Try the model
EKU

Eastern Kentucky 17 at Western Kentucky 31

WKU
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:04 · Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Neiko Creamer, broken up by Juwan Gardner
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:21: Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 6 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK) — EKU win probability +2.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:31: D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:12: Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 10 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK) — EKU win probability +4.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:42: Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 5:03: Lucas Williams 30 yd FG GOOD — EKU win probability +2.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 5 at EKU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:30EKU 4th & 5 at EKU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56EKU 4th & 8 at EKU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:20EKU 4th & 17 at EKU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:10EKU 4th & 1 at WKU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:43WKU 4th & 8 at EKU 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:43EKU 4th & 21 at EKU 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:21WKU 4th & 3 at EKU 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00WKU 4th & 2 at EKU 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%−0.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−2.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:42WKU 4th & 1 at EKU 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−4.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:11EKU 4th & 1 at WKU 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:03EKU 4th & 13 at WKU 13, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:14WKU 4th & 7 at EKU 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:56WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:20WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:21EKU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:31WKU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:12EKU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:42WKU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
98.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the EKent 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
98.8%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 3 yds to the EKent 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
98.8%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
98.8%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds, downed at the EKent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 43 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
98.7%
LJ Scott run for no gain to the EKent 4Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+3
98.7%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the EKent 7Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+14
98.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 14 yds to the EKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
98.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Daryl McCleskey Jr. for 7 yds to the EKent 28Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+3
98.7%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the EKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
98.7%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, sideline interference (-5 Yards) to the EKent 26Similar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+11
98.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Dan Paul for 11 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
98.7%
Alonzo Booth run for 5 yds to the EKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
98.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 2
50
-12
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the EKent 38 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EKent LJ ScottSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+9
98.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to LJ Scott for 9 yds to the EKent 47Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
98.7%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
17 plays · 89 yds · 6:2098% → 98%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
97.8%
Mike White pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 6 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+23
97.8%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 23 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
97.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
97.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the EKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to D'Andre FerbySimilar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
97.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the EKent 46Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+9
97.9%
Mike White run for 9 yds to the EKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
97.9%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 7 yds to the EKent 30Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
97.9%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 3
OPP 30
-5
97.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EKent 35Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+16
97.9%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 16 yds to the EKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
97.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the EKent 15Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-2
97.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 17Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+13
97.9%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 13 yds to the EKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
97.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the EKent 3Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the EKent 2Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.3%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Jason Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 24Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
97.3%
Jason Lewis run for 3 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.4%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Neiko CreamerSimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
97.4%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 39 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 2 yds to the WKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:5597% → 98%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
97.2%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+66
97.8%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 66 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Austin Scott pass incomplete to Ryan Markush, broken up by Roger CraySimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.7%
Alonzo Booth run for 1 yd to the EKent 26Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-8
97.7%
Austin Scott sacked by Joe Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the EKent 18Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
97.7%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
97.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+21
97.7%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 21 yds to the EKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
97.9%
Mike White pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 6 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+4
97.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the EKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
97.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the EKent 28Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+54
97.9%
Mike White sacked by Luder Jean Louis for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 36 Mike White fumbled, recovered by EKent Eric Reed , return for 0 yards , return for 44 yds to the WKent 0 EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the WKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.2%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Ryan MarkushSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
97.2%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 1 yd to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+8
97.2%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 8 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
97.2%
LJ Scott run for no gain to the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 4:1997% → 98%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
97.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+9
97.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 9 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
97.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+12
97.4%
Marquez Trigg run for 12 yds to the EKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
97.4%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 46Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+4
97.4%
Mike White pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 4 yds to the EKent 42Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+14
97.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 14 yds to the EKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-11
97.4%
Mike White sacked by Luder Jean Louis and Taquan Evans for a loss of 11 yards to the EKent 39Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 21
OPP 39
-3
97.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for a loss of 3 yards to the EKent 42Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 24
OPP 42
+16
97.3%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 16 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+44
98.0%
Ryan Nuss 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
97.5%
Tim Boyle pass complete to BK Smith for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
50
-17
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the EKent 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EKent LJ ScottSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 27
OWN 33
0
97.6%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to BK SmithSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 27
