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SOU

Southern 0 at Southern Miss 45

USM
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadSOU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreSOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLETDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:39 · Ito Smith run for no gain to the Sthrn 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Pregame prior+34.0Home team on offense+25.6Score differential+16.7Blowout margin+6.2Garbage-time factor+7.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.7
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 12:34: Herbert Edwards run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 14 — SOU win probability +0.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:54: Ito Smith run for 27 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +0.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 5:47: Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 3:22: T'Rod Daniels run for 49 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:53: Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Quez Watkins for 26 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6SOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00USM 4th & 3 at USM 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58SOU 4th & 15 at SOU 2, tied
    Close callWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:49SOU 4th & 13 at SOU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:40SOU 4th & 9 at SOU 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:15SOU 4th & 9 at SOU 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:50SOU 4th & 14 at SOU 7, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:55USM 4th & 5 at SOU 7, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:45SOU 4th & 10 at SOU 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:53SOU 4th & 18 at SOU 17, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:39USM 4th & 1 at SOU 31, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:37SOU 4th & 10 at USM 46, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:26USM 4th & 24 at USM 38, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:57SOU 4th & 11 at SOU 47, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00USM 4th & 11 at SOU 11, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00SOU 4th & 5 at USM 40, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:41SOU 4th & 7 at USM 34, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:33USM 4th & 15 at midfield, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:54USM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:47USM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:22USM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:53USM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:37USM Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
96.8%
Ito Smith run for 11 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
96.8%
Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-1
96.8%
Ito Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+4
96.8%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Ito Smith for 4 yds to the SoMis 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Zac Everett punt for 45 yds, downed at the Sthrn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 2FUMBLE TD
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:364% → 4%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
96.4%
Herbert Edwards run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 14Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 3
OWN 14
0
96.4%
Glendon McDaniel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 3
OWN 14
-12
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the Sthrn 2Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 15
OWN 2
0
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by SoMis Xavier Thigpen for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
96.3%
Herbert Edwards run for a loss of 4 yards to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+1
96.3%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Herbert Edwards for 1 yd to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 13
OWN 31
0
96.3%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Jamar WashingtonSimilar
Q1 10:49
4TH & 13
OWN 31
+4
96.3%
Austin Summerbell punt for 42 yds , Allenzae Staggers returns for 4 yds to the SoMis 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:1996% → 97%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
96.1%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 10 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.2%
T'Rod Daniels run for no gain to the SoMis 41Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
96.1%
Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+29
96.1%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Jay'Shawn Washington for 14 yds to the SOUMISS 43 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Austin Summerbell) to the Sthrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
96.2%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Korey Robertson for 1 yd to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+27
96.5%
Ito Smith run for 27 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
96.3%
Glendon McDaniel pass intercepted Tarvarius Moore return for no gain to the Sthrn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:5597% → 97%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
96.5%
GRIGGS, Kwadra play action pass incomplete to ROBERTSON, K., PENALTY USM holding 10 yards to the SU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 20
OPP 22
0
96.5%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) to the Sthrn 22Similar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+2
96.5%
Kwadra Griggs run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 20Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 18
OPP 20
+20
97.0%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
96.9%
Devon Benn run for no gain to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-7
96.9%
Glendon McDaniel sacked by Xavier Thigpen for a loss of 7 yards to the Sthrn 22 Glendon McDaniel fumbled, recovered by Sthrn Glendon McDaniel , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 17
OWN 22
+8
96.9%
John Lampley run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+25
96.9%
Austin Summerbell punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Allenzae Staggers returns for 25 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:3197% → 98%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
50
+1
97.0%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 1 yd to the Sthrn 49Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+49
98.0%
T'Rod Daniels run for 49 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
98.1%
Jarmarqueza Mims run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 17Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
98.1%
Glendon McDaniel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
98.1%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Devon Benn, broken up by Racheem BootheSimilar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
98.1%
