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RICE

Rice 31 at UTEP 14

UTEP
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:41 · Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 3 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingOne-score game
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense−18.7Score differential−9.8Garbage-time factor−6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.0One-score game+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:32: Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 52 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +14.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:47: Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 44 yds for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK) — UTEP win probability +6.0 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:27: Jordan Myers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +16.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:56: Ryan Metz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK) — UTEP win probability +7.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:15: Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +6.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 9 of 10RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 11:07RICE 4th & 16 at UTEP 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07UTEP 4th & 5 at RICE 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    54.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:06RICE 4th & 7 at UTEP 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    45.8%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UTEP 4th & 16 at UTEP 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:22RICE 4th & 1 at UTEP 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.1%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    53.6%−1.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−5.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:50UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:28RICE 4th & 6 at UTEP 41, up 10
    Close callPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:32UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:56RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:41UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.0%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:47UTEP 4th & 1 at RICE 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−5.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−3.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:47RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 47, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 19 at UTEP 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−3.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:56UTEP 4th & 1 at RICE 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−2.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−4.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:15UTEP 4th & 19 at UTEP 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 11:25RICE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:32RICE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:47UTEP Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:27RICE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:56UTEP Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:15RICE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:5349% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
51.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 15 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
51.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 5 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+18
51.0%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 18 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
51.0%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
51.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 10 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
51.0%
Austin Walter run for 14 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
51.0%
Sam Glaesmann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-3
51.0%
Sam Glaesmann sacked by Devin Cockrell for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 16
-3
51.0%
Sam Glaesmann sacked by Nik Needham for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 16
OPP 19
+36
51.4%
Will Harrison 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
14 plays · 39 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
51.2%
Walter Dawn run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
51.2%
Walter Dawn run for 9 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
51.3%
Kevin Dove run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
51.4%
Walter Dawn run for 2 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
51.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
51.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 9 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
51.6%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-1
51.6%
Walter Dawn run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+12
51.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to David Lucero for 12 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
51.7%
Walter Dawn run for 2 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+3
51.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 3 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
51.6%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
51.4%
Alan Luna punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
51.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 9 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+11
50.8%
Cameron Montgomery run for 11 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
50.5%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Jordan Myers for 13 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
50.3%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+7
50.8%
Sam Glaesmann run for 7 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
50.3%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Nahshon EllerbeSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+1
50.5%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Parker Smith for 1 yd to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
51.1%
Jack Fox punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:5151% → 50%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
50.7%
Walter Dawn run for 3 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
50.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-9
50.1%
Ryan Metz sacked by Emmanuel Ellerbee for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 6Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 6
0
49.6%
Alan Luna punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nahshon Ellerbe at the UTEP 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:2951% → 57%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
49.0%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
48.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 5 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
49.0%
Sam Glaesmann run for 4 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
48.4%
Jordan Myers run for 8 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+13
48.4%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 13 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
48.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
42.7%
Sam Glaesmann run for 5 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
42.5%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+14
42.3%
Kevin Dove run for 14 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
43.0%
Kevin Dove run for 4 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-2
43.5%
Kevin Dove run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 40 Kevin Dove fumbled, recovered by Rice Zach AbercrumbiaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7FUMBLE
12 plays · 34 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
41.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+5
41.8%
UTEP Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
41.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+4
42.1%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 4 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
41.6%
Kylen Granson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
41.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-12
42.0%
GLAESMANN, Sam pass complete to MYERS, Jordan for 5 yards to the UTEP19 (JACKSON, Julian), PENALTY RICE face mask (GODBER, Peter) 12 yards to the UTEP36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 18
OPP 36
+21
42.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 21 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
41.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for no gain to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
41.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 8 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+1
42.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the UTEP 6Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+1
42.7%
Sam Glaesmann run for 1 yd to the UTEP 6 Sam Glaesmann fumbled, recovered by UTEP Nik NeedhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
37.6%
Walter Dawn run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 9
0
37.6%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+2
36.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Walter Dawn for 2 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 5
OWN 11
0
36.4%
Alan Luna punt for 44 yds, downed at the Rice 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:1464% → 63%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
36.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 5
50
+5
36.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
36.1%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+3
35.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
35.8%
Sam Glaesmann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
36.9%
Jack Fox punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
35.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Walter Dawn for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.6%
Walter Dawn run for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
35.3%
Walter Dawn run for 1 yd to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
34.5%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+18
33.9%
Alan Luna punt for 63 yds , Nahshon Ellerbe returns for 18 yds to the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 2:0365% → 81%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
34.8%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Kylen Granson for 2 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+18
34.7%
Jordan Myers run for 18 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
33.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+52
18.8%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 52 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
21.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Josh Weeks for 11 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
22.3%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
22.6%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
22.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+13
21.7%
Alan Luna punt for 54 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 13 yds to the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
18.9%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Samuel StewartSimilar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
19.0%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
19.2%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Samuel StewartSimilar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+3
19.6%
Jack Fox punt for 48 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 3 yds to the UTEP 26 UTEP Penalty, illegal block (Treyvon Hughes) to the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 4:5419% → 27%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
19.1%
Keynan Foster run for 15 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
19.9%
Kavika Johnson sacked by Justin Bickham for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+6
18.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 6 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+11
18.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to David Lucero for 11 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+3
20.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 3 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
20.9%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
20.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to David Lucero for 8 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
21.3%
Kevin Dove run for 1 yd to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+44
27.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 44 yds for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
26.3%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
26.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Jordan Myers for 14 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
24.4%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+4
26.2%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Jordan Myers for 4 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+6
25.1%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 47 RICE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+4
26.5%
Austin Walter punt for 40 yds , Johnny Jones returns for 4 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:3324% → 22%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
23.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 6 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+18
24.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Joshua Fields for 18 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
25.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Keynan Foster, broken up by Brandon Douglas-DotsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
24.9%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-9
23.8%
Ryan Metz sacked by Graysen Schantz and Blain Padgett for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 32
+55
21.5%
Alan Luna punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICE 25 RICE Penalty, personal foul (Joshua Cummings) to the Rice 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 5:3175% → 95%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
25.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+11
25.2%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Jordan Myers for 11 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
24.5%
Austin Walter run for 11 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
22.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
50
+1
22.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+29
22.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 29 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
21.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+13
21.4%
Sam Glaesmann run for 13 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
21.3%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
5.0%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:316% → 14%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
5.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 16 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
6.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
5.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Walter Dawn for 1 yd to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+14
5.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 14 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
6.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Walter DawnSimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+40
5.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 40 yds to the Rice 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
6.6%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
6.6%
RICE Penalty, (2 Yards) to the Rice 2Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
6.6%
Ryan Metz run for 1 yd to the Rice 1Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
6.5%
Kevin Dove run for no gain to the Rice 1Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.5%
Ryan Metz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:4090% → 98%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
10.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 15 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
9.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+4
8.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+21
8.4%
Kylen Granson run for 21 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
2.3%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.4%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
2.3%
Mark Torrez sacked by Blain Padgett for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
2.3%
Alan Luna punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nahshon Ellerbe at the Rice 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
2.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 7 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+7
2.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 7 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
2.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:27
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
-16.3
TD · Q3 11:32
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 52 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
-14.4
TD · Q4 4:56
Ryan Metz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com