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NCAT

North Carolina A&T 35 at Charlotte 31

CLT
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadNCAT aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreNCAT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:14 · James Mackey punt for 45 yds , Nate Mullen returns for 18 yds to the CHARLOTTE 47 CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Charl 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+23.0Home team on offense−7.1Score differential−4.1Garbage-time factor−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:33: Marquell Cartwright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — NCAT win probability +18.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: NCAT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:00: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 29 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley KICK) — CLT win probability +14.2 pts (now 35%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:12: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 4 yds for a TD, (Hasaan Klugh pass to Chris Montgomery for Two-Point Conversion) — CLT win probability +28.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 0:24: Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted for a TD Franklin McCain III return for 74 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — NCAT win probability +33.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:08: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 44 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley PAT MISSED) — CLT win probability +19.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8NCAT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 7:50CLT 4th & 26 at CLT 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:25CLT 4th & 14 at CLT 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:11NCAT 4th & 12 at NCAT 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:14CLT 4th & 6 at NCAT 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:14NCAT 4th & 10 at NCAT 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:58CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:36NCAT 4th & 3 at NCAT 19, up 11
    Close callPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:05CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 19 at CLT 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−3.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:06NCAT 4th & 5 at NCAT 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:33NCAT 4th & 1 at CLT 1, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−3.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−13.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:33CLT 4th & 3 at NCAT 5, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    29.4%−1.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−9.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:45NCAT 4th & 11 at NCAT 40, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−2.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00NCAT 4th & 6 at CLT 42, up 11
    Close callPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    71.3%−1.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:34NCAT 4th & 9 at CLT 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:24CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.0%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.8%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NCAT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:26CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:50NCAT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:31NCAT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:25NCAT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:33NCAT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00CLT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:12CLT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:24NCAT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:08CLT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    13.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−5.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:2684% → 84%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
83.9%
WASHINGTON, R. rush for no gain to the NCAT12 (JOHNSON,Darryl;REYNOLDS,Julius), PENALTY CHA holding (BROWN, Chris) 10 yards to the NCAT22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+4
83.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the NCAT 18Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 16
OPP 18
+4
83.9%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the NCAT 14Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 12
OPP 14
+14
83.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 14 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 2TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:3616% → 19%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
83.8%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Jamari Smith for 8 yds to the NCAT 18Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+1
83.8%
Marquell Cartwright run for 1 yd to the NCAT 19Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
83.8%
Marquell Cartwright run for 2 yds to the NCAT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
83.8%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Elijah Bell for 10 yds to the NCAT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
83.8%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Khris Gardin for 21 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
83.7%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Jaquil Capel for 5 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+5
83.7%
Jaquil Capel run for 5 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
83.7%
Jamari Smith run for 6 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+7
83.6%
Marquell Cartwright run for 7 yds to the Charl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
83.6%
Lamar Raynard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
83.7%
Jaquil Capel run for 8 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+17
81.3%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Malik Wilson for 17 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
81.8%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+16
81.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 16 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
82.1%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Sam Blue for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 16
OWN 37
0
81.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for no gain to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 16
OWN 37
-5
81.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Wolfgang Zacherl) to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 21
OWN 32
-5
81.5%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Justin Cates for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 26
OWN 27
0
81.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Khris Gardin at the NCAT 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 4TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:1020% → 24%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+67
80.5%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Malik Wilson for 67 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
79.6%
Jaquil Capel run for 3 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 1
OPP 0
0
79.6%
NC A&T Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Charl 1Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.2%
Jaquil Capel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+24
78.7%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Darryl Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the NCAT 19 Hasaan Klugh fumbled, recovered by NCAT Deion Jones , return for 0 yards , return for 9 yds to the NCAT 19 NC A&T Penalty, personal foul (Deion Jones) to the NCAT 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 6TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 3:2823% → 32%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
76.7%
Marquell Cartwright run for 2 yds to the NCAT 21Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+7