Austin Summerbell punt for 64 yds, downed at the SoMis 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10FUMBLE
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:0998% → 98%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
98.1%
Ito Smith run for 1 yd to the SoMis 20Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+16
98.1%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Korey Robertson for 16 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.1%
Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Allenzae StaggersSimilar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+26
98.1%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 26 yds to the Sthrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
98.1%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Korey Robertson for 9 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+16
98.0%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Julian Allen for 16 yds to the Sthrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
98.1%
Ito Smith run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
98.5%
Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+5
98.5%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 5 yds to the Sthrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-8
98.4%
Kwadra Griggs sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Sthrn 11 Kwadra Griggs fumbled, recovered by Sthrn Elijah Allen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:002% → 1%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
98.5%
Jarmarqueza Mims run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 12Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-5
98.5%
Glendon McDaniel sacked by Jacques Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the Sthrn 7Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 14
OWN 7
-4
98.6%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Sthrn 3Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 18
OWN 3
+4
98.8%
Glendon McDaniel run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 7Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 14
OWN 7
0
98.8%
Austin Summerbell punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.8%
Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 22Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-2
98.8%
Ito Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 24Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+12
98.8%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 12 yds to the Sthrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
98.8%
SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal participation (5 Yards) to the Sthrn 7Similar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 5
OPP 7
0
98.8%
Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
98.8%
Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete, broken up by Austin HowardSimilar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
98.8%
Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Ito Smith, broken up by Kaycee NtukogoSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+29
98.8%
Parker Shaunfield 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:101% → 1%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
98.8%
Herbert Edwards run for 13 yds to the Sthrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.8%
Glendon McDaniel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+10
98.8%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Jamar Washington for 10 yds to the Sthrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.8%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Dontrell Brown for no gain to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
98.8%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete, broken up by Tarvarius MooreSimilar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Dontrell BrownSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Austin Summerbell punt for 35 yds, downed at the SoMis 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
99.0%
Ito Smith run for 10 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
99.0%
Ito Smith run for 7 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+35
99.0%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Chase Whitehead for 35 yds to the Sthrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.3%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Quez Watkins for 26 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Cameron Mackey for 4 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-14
99.5%
G. McDaniel sideline pass complete to C. Mackey for 3 yards to the SU32 (FAILS, Jr., A.), PENALTY SU personal foul 14 yards to the SU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+4
99.5%
Herbert Edwards run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 19Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-2
99.5%
Glendon McDaniel sacked by Racheem Boothe and Jacques Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 17Similar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Austin Summerbell punt for 23 yds, downed at the Sthrn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.4%
T'Rod Daniels run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 36Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
99.4%
T'Rod Daniels run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
99.4%
T'Rod Daniels run for no gain to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
99.4%
Ito Smith run for no gain to the Sthrn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.6%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Dillon Beard for 7 yds to the Sthrn 38Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+3
99.6%
Jarmarqueza Mims run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.6%
Jarmarqueza Mims run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 42Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+2
99.6%
Jarmarqueza Mims run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 18INT TD
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:231% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Randall MenardSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Dontrell BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.5%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Skyler Prol) to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q3 14:37
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+46
99.6%
Glendon McDaniel pass intercepted for a TD Cornell Armstrong return for 46 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.5%
Devon Benn run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+21
99.6%
Darquez Lee pass complete to Dillon Beard for 21 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Dennis CraigSimilar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Devon Benn run for no gain to the SoMis 46Similar
Q3 14:37
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Jamar Washington, broken up by Kevin Williams Jr.Similar
Q3 14:37
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Taylor Merritt punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Allenzae Staggers at the SoMis 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20PUNT
15 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.7%
Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Korey Robertson, broken up by Montavius GainesSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
99.7%
Ito Smith run for 1 yd to the SoMis 9Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+14
99.7%
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Ito Smith for 14 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Korey Robertson, broken up by Jamar MitchellSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Ito Smith run for no gain to the SoMis 23Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+15
99.7%
GRIGGS, Kwadra play action pass incomplete to STAGGERS, A., PENALTY SU personal foul (E. Allen) 15 yards to the USM38, 1ST DOWN USM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.7%
Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Quez WatkinsSimilar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
99.7%
Kwadra Griggs run for 5 yds to the SoMis 47Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal participation (5 Yards) to the Sthrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
99.7%
SMITH, Ito rush up middle for 6 yards to the SU42 (J. Davis), PENALTY USM holding 10 yards to the USM42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 20
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Kwadra Griggs pass incomplete to Allenzae StaggersSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+3
99.7%
Ito Smith run for 3 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 17
OWN 45
-7
99.7%
Kwadra Griggs sacked by Aaron Tiller for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 38Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 24
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Zac Everett punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Jarmarqueza Mims run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+22
99.9%
Darquez Lee pass complete to Jamar Washington for 22 yds to the Sthrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
99.8%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Jodeci Harris) to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Jarmarqueza Mims run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 45Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Darquez Lee pass complete to Jarmarqueza Mims for 2 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Cameron MackeySimilar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Taylor Merritt punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Allenzae Staggers at the SoMis 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 22FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
99.8%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (Bryce Foxworth) to the SoMis 12Similar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+3
99.8%
T'Rod Daniels run for 3 yds to the SoMis 15Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+44
99.8%
Keon Howard pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 44 yds to the Sthrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
T'Rod Daniels run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+14
99.9%
T'Rod Daniels run for 14 yds to the Sthrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
99.9%
T'Rod Daniels run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 16Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 3
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Jaylond Adams, broken up by Arvin HuffSimilar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+8
99.9%
Keon Howard pass complete to Quez Watkins for 8 yds to the Sthrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Quez Watkins, broken up by Timothy ThompsonSimilar
Q3 4:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
99.9%
T'Rod Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Jaylond AdamsSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
99.9%
Parker Shaunfield 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Darquez Lee pass complete to Jamar Washington for 4 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+26
99.9%
Devon Benn run for 26 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
99.9%
Devon Benn run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete to Randall MenardSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
Darquez Lee pass complete to Dennis Craig for 7 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Taylor Merritt punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 24FUMBLE
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Collin Kilcrease run for 5 yds to the SoMis 25Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Collin Kilcrease run for 7 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Collin Kilcrease run for 3 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Keon Howard pass complete to Collin Kilcrease for 8 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
99.9%
Jaylond Adams run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Keon Howard pass complete to Ben Olinger for 4 yds to the Sthrn 42Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Keon Howard pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 7 yds to the Sthrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Collin Kilcrease run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+1
99.9%
Keon Howard run for 1 yd to the SoMis 49 Keon Howard fumbled, recovered by Sthrn Jakobi JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
100.0%
Devon Benn run for 12 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
100.0%
Devon Benn run for 2 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+1
100.0%
Devon Benn run for 1 yd to the SoMis 34Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Darquez Lee pass incomplete, broken up by Demarrio SmithSimilar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Taylor Merritt punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
100.0%
Ii Andre Hale run for 8 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
100.0%
Ii Andre Hale run for 1 yd to the SoMis 29Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
Jr. Raymond Smith run for 2 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
100.0%
Ii Andre Hale run for 5 yds to the SoMis 36Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+19
100.0%
Ii Andre Hale run for 19 yds to the Sthrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Keon Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
100.0%
Ii Andre Hale run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 44Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-1
100.0%
Ii Andre Hale run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 45Similar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 10
OPP 45
-5
100.0%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 15
50
0
100.0%
Zac Everett punt for 32 yds, downed at the Sthrn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:22
T'Rod Daniels run for 49 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)
+1
TD · Q1 5:47
Kwadra Griggs pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)
+0.5
KEY PLAY · Q1 12:34
Herbert Edwards run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 14
-0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com