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UAB

UAB 31 at Ball State 51

BALL
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+4.7BALL 91.9%Morgan Hagee 47 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 31 · Q3 2:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:52 · Morgan Hagee 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Pregame prior+10.5Home team on offense+19.6Score differential+8.3Garbage-time factor+6.7Blowout margin−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:44: A.J. Erdely run for 18 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +8.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:05: Caleb Huntley run for 52 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +6.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:36: James Gilbert run for 1 yd for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +10.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:42: A.J. Erdely run for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +12.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:30: Nick Vogel kickoff for 58 yds , Malik Dunner return for 93 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +15.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:25UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:21BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:45UAB 4th & 27 at BALL 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:59BALL 4th & 3 at UAB 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−0.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:31BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 48, up 4
    Close callPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:57UAB 4th & 4 at BALL 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    24.4%−0.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:52BALL 4th & 5 at UAB 30, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:21UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 26, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:02BALL 4th & 10 at UAB 13, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:30BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:16BALL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:06UAB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:44UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:05BALL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:36BALL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:42UAB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:30BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:26BALL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:26BALL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:47UAB Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:3082% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
82.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Antwan Davis for 10 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
82.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Malik Dunner for 6 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
82.2%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
82.2%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+9
82.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
81.8%
Riley Neal run for 5 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+4
81.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
81.8%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
81.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Nolan Givan for 2 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
81.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Nolan GivanSimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+11
81.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 11 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
82.5%
Malik Dunner run for 8 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
81.9%
James Noble III run for 8 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-1
81.7%
Jonathan Haden run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-6
81.7%
ERDELY, A.J. pass complete to NOBLE III, J. for 7 yards to the UAB47 (WHITE, Jacob), PENALTY UAB illegal formation (WILSON, A.) 6 yards to the UAB34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
82.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete, broken up by Damon SingletonSimilar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+13
82.1%
Joel Dixon punt for 56 yds , Corey Lacanaria returns for 13 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
82.1%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
82.1%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
81.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Danny PinterSimilar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
81.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4FG
17 plays · 35 yds · 5:3618% → 20%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
81.7%
Carlos Stephens run for 1 yd to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+4
81.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jonathan Haden for 4 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+5
81.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Carlos Stephens for 5 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
81.4%
Carlos Stephens run for 4 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
81.3%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Lucious Stanley UAB Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
81.4%
A.J. Erdely run for 8 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
81.3%
James Noble III run for 7 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-10
81.1%
ERDELY, A.J. rush for 5 yards to the BALL29, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UAB holding (JOHNSON, M.) 10 yards to the BALL44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+11
81.5%
Jonathan Haden run for 11 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
81.3%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
81.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 9 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+10
81.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 10 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
81.1%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 16Similar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 15
OPP 16
0
81.1%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+2
81.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jonathan Haden for 2 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 13
OPP 14
-14
81.6%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Kevin Willis for a loss of 14 yards to the BalSt 28Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 27
OPP 28
+45
80.3%
Nick Vogel 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:2980% → 85%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.7%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
79.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 11 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
80.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Antwan Davis for 7 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-1
80.4%
Riley Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
79.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 5 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
80.1%
Justin Hall run for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+8
79.5%
Riley Neal run for 8 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+11
79.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Antwan Davis for 11 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
80.3%
Malik Dunner run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+3
80.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 3 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+10
80.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 10 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
80.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+1
80.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
85.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Danny Pinter for 15 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 2:0416% → 23%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
83.8%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+21
83.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Logan Scott for 21 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
83.3%
Jonathan Haden run for 3 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
83.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 6 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
82.9%
BALL ST Penalty, offside defense (John Swisher) to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
82.6%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
82.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Sederian Copeland for 2 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+41
77.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
78.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Malik Dunner for 1 yd to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
78.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Antwan Davis, broken up by D.A. WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+25
77.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 25 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
79.9%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 13
50
+10
79.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
79.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to James GilbertSimilar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
79.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey Lacanaria, broken up by Garrison MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:0823% → 33%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier Ubosi, broken up by Antonio PhillipsSimilar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+43
77.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Sederian Copeland for 43 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
