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ALCN

Alcorn State 10 at Florida International 17

FIU
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2017 · Legion Field
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadALCN aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreALCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:54 · Stone Wilson punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AlcSt 17 ALCORN ST Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the AlcSt 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Pregame prior+21.6Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential−0.8Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:04: Lenorris Footman pass complete to Tavares Johnson for 4 yds for a TD, (Corey McCullough KICK) — ALCN win probability +9.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ALCN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 3:54: Corey McCullough 49 yd FG GOOD — ALCN win probability +17.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ALCN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:49: Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 40 yds to the AlcSt 40 for a 1ST down — FIU win probability +6.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:49: Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 12 yds to the AlcSt 28 for a 1ST down — FIU win probability +5.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:12: Alex McGough run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +25.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ALCN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:47FIU 4th & 8 at ALCN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:47ALCN 4th & 6 at FIU 29, tied
    Close callWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:52ALCN 4th & 13 at ALCN 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:04FIU 4th & 22 at ALCN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:54ALCN 4th & 5 at ALCN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:54FIU 4th & 5 at ALCN 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−1.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:14ALCN 4th & 14 at FIU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−1.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:16FIU 4th & 5 at ALCN 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−11.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00ALCN 4th & 16 at ALCN 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−3.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:10FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−4.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:51ALCN 4th & 18 at ALCN 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−3.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:02FIU 4th & 9 at ALCN 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:54ALCN 4th & 7 at FIU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−2.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−8.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ALCN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:00FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:04ALCN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:12FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:1392% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
92.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jacob Kraut for 5 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+2
92.1%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+16
92.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Iv Tony Gaiter for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+12
92.1%
Alex Gardner run for 12 yds to the AlcSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
92.1%
Alex Gardner run for 10 yds to the AlcSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
92.1%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-1
92.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for a loss of 1 yard to the AlcSt 26Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
91.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
91.1%
Jose Borregales 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 46 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
91.0%
Marquis Warford run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 28Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
91.0%
Lenorris Footman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+9
91.0%
Lenorris Footman run for 9 yds to the AlcSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
90.9%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 3 yds to the AlcSt 40Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
90.9%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to De'Lance Turner for 1 yd to the AlcSt 41Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+10
90.9%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to De'Lance Turner for 10 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
90.8%
Lenorris Footman run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlcSt 48Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+7
90.9%
Lenorris Footman run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+12
90.8%
Lenorris Footman run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
90.8%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to De'Lance Turner for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
90.8%
De'Lance Turner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-2
90.8%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to De'Lance Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+1
90.9%
Lenorris Footman run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 5:0889% → 90%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
89.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Iv Tony Gaiter for 13 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
89.3%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+1
89.2%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+18
89.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Iv Tony Gaiter for 18 yds to the AlcSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
89.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlcSt 46Similar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+4
89.3%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 42Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-3
89.5%
Maurice Alexander run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlcSt 45Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+28
89.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 28 yds to the AlcSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
89.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
89.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 8 yds to the AlcSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+3
88.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jacob Kraut for 3 yds to the AlcSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
88.7%
GARDNER, Alex rush for 5 yards to the ALCN1 (Sterling Shippy), PENALTY ALCN offside 3 yards to the ALCN3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.4%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
89.2%
Marquis Warford run for a loss of 6 yards to the AlcSt 38Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+3
89.5%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Tavares Johnson for 3 yds to the AlcSt 41Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
89.6%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Charles Hughes, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
89.9%
Corey McCullough punt for 39 yds, downed at the FlaIn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 80 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
89.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 11 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
89.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+2
90.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
90.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 12 yds to the AlcSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
90.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the AlcSt 47Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+13
90.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Iv Tony Gaiter for 13 yds to the AlcSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+32
90.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 32 yds Thomas Owens fumbled, forced by Deago Sama, recovered by AlcSt Trae FerrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 6TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 6:4111% → 22%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
89.0%
Lenorris Footman run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 18Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
89.1%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Norlando Veals for 5 yds to the AlcSt 23Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+47
89.2%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Norlando Veals for 47 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
87.7%
ALCORN ST Penalty, personal foul (-10 Yards) to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+16
88.4%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Marquis Warford for 16 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
87.6%
De'Lance Turner run for no gain to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+4
88.1%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Marquis Warford for 4 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
87.6%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to De'Lance Turner for 1 yd to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+15
87.6%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Tavares Johnson for 15 yds to the FlaIn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
87.6%
ALCORN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
87.6%
Lenorris Footman run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.0%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Tavares Johnson for 4 yds for a TD, (Corey McCullough KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
82.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 9 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
83.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete, broken up by Solomon MuhammadSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+41
82.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 41 yds to the AlcSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
84.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Iv Tony GaiterSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
84.9%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 34Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-13
84.2%
Alex McGough sacked by Solomon Muhammad for a loss of 13 yards to the AlcSt 47Similar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 22
OPP 47
0
82.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 38 yds, downed at the AlcSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0020% → 21%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
