92.2%
Michael Jones run for 2 yds to the BthCk 35Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+26
92.2%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Ja-Quan Lumas for 26 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
92.1%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Ja-Quan Lumas for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
92.1%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Jawill Davis, broken up by Andrew SorohSimilar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 11
OPP 40
-1
92.2%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Michael Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
91.1%
Javaunie Francis punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 2:2991% → 92%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
91.1%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
91.1%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-5
91.0%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Roman Fernandez) to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+21
91.0%
Daniel Parr run for 21 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
91.1%
Daniel Parr sacked by Trenton Bridges for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+32
91.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 32 yds to the BthCk 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
91.3%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the BthCk 34Similar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 5
OPP 34
0
91.4%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
91.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the BthCk 30Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+21
91.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 21 yds to the BthCk 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
91.6%
Daniel Parr run for 9 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:5691% → 93%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+28
91.3%
Daniel Parr pass complete to DeAndre McNeal for 28 yds to the BthCk 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
91.6%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Devin Singletary for 8 yds to the BthCk 36Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
91.6%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the BthCk 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
91.6%
Daniel Parr pass complete to DeAndre McNeal for 7 yds to the BthCk 26Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+7
91.6%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the BthCk 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
91.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the BthCk 15Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
91.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the BthCk 12Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+7
91.5%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 7 yds to the BthCk 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.6%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for no gain to the BthCk 25Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.1%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Anthony Cruz for 9 yds to the BthCk 34Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
91.9%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 2 yds to the BthCk 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.9%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Anthony Cruz, broken up by Chris TooleySimilar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
92.0%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Keavon MitchellSimilar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+4
92.1%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Anthony Cruz for 4 yds to the BthCk 40Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
92.0%
Javaunie Francis punt for 33 yds, downed at the FlAtl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3792% → 92%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
92.1%
John Franklin III run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
92.4%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 8 yds to the FLAATLANTC 47 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 12
OWN 43
-5
92.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Roman Fernandez) to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 17
OWN 38
-15
92.3%
PARR, Daniel pass complete to INTERNICOLA, Ni for 17 yards to the BCU45, PENALTY FAU face mask (BAIN, Reggie) 15 yards to the FAU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 32
OWN 23
0
92.1%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 32
OWN 23
+8
92.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 24
OWN 31
+18
91.9%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 18 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
92.0%
Ryan Rickel punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Frank Brown at the BthCk 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
91.6%
Tupac Isme run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 21Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
91.7%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Keavon Mitchell for no gain to the BthCk 21Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
91.8%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Tupac IsmeSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
91.8%
Javaunie Francis punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
15 plays · 64 yds · 4:1392% → 96%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.1%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Willie Wright, broken up by Joseph JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+19
92.0%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Devin Singletary for 19 yds to the BthCk 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
92.4%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the BthCk 40Similar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+11
92.4%
Devin Singletary run for 11 yds to the BthCk 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
92.4%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 3 yds to the BthCk 26Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+8
92.4%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the BthCk 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
92.4%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Devin Singletary for a loss of 5 yards to the BthCk 23Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+2
92.4%
Daniel Parr run for 2 yds to the BthCk 21Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 13
OPP 21
+12
92.2%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 12 yds to the BthCk 9Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+4
92.1%
Daniel Parr run for 4 yds to the BthCk 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.4%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
92.3%
PARR, Daniel pass complete to McNEAL, DeAndre for 5 yards to the BCU0, clock 09:51, PENALTY FAU pass interference (McNEAL, DeAndre) 15 yards to the BCU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+12
92.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the BthCk 16 for a 1ST down BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, face mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the BthCk 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
92.3%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the BthCk 2Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.3%
Daniel Parr run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.3%
Michael Jones run for 4 yds to the BthCk 29Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
95.2%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 14 yds to the BthCk 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
95.1%
Larry Brihm Jr. sacked by William Davis for a loss of 10 yards to the BthCk 33Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 20
OWN 33
0
95.4%
Jabari Dunham pass incomplete to Ja-Quan LumasSimilar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 20
OWN 33
0
95.5%
Jabari Dunham pass incomplete to Jawill DavisSimilar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 20
OWN 33
-5
95.5%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BthCk 28Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 25
OWN 28
0
95.5%
Javaunie Francis punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
96.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 12 yds to the BthCk 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.6%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to John Franklin IIISimilar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
96.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the BthCk 43Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
96.4%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
96.2%
Ryan Rickel punt for 24 yds, downed at the BthCk 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
95.5%
Michael Jones run for no gain to the BthCk 19Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
95.6%
Michael Jones run for 8 yds to the BthCk 27Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+13
95.3%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Ja-Quan Lumas for 13 yds to the BthCk 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
95.2%
Michael Jones run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
95.0%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Frank BrownSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
95.2%
Anthony Cruz run for no gain to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-5
95.3%
Larry Brihm Jr. sacked by Ernest Bagner and Haiden Nagel for a loss of 5 yards to the BthCk 47Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