76.7%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Khris Gardin for 7 yds to the NCAT 28Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+4
76.5%
Marquell Cartwright run for 4 yds to the NCAT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
76.4%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Elijah Bell for 11 yds to the NCAT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
76.0%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Jamari SmithSimilar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
76.1%
Jamari Smith run for 3 yds to the NCAT 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+45
73.6%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Jamari Smith for 45 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
68.2%
Marquell Cartwright run for 9 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
70.0%
Robert Washington run for 18 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
70.5%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Justin Cates and Darryl Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
70.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
69.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q2 14:25
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
69.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Khris Gardin at the NCAT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
67.2%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Malik WilsonSimilar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
67.3%
Marquell Cartwright run for 3 yds to the NCAT 24Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
67.4%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Elijah Bell, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 7
OWN 24
-5
67.8%
NC A&T Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 19Similar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 12
OWN 19
-2
67.9%
James Mackey punt for 38 yds , Nate Mullen returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:5067% → 65%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
67.2%
Benny LeMay run for 12 yds to the NCAT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
67.5%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the NCAT 47Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
67.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 8 yds to the NCAT 39Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+11
67.5%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the NCAT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
68.0%
Benny LeMay run for 10 yds to the NCAT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
68.0%
Robert Washington run for 7 yds to the NCAT 11Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+4
68.0%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the NCAT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
68.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
62.7%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the NCAT 6Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
62.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+22
64.6%
Nigel Macauley 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
65.3%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Trey Scott for 15 yds to the NCAT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
64.8%
Jaquil Capel run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCAT 29Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+4
65.6%
Marquell Cartwright run for 4 yds to the NCAT 33Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-6
65.9%
Lamar Raynard sacked by Zach Duncan for a loss of 6 yards to the NCAT 35 Lamar Raynard fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+18
66.1%
James Mackey punt for 45 yds , Nate Mullen returns for 18 yds to the CHARLOTTE 47 CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
60.7%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to BOSTICK, Trent, PENALTY NCAT pass interference (ABRAM,Timadre) 15 yards to the CHA38, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
61.7%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Marcus Albert for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 35Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+8
60.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
61.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
60.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 45 yds, downed at the NCAT 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3840% → 42%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
59.9%
Marquell Cartwright run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 11Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+6
60.1%
Jamari Smith run for 6 yds to the NCAT 17Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+2
60.6%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Khris Gardin for 2 yds to the NCAT 19Similar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 3
OWN 19
+3
57.8%
James Mackey punt for 46 yds , Nate Mullen returns for 3 yds to the Charl 22 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:1955% → 54%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
55.2%
Robert Washington run for 9 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-5
56.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Nate Davis) to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-9
55.4%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Justin Cates for a loss of 9 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+7
54.2%
Robert Washington run for 7 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
53.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCAT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 15MISSED FG
5 plays · 54 yds · 0:5648% → 54%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
52.4%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Jamari Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 30Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+18
53.0%
Lamar Raynard run for 18 yds to the NCAT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+38
51.3%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Elijah Bell for 38 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+31
46.5%
Noel Ruiz 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+31
52.4%
Benny LeMay run for 31 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
54.3%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
53.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford II, broken up by Timadre AbramSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-8
52.5%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Justin Cates and Jermaine Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 31
0
51.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCAT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
50.7%
Jamari Smith run for 1 yd to the NCAT 22Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
50.7%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Leroy HillSimilar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+4
51.6%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Marquell Cartwright for 4 yds to the NCAT 26Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
51.9%
James Mackey punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18INT
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
48.8%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 12
OWN 28
-10
48.3%
WASHINGTON, R. rush for 6 yards to the CHA34 (ECHOLS,Turner), PENALTY CHA holding (ZACHERL, W.) 10 yards to the CHA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 22
OWN 18
+22
48.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted Franklin McCain III return for 22 yds to the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 19TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:0757% → 74%
Q3 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
43.5%
Marquell Cartwright run for 2 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
43.5%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Elijah BellSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
44.0%
Marquell Cartwright run for 7 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.6%
Marquell Cartwright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 68 yds · 0:0029% → 32%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