OWN 33
+6
97.7%
LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 21
OWN 39
0
97.7%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
98.0%
WHITE, Mike pass complete to YELDER, Deon for 5 yards to the WKU31 (BASCOM, Ben), PENALTY EKU personal foul 20 yards to the WKU46, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deon Yelder, broken up by Corey GlassSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
98.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-6
98.0%
Mike White run for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 43 Mike White fumbled, recovered by WKent Mike WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:393% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
97.4%
Tim Boyle run for 1 yd to the EKent 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+50
97.4%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 50 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.9%
LJ Scott pass incomplete to Dan PaulSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
97.0%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 6 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+10
97.0%
Tim Boyle pass complete to BK Smith for 10 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.1%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 6 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:5096% → 98%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
95.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the EKent 49Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-11
95.6%
Mike White sacked by Taquan Evans for a loss of 11 yards to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 18
OWN 40
+21
95.1%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 21 yds to the EKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
95.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
95.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Nigel BethelSimilar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+5
95.4%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 5 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+12
95.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 12 yds to the EKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
95.7%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to JACKSON, Lucky, PENALTY EKU pass interference (GRACE, Kobie) 15 yards to the EKU5, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 14TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 6:193% → 8%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
97.2%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Dan Paul for 6 yds to the EKent 30Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+4
97.1%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 4 yds to the EKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.1%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
97.2%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+17
97.3%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 17 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.9%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Ryan MarkushSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
97.0%
Jason Lewis run for 5 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+7
97.0%
Jason Lewis run for 7 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
96.9%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 14 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.6%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to LJ ScottSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
96.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 12 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
96.6%
Jason Lewis run for 6 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 4
OPP 5
-5
96.6%
Jason Lewis run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 10Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
92.0%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 10 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
17 plays · 58 yds · 7:3094% → 98%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
94.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 9 yds to the EKent 49Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+11
94.1%
Marquez Trigg run for 11 yds to the EKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-9
94.1%
Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the EKent 32 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dennis Edwards) to the EKent 47Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 19
OPP 47
+6
93.8%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 6 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+14
93.5%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 14 yds to the EKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
94.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Devin NixonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
94.3%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the EKent 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+5
93.9%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 5 yds to the EKent 19Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+6
93.5%
Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the EKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
94.3%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
94.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+11
93.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 11 yds to the EKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.3%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the EKent 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.3%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the EKent 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.9%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the EKent 1Similar
Q4 9:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 16FG
17 plays · 56 yds · 4:392% → 5%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
97.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 18 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
97.7%
LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-2
97.5%
Tim Boyle pass complete to LJ Scott for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
97.7%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Dan PaulSimilar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 6
OPP 47
+5
97.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, encroachment (Evan Sayner) to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+3
97.5%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.4%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Tim BoyleSimilar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+13
97.4%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 13 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
96.9%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Dan Paul for 5 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+11
96.9%
Tim Boyle pass complete to LJ Scott for 11 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-15
96.9%
BOYLE, Tim pass complete to MARKUSH, Ryan for 8 yards to the WKU2, fumble forced by IYIEGBUNIWE, J., fumble by MARKUSH, Ryan recovered by EKU SCHMERBER, C. at WKU1, PENALTY EKU illegal block 15 yards to the WKU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 25
0
97.1%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
0
97.1%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 25
+12
97.4%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Dan Paul for 12 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
95.0%
Lucas Williams 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:4998% → 99%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
97.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 6
50
+6
97.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the EKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
97.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
98.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Devin NixonSimilar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
98.3%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the EKent 41Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 18END OF GAME
17 plays · 74 yds · 3:012% → 2%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.9%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Ryan Markush, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
97.9%
Tim Boyle run for 7 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
97.8%
LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the EKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
97.8%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 12 yds to the EKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.7%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Ryan MarkushSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
97.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Dan Paul for 13 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.6%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to LJ ScottSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.6%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Clayton Schmerber for 5 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+6
97.3%
Tim Boyle pass complete to LJ Scott for 6 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
97.0%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Clayton Schmerber for 16 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.6%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Neiko CreamerSimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
96.6%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Dan PaulSimilar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+11
97.0%
Tim Boyle pass complete to LJ Scott for 11 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.1%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Neiko Creamer, broken up by Juwan GardnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:12
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 10 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q4 9:42
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q3 12:21
Tim Boyle pass complete to Ryan Markush for 6 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com