95.6%
Javaunie Francis punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.0%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Todney Evans) to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 5
OWN 25
-10
97.1%
PARR, Daniel pass complete to SOLOMON, Kamrin for 20 yards to the FAU45 (D. Richardson), PENALTY FAU holding (BAIN, Reggie) 10 yards to the FAU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+13
97.1%
Devin Singletary run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
97.1%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.1%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Willie Wright, broken up by Diquan RichardsonSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+15
97.1%
PARR, Daniel pass incomplete to FRANKLIN, John, PENALTY BCU personal foul (D. Richardson) 15 yards to the FAU46, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
97.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 14 yds to the BthCk 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.3%
Daniel Parr pass intercepted Diquan Richardson return for no gain to the BthCk 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
96.2%
Anthony Cruz run for 3 yds to the BthCk 13Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
96.3%
Anthony Cruz pass incomplete, broken up by Shelton LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
96.5%
Michael Jones run for 7 yds to the BthCk 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+5
96.3%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for 5 yds to the BthCk 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
96.5%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
96.5%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Jamaruz ThompkinsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
96.6%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Frank Brown, broken up by Richard WilliamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
96.6%
Javaunie Francis punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Henry Bussey III at the FlAtl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:5997% → 100%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
97.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 12 yds to the BthCk 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.5%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to DeAndre McNealSimilar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+23
97.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 23 yds to the BthCk 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
97.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the BthCk 27Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+8
97.4%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the BthCk 19Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
99.5%
Devin Singletary run for 19 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Michael Jones run for 4 yds to the BthCk 29Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.3%
Michael Jones run for 1 yd to the BthCk 30Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Keavon Mitchell, broken up by Andrew SorohSimilar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Javaunie Francis punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlAtl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
99.5%
Daniel Parr pass complete to John Franklin III for 12 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 4
50
+6
99.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 6 yds to the BthCk 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
99.5%
Daniel Parr pass complete to DeAndre McNeal for 13 yds to the BthCk 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the BthCk 27Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+1
99.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the BthCk 26Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 5
OPP 26
-2
99.5%
Daniel Parr sacked by Trenton Bridges for a loss of 2 yards to the BthCk 28Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+46
99.7%
Greg Joseph 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Tupac Isme run for no gain to the BthCk 25Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Jawill DavisSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 8 yds to the BthCk 33Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Javaunie Francis punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.7%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (DeAndre Bozeman) to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+60
99.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 60 yds to the BthCk 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the BthCk 1Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 20INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Michael Jones run for 4 yds to the BthCk 29Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-6
99.7%
Larry Brihm Jr. sacked by Quran Hafiz and Kevin McCrary for a loss of 6 yards to the BthCk 23Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass intercepted Chris Tooley return for no gain to the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:12100% → 100%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+13
99.8%
Jason Driskel run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, Defensive offside (DiShawn Ray) to the BthCk 47Similar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 5
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the BthCk 47Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the BthCk 44Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the BthCk 44Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+3
99.8%
Marcus Clark run for 3 yds to the BthCk 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-9
99.8%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 47 Jason Driskel fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Jason DriskelSimilar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 22
OWN 47
+2
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Marcus Clark for 2 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 49
+14
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 14 yds to the BthCk 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.9%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Que'Shaun Byrd for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 36Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for 3 yds to the BthCk 39Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, false start (Dwayne Brown) to the BthCk 34Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
Larry Brihm Jr. sacked by Nick Internicola for a loss of 5 yards to the BthCk 29Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 18
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Javaunie Francis punt for 25 yds, downed at the FlAtl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to John Franklin III for no gain to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-2
99.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+15
99.9%
DRISKEL, Jason pass incomplete to INTERNICOLA, Ni, PENALTY BCU pass interference (DeAndre Bozeman) 15 yards to the BCU41, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the BthCk 39Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the BthCk 34Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-1
99.9%
Marcus Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 35Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry Bussey III, broken up by Davonte LawrenceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Tupac Isme run for 7 yds to the BthCk 42Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Tupac Isme run for 1 yd to the BthCk 43Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Tupac Isme run for no gain to the BthCk 43Similar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+48
99.9%
Javaunie Francis punt for 40 yds , Henry Bussey III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 42 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (Zyon Gilbert) to the FlAtl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+24
99.9%
Jason Driskel run for 24 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Ladante Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Gerald Hearns run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-4
99.9%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Ryan Rickel punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BthCk 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 26FUMBLE TD
1 play · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
100.0%
Tupac Isme run for 1 yd Tupac Isme fumbled, forced by Quran Hafiz, recovered by FlAtl Chris Tooley , return for 14 yds, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jabari Dunham run for no gain to the BthCk 25Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for 2 yds to the BthCk 27Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
100.0%
Jabari Dunham run for 7 yds to the BthCk 34Similar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Javaunie Francis punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Henry Bussey III at the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Gerald Hearns run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Gerald Hearns run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Gerald Hearns run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:06
Daniel Parr run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+4
TD · Q3 11:15
Devin Singletary run for 19 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+2.1
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:55
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Todney Evans) to the FlAtl 25
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com