79.7%
De'Lance Turner run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 13Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 13
0
79.2%
De'Lance Turner run for no gain to the AlcSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-14
77.6%
De'Lance Turner rush for no gain to the ALCN27, out-of-bounds (LEWIS, Sage), PENALTY ALCN personal foul 14 yards to the ALCN13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 24
OWN 13
+19
78.0%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Raidarious Anderson for 19 yds to the AlcSt 32Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
76.9%
Norlando Veals run for no gain to the AlcSt 32Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
77.9%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Marquis WarfordSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+1
79.0%
Corey McCullough punt for 46 yds , Iv Tony Gaiter returns for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:2279% → 79%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
79.4%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+13
79.6%
Alex Gardner run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
80.4%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
81.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Javen MorrisonSimilar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
80.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Iv Tony Gaiter for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
50
+6
81.5%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 44Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-1
81.7%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlcSt 45Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
80.3%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the AlcSt 45Similar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+38
79.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AlcSt 17 ALCORN ST Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the AlcSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 48 yds · 0:0024% → 25%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
75.7%
De'Lance Turner run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 11Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 11
0
75.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the AlcSt 3 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AlcSt Lenorris FootmanSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 14
OWN 3
+17
76.6%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Norlando Veals for 17 yds to the AlcSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
74.8%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Marquis Warford for 8 yds to the AlcSt 28Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
73.7%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Marquis Warford for 6 yds to the AlcSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
74.2%
L. Footman pass incomplete to R. Anderson, PENALTY ALCN holding 10 yards to the ALCN24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+35
75.0%
Lenorris Footman run for 35 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
71.7%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Norlando Veals for no gain to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-4
71.8%
Lenorris Footman run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
74.2%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Norlando VealsSimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
75.5%
Corey McCullough punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12FG
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:5075% → 79%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
75.0%
Alex McGough run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
75.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+15
77.6%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to SINGLETON, B. (Deago Sama), PENALTY ALCN pass interference (Deago Sama) 15 yards to the ALCN46, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
78.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 11 yds to the AlcSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
79.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 31Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-5
79.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlcSt 36Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
78.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+11
77.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 11 yds to the AlcSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
79.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
79.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 20Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+14
78.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 14 yds to the AlcSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
79.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 5Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Pharoah McKever, broken up by Marquis WarfordSimilar
Q3 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Iv Tony Gaiter, broken up by Leishaun EaleySimilar
Q3 0:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
78.9%
Jose Borregales 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0724% → 21%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
76.4%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Tavares Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 22
0
77.0%
De'Lance Turner run for no gain to the AlcSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 22
0
78.2%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Raidarious Anderson, broken up by Andrew BrownSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 22
-4
78.9%
ALCORN ST Penalty, delay of game (Corey McCullough) to the AlcSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
78.9%
Corey McCullough punt for 57 yds, downed at the FlaIn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 4 yds · 0:0079% → 76%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
78.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
78.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Iv Tony GaiterSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
78.2%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+14
77.0%
Alex McGough run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
79.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 17
OWN 28
-18
78.6%
Alex McGough sacked by Solomon Muhammad for a loss of 18 yards to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 35
OWN 10
-5
78.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (Alex McGough) to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 40
OWN 5
+7
77.8%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 33
OWN 12
+17
77.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 17 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
76.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 43 yds, downed at the AlcSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0926% → 19%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
74.0%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Marquis WarfordSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
75.1%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Marquis WarfordSimilar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-8
79.4%
Lenorris Footman sacked by Josh Little for a loss of 8 yards to the AlcSt 20Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 18
OWN 20
+42
80.8%
Corey McCullough punt for 42 yds , Brad Muhammad returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 37 Brad Muhammad fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
81.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
82.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+20
81.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 20 yds to the AlcSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
82.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 36Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
82.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
82.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Iv Tony Gaiter, broken up by Quintin SmithSimilar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 9
OPP 36
-2
79.8%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 17FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:2725% → 47%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
75.0%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Marquis Warford for 8 yds to the AlcSt 46Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+19
72.6%
De'Lance Turner run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
68.7%
De'Lance Turner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
68.3%
De'Lance Turner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-2
70.8%
Lenorris Footman run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
53.4%
Corey McCullough 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:3763% → 97%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
63.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 40 yds to the AlcSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
69.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 12 yds to the AlcSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
71.4%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 22Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+6
71.4%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
71.4%
Alex Gardner run for 10 yds to the AlcSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
71.4%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 1Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 19END OF GAME
11 plays · 30 yds · 1:068% → 9%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Charles Hughes, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.1%
Lenorris Footman run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 31Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
91.5%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Tavares Johnson for 7 yds to the AlcSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.5%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Marquis WarfordSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
90.8%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Raidarious AndersonSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+17
91.9%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Tavares Johnson for 17 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.6%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Norlando VealsSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
91.2%
Lenorris Footman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:12
Alex McGough run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
+25.8
FG · Q4 3:54
Corey McCullough 49 yd FG GOOD
-17.4
TD · Q2 3:04
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Tavares Johnson for 4 yds for a TD, (Corey McCullough KICK)
-9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com