75.5%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 18Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+18
66.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 18 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:3371% → 79%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
70.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Danny Pinter for 1 yd to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
70.5%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+17
69.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 17 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
72.2%
Malik Dunner run for 3 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+52
78.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 52 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:0022% → 25%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+27
76.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jonathan Haden for 27 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
75.3%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Anthony Winbush for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 44 A.J. Erdely fumbled, recovered by BalSt Reggie McGee , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:1079% → 77%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
78.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete, broken up by Shaq JonesSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
78.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
78.2%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
77.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:1020% → 21%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
80.0%
James Noble III run for 3 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+2
80.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 2 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 5
OWN 7
+9
80.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 9 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
79.0%
James Noble III run for 11 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 58 yds · 0:0024% → 26%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
76.1%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+18
75.8%
Spencer Brown run for 18 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
75.1%
Jonathan Haden run for 13 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
73.8%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+12
73.3%
Spencer Brown run for 12 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
72.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
72.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 6 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
72.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q3 14:57
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
74.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Jonathan HadenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:3475% → 87%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
75.3%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 36Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+20
75.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 20 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
77.6%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
77.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+13
76.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 13 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
78.2%
UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordan Petty) to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
78.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
78.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+5
77.2%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.3%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
85.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 13 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+37
84.9%
Spencer Brown run for 37 yds to the BALLST 27 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
82.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 9 yds to the BalSt 18Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 1
OPP 18
-9
82.5%
BROWN, S. rush for 15 yards to the BALL3 (JACKSON, J.), PENALTY UAB holding (POWERS, J.) 9 yards to the BALL27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
82.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier Ubosi, broken up by Romero WadeSimilar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-14
83.9%
A.J. Erdely sacked by David Moore and Anthony Winbush for a loss of 14 yards to the BalSt 41Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 24
OPP 0
0
85.7%
PENALTY BALL unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY UAB unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 24
OPP 41
-15
86.0%
UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 39
OWN 44
+42
86.5%
Joel Dixon punt for 43 yds , Corey Lacanaria returns for 42 yds to the BALLST 14 BALL ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BalSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3088% → 92%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
87.5%
Malik Dunner run for 9 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
87.6%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
86.9%
Riley Neal run for 4 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
87.7%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+10
87.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Keidren Davis for 10 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
87.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
87.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
87.2%
Riley Neal run for no gain to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
91.9%
Morgan Hagee 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:0210% → 24%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
89.7%
Jonathan Haden run for 1 yd to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+13
89.9%
Spencer Brown run for 13 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
89.3%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the BalSt 40Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+15
89.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 15 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
88.3%
Jonathan Haden run for 17 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
75.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:259% → 8%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
91.3%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
90.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+3
91.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 3 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-1
91.8%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20TD
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:0095% → 99%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
94.7%
James Gilbert run for 7 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+5
94.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-7
94.7%
Justin Hall run for 3 yds to the UAB 19 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Nolan Givan) to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 17
OPP 29
+1
94.7%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+4
94.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Nolan Givan for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+9
94.5%
NEAL, Riley pass complete to LACANARIA, C. for 3 yards to the UAB21 (JONES, N), PENALTY UAB holding (ARNOLD, L.) 9 yards to the UAB15, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
94.7%
Riley Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+5
94.7%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+6
94.6%
NEAL, Riley pass incomplete to GIVAN, Nolan (DIGGS, M.), PENALTY UAB roughing passer (CREWS, T.) 6 yards to the UAB5, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
96.6%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:5499% → 100%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.2%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.2%
Justin Hall run for 6 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 12 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 8 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 2
OWN 30
-4
99.9%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 26 A.J. Erdely fumbled, forced by Anthony Winbush,Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
99.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Joel Dixon punt blocked by David Moore blocked by David MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Caleb HuntleySimilar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 5
OPP 8
-5
99.9%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 13Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
99.9%
Morgan Hagee 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:150% → 1%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
99.9%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
99.9%
Spencer Brown run for 28 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Jonathan Haden run for 3 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+14
99.9%
Lucious Stanley run for 14 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
99.9%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 10 Lucious Stanley fumbled, recovered by UAB Lucious StanleySimilar
Q4 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.9%
Donnie Lee run for 3 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.4%
Sederian Copeland run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 21 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BalSt Jack MilasSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 19Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:30
Nick Vogel kickoff for 58 yds , Malik Dunner return for 93 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q3 0:42
A.J. Erdely run for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q3 8:36
James Gilbert run for 1 yd for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)
+10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com