29.2%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+10
29.3%
Benny LeMay run for 10 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
30.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 26 yds to the NCAT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
32.4%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the NCAT 30Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
32.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 3 yds to the NCAT 27Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+5
32.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the NCAT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
32.7%
Benny LeMay run for 10 yds to the NCAT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
32.7%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the NCAT 10Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
32.7%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the NCAT 10Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+5
32.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the NCAT 5Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 3
OPP 5
-1
31.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Robert Washington for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 1:2882% → 85%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
18.2%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Ron Hunt for 9 yds to the NCAT 15Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+14
18.3%
Marquell Cartwright run for 14 yds to the NCAT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
18.1%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Elijah BellSimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
14.5%
Lamar Raynard run for 8 yds to the NCAT 37Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+4
14.4%
Jaquil Capel run for 4 yds to the NCAT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
13.8%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Jamari SmithSimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
13.9%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Elijah BellSimilar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-1
14.0%
Lamar Raynard sacked by Zach Duncan for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 40Similar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
14.9%
James Mackey punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:2417% → 35%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
16.8%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+11
17.6%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the NCAT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
18.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 13 yds to the NCAT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
20.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 3 yds to the NCAT 29Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
20.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+29
34.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 29 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
28.8%
Lamar Raynard run for 9 yds to the NCAT 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
27.4%
Lamar Raynard run for 3 yds to the NCAT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
27.4%
Marquell Cartwright run for 2 yds to the NCAT 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+10
27.1%
Lamar Raynard run for 10 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
26.7%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Jamari Smith for 2 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+1
26.7%
Jaquil Capel run for 1 yd to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+1
27.0%
Marquell Cartwright run for 1 yd to the Charl 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
29.1%
Garrett Nestor punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 4:1519% → 51%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
18.9%
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+2
19.6%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
19.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 24 yds to the Charl 46 Hasaan Klugh fumbled, forced by Tard McCoy, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
21.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+21
20.5%
Benny LeMay run for 21 yds to the NCAT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
24.8%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the NCAT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
25.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
24.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for no gain to the NCAT 22Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+11
22.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 11 yds to the NCAT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
22.6%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the NCAT 7Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+3
22.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the NCAT 4Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
51.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 4 yds for a TD, (Hasaan Klugh pass to Chris Montgomery for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:3864% → 77%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
36.1%
Lamar Raynard run for 12 yds to the NCAT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
33.4%
Marquell Cartwright run for 6 yds to the NCAT 44Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
32.5%
Marquell Cartwright run for 2 yds to the NCAT 46Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
32.7%
Kylil Carter run for 5 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
30.9%
Kylil Carter run for 1 yd to the Charl 48Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
31.3%
Lamar Raynard run for no gain to the Charl 48Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
20.5%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Elijah BellSimilar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
23.5%
Garrett Nestor punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26INT TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 2:0034% → 7%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
34.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
33.4%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 16Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+15
32.2%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to FORD II, T.L., PENALTY NCAT pass interference (ABRAM,Timadre) 15 yards to the CHA31, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
35.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
35.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
32.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Uriah LeMay, broken up by Justin PhilipSimilar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+15
31.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 15 yds to the Charl 43 Hasaan Klugh fumbled, forced by Darryl Johnson, recovered by Charl Uriah LeMay for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
38.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
36.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 13 yds to the NCAT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
41.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 12 yds to the NCAT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+74
7.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted for a TD Franklin McCain III return for 74 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 27TD
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
23.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 44 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
5.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:24
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted for a TD Franklin McCain III return for 74 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)
-33.9
TD · Q4 6:12
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 4 yds for a TD, (Hasaan Klugh pass to Chris Montgomery for Two-Point Conversion)
+28.9
TD · Q4 0:08
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 44 yds for a TD, (Nigel Macauley PAT MISSED)
+19.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com